Yahoo Finance report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TMUS Stock surged +6.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TMUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $156.44 (+6.21% 1D, market cap $156.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TMUS ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TMUS compare to T and VZ in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TMUS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, T (AT&T Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $140.93B) and VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $181.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, T leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while TMUS leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMUS?
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Per TMUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001283699), T-Mobile US Inc. generated $88.31B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $10.99B in net income, and $18.00B in free cash flow against $219.24B in total assets and $81.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.4% FCF Margin ($18.00B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TMUS Turnaround Squeeze
While TMUS currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($165.71) and Max Pain ($164.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $235.99.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why TMUS Stock surged +6.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) surged +6.21% to $156.44, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($143.75 – $224.75). Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($143.75 – $224.75) with RSI-14 at 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $156.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $18.0B annual free cash flow.
Trefis report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SpaceX has been looking for new ways to use its Starlink network, and a tie-up with cellular operator Boost Mobile could give it the terrestrial access it needs.
Key TakeawaysSpaceX shares rose 4% today on a report that it’s in talks to buy EchoStar’s Boost Mobile or use its network. A deal would hand Starlink Mobile millions of subscribers more than a year before SpaceX’s own se
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMUS)
- ✓Walkthrough of TMUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
TMUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMUS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMUS)
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TMUS vs. T, VZ, LITE, AMX)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #7 by equity capitalization ($156.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, T leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while TMUS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and — gross margin. LITE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TMUS at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS
ACTIVE
T-Mobile US Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 14.2x | — | 10.7% | +6.21% | $156.02B | Benchmark Subject |
| T AT&T Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 6.4x | — | 6.7% | +2.34% | $140.93B | /t-vs-tmus → |
| VZ Verizon Communications Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 10.3x | — | 8.5% | +2.45% | $181.40B | /vz-vs-tmus → |
| LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | 41.7% | 6.2% | -8.57% | $83.29B | /lite-vs-tmus → |
| AMX America Movil S.A.B. de C.V. American | C- | 60/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.45% | $72.63B | /amx-vs-tmus → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001283699In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) reported GAAP revenue of $88.31B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $81.40B , and +12.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.99B, operating cash flow of $27.95B, and free cash flow of $18.00B (+33.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TMUS closed FY2025 with $219.24B in total assets against $81.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.70, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $88.31B | $10.99B | $27.95B | $18.00B | $219.24B | $81.15B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $81.40B | $11.34B | $22.29B | $13.45B | $208.03B | $74.20B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $78.56B | $8.32B | $18.56B | $15.02B | $94.27B | $22.06B |
3. TMUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TMUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ: TMUS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $156.44 (+6.21% 1D, market cap $156.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TMUS ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TMUS compare to T and VZ in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TMUS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, T (AT&T Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $140.93B) and VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $181.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, T leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while TMUS leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMUS?
Per TMUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001283699), T-Mobile US Inc. generated $88.31B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $10.99B in net income, and $18.00B in free cash flow against $219.24B in total assets and $81.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TMUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TMUS last traded at $156.44 (+6.21% on volume of 11,498,174 shares), positioning the stock -5.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($165.71) and -16.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($186.55). Across its 52-week range of $143.75 to $224.75, TMUS sits at the 15.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($146.11 to $166.77).
TMUS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TMUS stock moving today?
Why TMUS Stock surged +6.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 14x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TMUS — T-Mobile US Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TMUS scores 53 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 out of 20 (ROIC 10.7%; FCF yield 11.53%); Whale 13F Flow at 6 out of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 16 out of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10 out of 20 (Beta 1.03; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7 out of 20 (Altman Z 1.7; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 1.37).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash-generation metrics are respectable, with an 11.53% FCF yield providing a meaningful valuation cushion. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and balance sheet forensics. An Altman Z of 1.7 sits in a range that warrants caution, and a Debt/Equity of 1.37 means leverage is a material consideration. The beta of 1.03 indicates the stock tracks broad market moves closely, so macro conditions will influence it. Valuation (P/E 14.2 TTM, forward P/E 13.2) appears modest relative to earnings, but the RQD framework weights balance-sheet and flow signals heavily enough to produce a sell-leaning verdict. The upside case rests on cash conversion and insider confidence; the downside case rests on leverage and weak institutional support.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $88309.0M | $18279.0M | $10992.0M | N/A | $17995.0M | $5598.0M | $81147.0M |
| FY 2024 | $81400.0M | $18010.0M | $11339.0M | N/A | $13453.0M | $5409.0M | $74197.0M |
| FY 2023 | $78558.0M | $14266.0M | $8317.0M | N/A | $15023.9M | N/A | $22059.1M |
Per the market data, operating margin is 20.7%, net margin 12.4%, and gross margin 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 10.7%, the Altman Z-Score is 1.7, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 out of 9. Debt/Equity is 1.37 per the RQD rating; reported debt rose from $74,197.0M in FY 2024 to $81,147.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while cash moved from $5,409.0M to $5,598.0M over the same period.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tagged to TMUS, with no summary-level content beyond headlines. Titles reflect negative price action, including "Why T-Mobile US Stock Dropped Today" (RISK WATCH, RED), "Why T-Mobile Stock Just Crashed" (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), "T-Mobile US Inc Stock (TMUS) Moved Down by 9.89% on Oct 9" (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), and "T-Mobile US plunges 13% to new 52-week low amid new competitive threat" (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). One item, "Why is T-Mobile US stock rallying today?" (CATALYST, GREEN), points the other way. The competitive-threat reference in the Seeking Alpha headline is the only named catalyst in the wire. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.
Open Questions
- What specifically drove the competitive threat cited in the Seeking Alpha headline, and how does it affect subscriber or pricing trends?
- What is the composition of the debt load and its maturity schedule, given the 1.37 Debt/Equity and 1.7 Altman Z?
- Why is FY 2025 EPS reported as N/A, and how does per-share earnings trend across periods?
- Who are the institutional holders and insiders behind the 16-of-20 insider conviction pillar and the 6-of-20 flow pillar?
- Why does FY 2023 cash show as N/A while debt is reported, and how complete is the historical balance-sheet series?
TMUS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TMUS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $156.44?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TMUS (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $147.29?
Welcome to the TMUS (T-Mobile US Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TMUS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TMUS, but look at what you are paying: 14.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless T-Mobile US Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TMUS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TMUS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $147.29 (52-wk range $143.75 - $224.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.