TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $4.60 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $184.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPVG ranks #726 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), TPVG carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, FC (Franklin Covey Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $204.4M) and ABLV (Able View Global Inc. (Class B)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $155.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while WW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per TPVG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580345), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. generated $352.7M in revenue (+10.0% YoY), $49.2M in net income, and -$57.0M in free cash flow against $839.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
While TPVG currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.83) and Max Pain ($4.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.30.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) advanced +1.55% to $4.60, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($4.15 – $6.95). Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Most 10%+ yielders end up cutting their payouts, but a higher-rate environment has opened the door to a few that can actually last. We share two picks that fit the bill here.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPVG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPVG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) ranks #726 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #699 by equity capitalization ($184.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPVG leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while WW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TPVG at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPVG
ACTIVE
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | D- | 40/100 | 3.8x | — | 13.9% | +1.55% | $184.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| FC Franklin Covey Company | D+ | 52/100 | 68.0x | 76.2% | 12.4% | -4.14% | $204.4M | /fc-vs-tpvg → |
| ABLV Able View Global Inc. (Class B) | C+ | 66/100 | — | 11.3% | -5.5% | -8.18% | $155.2M | /ablv-vs-tpvg → |
| WW WW International Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | 85.0% | -10.13% | $149.0M | /ww-vs-tpvg → |
| KLC KinderCare Learning Companies Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | — | -1.0% | +0.99% | $240.6M | /klc-vs-tpvg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) reported GAAP revenue of $352.7M (+10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $320.5M , and -12.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $49.2M, operating cash flow of -$57.0M, and free cash flow of -$57.0M (-137.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPVG closed FY2025 with $839.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $352.7M | $49.2M | -$57.0M | -$57.0M | $839.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $320.5M | $32.0M | $152.9M | $152.9M | $763.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $403.4M | -$39.8M | $106.1M | $106.1M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $4.60 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $184.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TPVG ranks #726 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), TPVG carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, FC (Franklin Covey Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 68.0x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $204.4M) and ABLV (Able View Global Inc. (Class B)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.5%, cap $155.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPVG leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while WW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per TPVG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580345), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. generated $352.7M in revenue (+10.0% YoY), $49.2M in net income, and -$57.0M in free cash flow against $839.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TPVG last traded at $4.60 (+1.55% on volume of 266,056 shares), positioning the stock -4.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.83) and -11.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.18). Across its 52-week range of $4.15 to $6.95, TPVG sits at the 16.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($4.31 to $4.89).
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.60 (+1.55% 1D, market capitalization $184.4M).
. (TPVG) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. The profile states the company has a market capitalization of $0.2B. — The products or services sold, the customer base, and the specific revenue model are not described in the source data beyond the sector and industry classification.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) reported $352.7M in annual revenue (up from $320.5M in FY2024, +10.0% YoY) and $49.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($403.4M revenue, -$39.8M net income) through FY2025, TPVG scaled operating cash flow to -$57.0M and free cash flow to -$57.0M, backed by $839.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Operating in Other Consumer Services (Consumer Discretionary), TPVG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
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Yahoo Finance report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The street is overcomplicating TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG). ROIC of 13.9% and a P/E of 3.8 (TTM) sit alongside a $0.23 declared quarterly distribution and an expected earnings beat.. With an RQD score of 40/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $4.89.
@FadeTheHype Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.53 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TPVG above $4.53. A 0% FCF yield, -$57.0M FY 2025 free cash flow, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate weak cash generation and a vulnerable balance sheet.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.95.
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