Stock Ratings / Financials / TRC / financials

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Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$16.38 -2.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.28

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $442.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TRC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.38 (-2.27% 1D, market cap $442.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #829 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $453.5M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?

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Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.28 (-0.60%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TRC SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.4% FCF Margin ($6.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$16.50-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$16.15+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$16.35+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$16.38-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRC currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.29) and Max Pain ($17.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TRC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$6.1M (12.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $44.7M

FY24

Rev $41.9M

FY25

Rev $49.6M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$49.6M	52%	-16%	$75.0K	$6.1M	-1.3%
FY 2024	$41.9M	52%	-22%	$2.7M	-$42.9M	-1.7%
FY 2023	$44.7M	52%	-8.3%	$3.3M	$13.7M	-1.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRC)

✓Walkthrough of TRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $16.76H $16.76L $16.38C $16.38VOL 99.6K

RES: $16.95SUP: $15.79SMA50: $16.29SMA200: $17.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRC Butterfly Map → + Track TRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRC)

Financials Rank #829 of 1096 ⚔️ AHRT vs TRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRC vs. AHRT, BOC, REAX, FRPH)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) ranks #829 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #730 by equity capitalization ($442.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRC ACTIVE Tejon Ranch Co	D	44/100	—	—	-1.3%	-2.27%	$442.6M	Benchmark Subject
AHRT AH Realty Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	116.9x	—	6.5%	-0.49%	$453.5M	/ahrt-vs-trc →
BOC Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	-0.6%	-0.38%	$389.8M	/boc-vs-trc →
REAX Real REMAX Group Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-3.04%	$512.3M	/reax-vs-trc →
FRPH FRP Holdings Inc.	E	28/100	114.6x	—	1.3%	-1.00%	$360.0M	/frph-vs-trc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000096869

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) reported GAAP revenue of $49.6M (+18.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9M , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $75.0K, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of $6.1M (+114.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRC closed FY2025 with $630.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$49.6M	$75.0K	$6.1M	$6.1M	$630.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$41.9M	$2.7M	$14.3M	-$42.9M	$608.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$44.7M	$3.3M	$13.7M	$13.7M	—	—

3. TRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?

Where is TRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRC last traded at $16.38 (-2.27% on volume of 99,563 shares), positioning the stock +0.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.29) and -7.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.74). Across its 52-week range of $15.31 to $21.31, TRC sits at the 17.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($15.54 to $17.22).

TRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Tejon Ranch Co (TRC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TRC converted $49.6M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $6.1M in free cash flow (12.4% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRC RQD Cockpit TRC 12M Forecast TRC Earnings & Move TRC Dividends & DRIP TRC Insiders & 13F TRC Whale Options TRC Profit Sankey TRC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TRC — Tejon Ranch Co: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRC scores 47 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -1.3% and an FCF yield of 1.35%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating a return above its cost of capital, and the cash yield on the current price is thin.
Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating characterizes institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak in this framework. Institutional support is not a visible tailwind in the scoring.
Insider Conviction: 7 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is scored low. The news wire does reference a director purchase (see Recent Catalysts), but the rating does not score it as a strong conviction cluster.
Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The rating cites beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the market, and the rating scores its positioning against the current regime as unfavorable.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is more stable than the earnings engine.

Investor implications, framed analytically: the upside case rests mainly on a turnaround in operating economics, since the current cash engine and flow signals are weak. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with a negative ROIC, a 1.35% FCF yield, and no reported P/E, traditional earnings-based valuation cannot be anchored from the source data. The balance-sheet pillar offers some downside cushion relative to the earnings profile, but does not offset the weakness in the other four pillars.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$49.6M	$-8.0M	$0.1M	N/A	$6.1M	$9.5M	N/A
FY 2024	$41.9M	$-9.2M	$2.7M	N/A	$-42.9M	$39.3M	N/A
FY 2023	$44.7M	$-3.7M	$3.3M	N/A	$13.7M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income was negative in all three reported periods, while net income was positive but small. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -16%, and net margin is 0.2%. ROIC is -1.3% and the FCF yield is 1.35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the rating; the period-level debt figures are N/A in the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all flagged YELLOW and classified as MARKET WIRE:

A Seeking Alpha report, "Tejon Ranch: Plenty Of Land, But Patience Has A Price," which the source summarizes only generically.
A MarketBeat report noting the share price broke below its 200-day moving average.
Stock Titan reports on a director award bringing trust holdings to 450,357 shares, and on director Andrew Dakos receiving 1,021 shares at a reported $16.22 each.
A Kalkine Media report describing Andrew Dakos purchasing 1,021 shares at $16.22 under a Rule 10b5-1 plan.
A report stating the stock traded flat at $16.35, midway between support and resistance, with a triangle correction pattern.

Risk watch items: the price breaking below its 200-day moving average and the weak RQD pillar scores. Proprietary signals: none present in the Butterfly graph. The news summaries are generic templates and provide no quantified operating catalyst.

Open Questions

What is the composition of revenue and what drives the gap between operating losses and positive net income in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
What explains the swing in FCF from $13.7M in FY 2023 to $-42.9M in FY 2024 and $6.1M in FY 2025?
What is the reported debt balance and how does it relate to the Debt/Equity of 0.5 cited in the rating?
Why are EPS and cash for FY 2023 not reported, and what are the period-level debt figures?
What analyst consensus and price targets exist for TRC, and who are the material institutional holders?

TRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 15h ago

Tejon Ranch: Plenty Of Land, But Patience Has A Price (NYSE:TRC)

Seeking Alpha report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 18h ago

Tejon Ranch (NYSE:TRC) Share Price Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 21h ago

A 1,021-share director award brings trust holdings to 450,357 shares at Tejon Ranch (TRC).

Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Trades Flat at $16.35 as Shares Sit Midway Between Support and Resistance - Triangle Correction

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Director Andrew Dakos receives 1,021 Tejon Ranch (TRC) shares at a reported $16.22 each.

Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine Media • 1d ago

Andrew Dakos Purchases 1,021 Shares of Tejon Ranch at $16.22 Each Under Rule 10b5-1 Plan

Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Tejon Ranch (TRC) schedules November 5 earnings call for 5 p.m. ET.

Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine Media • 1d ago

Steven A. Betts Purchases 1,483 Shares of Tejon Ranch Co. at $16.22 Each

Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.38?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.10 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRC (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $16.76?

Welcome to the TRC (Tejon Ranch Co) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.41 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $16.76

Pump the brakes on TRC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tejon Ranch Co expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.45 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $16.76

TRC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.76 (52-wk range $15.31 - $21.31), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.