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BDN (46) ADAM (51) UHT (61) OLP (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$6.81 -0.29% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.79

TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $517.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: TRTX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $6.81 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $517.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, TRTX ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRTX compare to BDN and ADAM in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), TRTX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, BDN (Brandywine Realty Trust) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $518.6M) and ADAM (Adamas Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $535.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADAM leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRTX?
β–Ό

Per TRTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001630472), TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. generated $1.85B in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $60.3M in net income, and $90.4M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.79 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TRTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TRTX SCORES 54/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.1) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$5.64+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$5.85+10.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$6.49+4.9% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$6.81-0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (46) β†’ D+ (54)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TRTX currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.70) and Max Pain ($7.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.82.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRTXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTRTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TRTX Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TRTX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TRTX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRTX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TRTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TRTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.35%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $6.50H $6.83L $6.50C $6.81VOL 2.40M
RES: $6.84SUP: $5.25SMA50: $6.70SMA200: $7.96
$9.07$8.13$7.19$6.25$5.31RES $6.84SUP $5.25$6.812026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ TRTX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track TRTX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRTX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRTX)

Financials Rank #558 of 1097 βš”οΈ BDN vs TRTX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRTX vs. BDN, ADAM, UHT, OLP)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) ranks #558 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #693 by equity capitalization ($517.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADAM leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while UHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. UHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with TRTX at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRTX ACTIVE
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.
D+ 54/100 8.1x β€” 5.6% -0.29% $517.9M Benchmark Subject
BDN
Brandywine Realty Trust
D 46/100 β€” β€” 2.8% -0.98% $518.6M /bdn-vs-trtx β†’
ADAM
Adamas Trust Inc.
D 51/100 4.4x β€” 8.9% -3.37% $535.5M /adam-vs-trtx β†’
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income Trust
C- 61/100 29.9x β€” 18.8% -1.78% $539.1M /uht-vs-trtx β†’
OLP
One Liberty Properties Inc.
D+ 58/100 19.3x β€” 13.3% -1.35% $485.2M /olp-vs-trtx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001630472 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.85B (+18.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and +252.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $60.3M, operating cash flow of $90.4M, and free cash flow of $90.4M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRTX closed FY2025 with $4.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.85B $60.3M $90.4M $90.4M $4.41B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.57B $74.3M $112.1M $112.1M $3.73B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $524.8M -$116.6M $80.1M $80.1M β€” β€”

3. TRTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE: TRTX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $6.81 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $517.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, TRTX ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRTX compare to BDN and ADAM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), TRTX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, BDN (Brandywine Realty Trust) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $518.6M) and ADAM (Adamas Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $535.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADAM leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRTX?

Per TRTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001630472), TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. generated $1.85B in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $60.3M in net income, and $90.4M in free cash flow against $4.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRTX last traded at $6.81 (-0.29% on volume of 2,140,364 shares), positioning the stock +1.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.70) and -14.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.96). Across its 52-week range of $5.60 to $9.35, TRTX sits at the 32.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.4% ($6.31 to $7.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRTX RQD Cockpit TRTX 12M Forecast TRTX Earnings & Move TRTX Dividends & DRIP TRTX Insiders & 13F TRTX Whale Options TRTX Profit Sankey TRTX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 54/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TRTX β€” TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.81 (-0.29% 1D, market capitalization $517.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 18.56%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.5B per the company profile. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) reported $1.85B in annual revenue (up from $1.57B in FY2024, +18.1% YoY) and $60.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($524.8M revenue, -$116.6M net income) through FY2025, TRTX scaled operating cash flow to $90.4M and free cash flow to $90.4M, backed by $4.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 18.56% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.60 – $9.35 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.1x trailing P/E against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), TRTX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can TRTX sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.85B and free cash flow of $90.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TRTX's 7.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TRTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. (TRTX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TRTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.81?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRTX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.32 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The 18.56% FCF yield and a 16/20 insider-conviction pillar suggest cash generation and insider activity are running ahead of the stock'

Picked up a starter position in TRTX in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $6.50. The 18.56% FCF yield and a 16/20 insider-conviction pillar suggest cash generation and insider activity are running ahead of the stock's 8.1x trailing P/E.. Trading inside a $5.60–$9.35 52-week range with 18.56% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Real Estate Investment Trusts multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” TRTX's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.59 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $6.50

A 5/20 whale-flow pillar, 6/20 macro-fit pillar, 5.6% ROIC, and Piotroski F of 4/9 indicate weak institutional support and fundamental

Fading this rally in TRTX at $6.50. A 5/20 whale-flow pillar, 6/20 macro-fit pillar, 5.6% ROIC, and Piotroski F of 4/9 indicate weak institutional support and fundamental quality.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $6.50 (52-wk range $5.60–$9.35), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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