The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$12.29 -5.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.14

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TTD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
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Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.14 (-1.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 27.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-
Cash (14)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$53 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE TTD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TTD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TTD SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.5% FCF Margin ($795.7M FCF) & 78.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$12.17+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$12.65+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$12.70-3.2% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$12.29+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TTD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, TTD faces multiple-compression risk if 13.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.09) or 200D SMA ($19.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TTD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TTD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing
$11.20 (-8.9%)Spot $12.29$13.38 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TTD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $0.94 • YoY Revenue Growth: 18.5%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.90B$443.3M$795.7M78.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.44B$393.1M$641.2M80.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.95B$178.9M$510.7M78.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TTD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TTD
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.76H $13.06L $12.29C $12.29VOL 15.30M
RES: $13.92SUP: $11.07SMA50: $13.09SMA200: $19.84
$43.39$34.78$26.17$17.56$8.95RES $13.92SUP $11.07$12.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TTD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TTD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TTD)

Technology Rank #180 of 714 ⚔️ NIQ vs TTD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TTD vs. NIQ, BZ, GDS, SNAP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #192 by equity capitalization ($6.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TTD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TTD ACTIVE
The Trade Desk Inc.
C 64/100 13.9x 78.6% 13.8% -5.90% $6.17B Benchmark Subject
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence plc
D 49/100 — — 1.7% -2.65% $6.01B /niq-vs-ttd →
BZ
KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares
B+ 76/100 19.6x 85.1% 10.9% +1.60% $7.68B /bz-vs-ttd →
GDS
GDS Holdings Limited ADS
D+ 57/100 21.7x — 14.9% -5.35% $4.64B /gds-vs-ttd →
SNAP
Snap Inc.
D 47/100 — 55.0% -8.9% -5.99% $9.61B /snap-vs-ttd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001671933

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.44B , and +48.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $443.3M, operating cash flow of $992.7M, and free cash flow of $795.7M (+24.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TTD closed FY2025 with $6.15B in total assets against $1.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.90B $443.3M $992.7M $795.7M $6.15B $1.65B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.44B $393.1M $739.5M $641.2M $6.11B $1.42B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.95B $178.9M $598.3M $510.7M $3.40B $794.7M

3. TTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?

Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TTD last traded at $12.29 (-5.90% on volume of 16,410,101 shares), positioning the stock -6.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.09) and -38.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $11.62 to $50.06, TTD sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($11.20 to $13.38).

TTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TTD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TTD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.9% event move for TTD, spanning a range between $11.2 and $13.38.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TTD — The Trade Desk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TTD scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by ROIC of 13.8% and an FCF yield of 12.89%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 8 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as weak. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 18 of 20, the strongest pillar, driven by SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 10 of 20, consistent with a Beta of 1.22 and the sector sensitivity the rating assigns. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by Altman Z 2.05, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.62.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers the rating points to are the high free-cash-flow yield, strong insider cluster activity, and a clean forensic balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is that the current price of 13.06 sits far below the 52-week high of $50.06, and the rating's middling institutional-flow and macro-fit scores indicate the market has not yet re-rated the shares. The overall grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal, so the rating itself does not argue for either urgency or avoidance.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
13.06$6.17B13.911.79.30.940%1.22$11.62 - $50.0613.8%

Business

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. Per the company profile, it carries a market capitalization of $6.2B. Beyond sector and industry classification, the source data does not describe the company's specific products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2896.3M$589.3M$443.3MN/A$795.7M$658.2M$1651.0M
FY 2024$2444.8M$427.2M$393.1MN/A$641.2M$1369.5M$1423.3M
FY 2023$1946.1M$200.5M$178.9MN/A$510.7MN/A$794.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1946.1M in FY 2023 to $2896.3M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $178.9M to $443.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 78.6%, operating margin 20.3%, and net margin 15.3%, with ROIC of 13.8%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.05 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.62. Cash declined from $1369.5M in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $1423.3M to $1651.0M, a shift the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to TTD. The highest-severity item is a RED "RISK WATCH" headline stating the stock has fallen 77% while the market rose, questioning whether 14 times earnings is sufficient. Two YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" items reference a 68% decline this year and a September tumble, both framing the stock as weak. One YELLOW item covers the market dipping while TTD gained. Two GREEN "CATALYST" items cover a one-day gain and a long-run comparison to the first trading day. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalyst is available. Net, the news flow is predominantly risk-framed, with the positive items being price-action observations rather than fundamental catalysts.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with an empty set of butterfly links and proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Technology sector and Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry classification.

Open Questions

  • What drove the shift from $1369.5M cash in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 alongside debt rising to $1651.0M, and how does the company intend to manage that balance sheet?
  • Why are EPS figures reported as N/A across all three periods when net income and the trailing EPS of 0.94 are available?
  • What is the composition of the insider and Congressional trades underlying the 18 of 20 Insider Conviction pillar score?
  • What specific business drivers and competitive dynamics explain the 77% and 68% declines referenced in the news wire?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is missing from the source financials?

TTD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TTD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TTD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.29?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TTD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TTD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.10 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TTD (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $13.06?

Welcome to the TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.93 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $13.06

Pump the brakes on TTD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TTD, but look at what you are paying: 13.9x trailing P/E with 78.6% gross margins. Unless The Trade Desk Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.28 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $13.06

TTD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TTD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.06 (52-wk range $11.62 - $50.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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