Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TTD Stock dropped -5.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
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Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.5% FCF Margin ($795.7M FCF) & 78.6% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TTD Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, TTD faces multiple-compression risk if 13.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.09) or 200D SMA ($19.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.62) toward Bear Floor ($9.84).
Why TTD Stock dropped -5.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) dropped -5.90% to $12.29, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($11.62 – $50.06). Solid 79% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($11.62 – $50.06) with RSI-14 at 53 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $12.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 78.6% gross margin and $795.7M annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reddit's accelerating growth has now surpassed The Trade Desk's quarterly revenue for the first time, marking a dramatic reversal after years of trailing.
The Trade Desk's collapse has been remarkable.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TTD Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TTD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TTD)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TTD vs. NIQ, BZ, GDS, SNAP)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #192 by equity capitalization ($6.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TTD at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD
ACTIVE
The Trade Desk Inc. | C | 64/100 | 13.9x | 78.6% | 13.8% | -5.90% | $6.17B | Benchmark Subject |
| NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence plc | D | 49/100 | — | — | 1.7% | -2.65% | $6.01B | /niq-vs-ttd → |
| BZ KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares | B+ | 76/100 | 19.6x | 85.1% | 10.9% | +1.60% | $7.68B | /bz-vs-ttd → |
| GDS GDS Holdings Limited ADS | D+ | 57/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -5.35% | $4.64B | /gds-vs-ttd → |
| SNAP Snap Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | 55.0% | -8.9% | -5.99% | $9.61B | /snap-vs-ttd → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001671933In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.44B , and +48.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $443.3M, operating cash flow of $992.7M, and free cash flow of $795.7M (+24.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TTD closed FY2025 with $6.15B in total assets against $1.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.90B | $443.3M | $992.7M | $795.7M | $6.15B | $1.65B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.44B | $393.1M | $739.5M | $641.2M | $6.11B | $1.42B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.95B | $178.9M | $598.3M | $510.7M | $3.40B | $794.7M |
3. TTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $12.29 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $6.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TTD compare to NIQ and BZ in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $6.01B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TTD last traded at $12.29 (-5.90% on volume of 16,410,101 shares), positioning the stock -6.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.09) and -38.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $11.62 to $50.06, TTD sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($11.20 to $13.38).
TTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TTD stock moving today?
Why TTD Stock dropped -5.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 79% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
TTD — The Trade Desk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TTD scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by ROIC of 13.8% and an FCF yield of 12.89%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 8 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating treats as weak. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 18 of 20, the strongest pillar, driven by SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 10 of 20, consistent with a Beta of 1.22 and the sector sensitivity the rating assigns. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supported by Altman Z 2.05, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.62.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers the rating points to are the high free-cash-flow yield, strong insider cluster activity, and a clean forensic balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is that the current price of 13.06 sits far below the 52-week high of $50.06, and the rating's middling institutional-flow and macro-fit scores indicate the market has not yet re-rated the shares. The overall grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal, so the rating itself does not argue for either urgency or avoidance.
Snapshot
Business
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. Per the company profile, it carries a market capitalization of $6.2B. Beyond sector and industry classification, the source data does not describe the company's specific products, customers, or revenue model.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2896.3M | $589.3M | $443.3M | N/A | $795.7M | $658.2M | $1651.0M |
| FY 2024 | $2444.8M | $427.2M | $393.1M | N/A | $641.2M | $1369.5M | $1423.3M |
| FY 2023 | $1946.1M | $200.5M | $178.9M | N/A | $510.7M | N/A | $794.7M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1946.1M in FY 2023 to $2896.3M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $178.9M to $443.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 78.6%, operating margin 20.3%, and net margin 15.3%, with ROIC of 13.8%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.05 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.62. Cash declined from $1369.5M in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose from $1423.3M to $1651.0M, a shift the source data does not explain.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tagged to TTD. The highest-severity item is a RED "RISK WATCH" headline stating the stock has fallen 77% while the market rose, questioning whether 14 times earnings is sufficient. Two YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" items reference a 68% decline this year and a September tumble, both framing the stock as weak. One YELLOW item covers the market dipping while TTD gained. Two GREEN "CATALYST" items cover a one-day gain and a long-run comparison to the first trading day. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no butterfly-derived catalyst is available. Net, the news flow is predominantly risk-framed, with the positive items being price-action observations rather than fundamental catalysts.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with an empty set of butterfly links and proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Technology sector and Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry classification.
Open Questions
- What drove the shift from $1369.5M cash in FY 2024 to $658.2M in FY 2025 alongside debt rising to $1651.0M, and how does the company intend to manage that balance sheet?
- Why are EPS figures reported as N/A across all three periods when net income and the trailing EPS of 0.94 are available?
- What is the composition of the insider and Congressional trades underlying the 18 of 20 Insider Conviction pillar score?
- What specific business drivers and competitive dynamics explain the 77% and 68% declines referenced in the news wire?
- What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is missing from the source financials?
TTD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TTD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.29?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TTD (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $13.06?
Welcome to the TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TTD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TTD, but look at what you are paying: 13.9x trailing P/E with 78.6% gross margins. Unless The Trade Desk Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TTD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TTD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.06 (52-wk range $11.62 - $50.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.