Stock Ratings / Energy / TUSK / forecast

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Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.18 +9.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $153.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUSK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.18 (+9.28% 1D, market cap $153.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?

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Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23 (+1.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TUSK SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.80-3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.69+5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.83+12.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.18-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TUSK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TUSK currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TUSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TUSK Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.18: 3144.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.25

$7,075

$-2,925 (-29.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.88

$9,057

$-943 (-9.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $4.12

$12,956

+$2,956 (+29.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$3	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$4	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$3	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUSK)

✓Walkthrough of TUSK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TUSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $2.91H $3.18L $2.91C $3.18VOL 493.9K

RES: $3.25SUP: $2.48SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $2.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUSK Butterfly Map → + Track TUSK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUSK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUSK)

Energy Rank #184 of 211 ⚔️ KLXE vs TUSK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TUSK vs. KLXE, NINE, NOA, RNGR)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($153.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with TUSK at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TUSK ACTIVE Mammoth Energy Services Inc.	D-	37/100	30.5x	—	-29.0%	+9.28%	$153.0M	Benchmark Subject
KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.	E	25/100	—	21.2%	-13.8%	-4.31%	$117.3M	/klxe-vs-tusk →
NINE Nine Energy Service Inc.	E	17/100	—	—	0.9%	-0.25%	$109.4M	/nine-vs-tusk →
NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)	D	46/100	—	—	—	-4.39%	$332.2M	/noa-vs-tusk →
RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	29.4x	—	4.2%	-1.44%	$356.1M	/rngr-vs-tusk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001679268

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported GAAP revenue of $44.3M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.6M , and -85.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$18.6M, and free cash flow of -$89.1M (-149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUSK closed FY2025 with $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$44.3M	$4.6M	-$18.6M	-$89.1M	$334.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$45.6M	-$207.3M	$180.7M	$179.5M	$384.0M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$309.5M	-$3.2M	$31.4M	$31.4M	—	—

3. TUSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?

Where is TUSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUSK last traded at $3.18 (+9.28% on volume of 493,867 shares), positioning the stock +7.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and +13.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.72 to $3.92, TUSK sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($2.88 to $3.48).

TUSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TUSK's 12-month stock price target?

Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.88 (-9.4% from $3.18), with a bull-case target of $4.12 and a bear-case floor of $2.25.

Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TUSK D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 37/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TUSK RQD Cockpit TUSK 12M Forecast TUSK Earnings & Move TUSK Dividends & DRIP TUSK Insiders & 13F TUSK Whale Options TUSK Profit Sankey TUSK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TUSK — Mammoth Energy Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TUSK carries an RQD Score of 33 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted at 20 points:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 0 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -29% and an FCF yield of 0%. This pillar contributes nothing to the score, meaning the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow that the rating can credit.
Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating describes this as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Partial credit is given, indicating some institutional activity, but not enough to offset weak fundamentals.
Insider Conviction: 6 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Modest credit is assigned.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but it reflects positioning relative to the market rather than company quality.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Altman and Piotroski readings are weak, and they are the main forensic concern in the score.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical implication is that the rating's largest deductions come from the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, the two areas that most directly determine whether a company can sustain itself without external capital. The one pillar with meaningful room is macro fit, which can help a stock in a favorable regime but does not repair underlying fundamentals. Any upside thesis would need to rest on a change in cash generation that the current source data does not show.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$44.3M	$-57.4M	$4.6M	N/A	$-89.1M	$102.0M	N/A
FY 2024	$45.6M	$-120.4M	$-207.3M	N/A	$179.5M	$60.8M	$0.0M
FY 2023	$309.5M	$-16.7M	$-3.2M	N/A	$31.4M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is 10.4%, a divergence that the source data does not reconcile. ROIC is -29%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both indicating financial weakness. The rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5. Revenue fell from $309.5M in FY 2023 to $45.6M in FY 2024 and $44.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are listed, all tagged to TUSK. Headlines cite Q3 earnings and margin improvement: one item carries a GREEN "CATALYST" impact label referencing a stock move on Q3 earnings margin lift, and the remaining items are YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" entries covering Q3 2026 results, earnings call materials, and estimates. The summaries are generic aggregator descriptions and do not contain the underlying financial figures. Risk watch items include the negative operating margin and ROIC shown in the source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the composition of revenue and the reason for the decline from $309.5M in FY 2023 to $44.3M in FY 2025?
How does a net margin of 10.4% coexist with an operating margin of -60% and net income of $4.6M against operating income of $-57.4M in FY 2025?
What is the debt balance, since the FY 2025 debt field is N/A and FY 2024 shows $0.0M?
What drove the FY 2024 FCF of $179.5M against an operating loss of $-120.4M?
What are the consensus analyst ratings and institutional holder positions, given both source sections are empty?

TUSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TUSK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Rallies On Q3 Earnings Margin Lift

Yahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 21h ago

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:TUSK

TradingView report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:TUSK) 2026-10-30

Seeking Alpha report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Mammoth Energy Services Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Benzinga report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Jumps As Q3 Earnings Lift Margins

Simply Wall St report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Mammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) Share Price Breaks Above 50-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Stock Titan • 1d ago

For the third time, Mammoth Energy (TUSK) raises its 2026 outlook.

Stock Titan report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TUSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.18?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUSK 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.56 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TUSK (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $2.91?

Welcome to the TUSK (Mammoth Energy Services Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.36 (-18.9%)

Spot @ $2.91

Pump the brakes on TUSK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TUSK, but look at what you are paying: 30.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Mammoth Energy Services Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.40 (+16.8%)

Spot @ $2.91

TUSK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TUSK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.91 (52-wk range $1.72 - $3.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.