MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 21h ago
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Rallies On Q3 Earnings Margin LiftYahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TUSK Stock dropped -2.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.10 -2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.08
Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $153.0M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUSK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (-2.52% 1D, market cap $153.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?
▼
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?
▼
Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.08 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUSK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TUSK SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (35% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.80-3.9% Next Q
29
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.69+5.2% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.83+9.5% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade D-$3.10-8.1% Hist 90D α
37
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TUSK Turnaround Squeeze
While TUSK currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.95) and Max Pain ($3.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.12.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUSK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TUSK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TUSK Stock dropped -2.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) dropped -2.52% to $3.10, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($1.72 – $3.92). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($1.72 – $3.92) with RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $3.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TUSK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:TUSKTradingView report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:TUSK) 2026-10-30Seeking Alpha report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptBenzinga report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSimply Wall St • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Jumps As Q3 Earnings Lift MarginsSimply Wall St report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryYahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) Share Price Breaks Above 50-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell?MarketBeat report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTStock Titan • 1d ago
For the third time, Mammoth Energy (TUSK) raises its 2026 outlook.Stock Titan report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Mammoth Energy (TUSK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptAviation leasing drove profitability ahead of schedule with margins expanding to 27.2%.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Mammoth Energy Services Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsMammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) reported a sharp improvement in third-quarter profitability, driven by increased aviation leasing activity, stronger sand margins and higher accommodations utilization. The company a
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUSK)
- ✓Walkthrough of TUSK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TUSK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.91H $3.18L $2.91C $3.10VOL 493.9K
RES: $3.25SUP: $2.48SMA50: $2.95SMA200: $2.79
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TUSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUSK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUSK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUSK)
Energy Rank #184 of 211
⚔️ KLXE vs TUSK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TUSK vs. KLXE, NINE, NOA, RNGR)
Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($153.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNGR leads on earnings valuation at 29.4x trailing P/E, while RNGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and — gross margin. RNGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with TUSK at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUSK
ACTIVE
Mammoth Energy Services Inc. | D- | 37/100 | 30.5x | — | -29.0% | -2.52% | $153.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| KLXE KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | 21.2% | -13.8% | -9.01% | $117.3M | /klxe-vs-tusk → |
| NINE Nine Energy Service Inc. | E | 17/100 | — | — | 0.9% | -5.61% | $109.4M | /nine-vs-tusk → |
| NOA North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -1.75% | $332.2M | /noa-vs-tusk → |
| RNGR Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | 29.4x | — | 4.2% | -6.06% | $356.1M | /rngr-vs-tusk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001679268 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported GAAP revenue of $44.3M (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.6M , and -85.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.6M, operating cash flow of -$18.6M, and free cash flow of -$89.1M (-149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUSK closed FY2025 with $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $44.3M | $4.6M | -$18.6M | -$89.1M | $334.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $45.6M | -$207.3M | $180.7M | $179.5M | $384.0M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $309.5M | -$3.2M | $31.4M | $31.4M | — | — |
3. TUSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TUSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TUSK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (-2.52% 1D, market cap $153.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TUSK ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TUSK compare to KLXE and NINE in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), TUSK carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.0%. By comparison, KLXE (KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.8%, cap $117.3M) and NINE (Nine Energy Service Inc.) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $109.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNGR leads on earnings multiple (29.4x) while RNGR leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUSK?
Per TUSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001679268), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. generated $44.3M in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $4.6M in net income, and -$89.1M in free cash flow against $334.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TUSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TUSK last traded at $3.10 (-2.52% on volume of 316,232 shares), positioning the stock +5.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.95) and +11.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.72 to $3.92, TUSK sits at the 62.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($2.81 to $3.39).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
TUSK — Mammoth Energy Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.10 (-2.52% 1D, market capitalization $153.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -29.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
And profile, Mammoth Energy Services Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Energy sector, operating within Oilfield Services/Equipment. — describes its specific products, customers, or revenue mix. The profile confirms a market capitalization of $0.1B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) reported $44.3M in annual revenue (up from $45.6M in FY2024, -2.9% YoY) and $4.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($309.5M revenue, -$3.2M net income) through FY2025, TUSK scaled operating cash flow to -$18.6M and free cash flow to -$89.1M, backed by $334.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.72 – $3.92 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 30.5x trailing P/E against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level information is the Energy / Oilfield Services/Equipment classification and the beta of 1.0 per the market data.
- Key Question #1: Can TUSK sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -29.0% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $44.3M and free cash flow of -$89.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is TUSK's 28.4x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
TUSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Rallies On Q3 Earnings Margin Lift Yahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:TUSK TradingView report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:TUSK) 2026-10-30 Seeking Alpha report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Benzinga report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK) Stock Jumps As Q3 Earnings Lift Margins Simply Wall St report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary Yahoo Finance report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Mammoth Energy Services (NASDAQ:TUSK) Share Price Breaks Above 50-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell? MarketBeat report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Stock Titan • 1d ago
For the third time, Mammoth Energy (TUSK) raises its 2026 outlook. Stock Titan report covering Mammoth Energy Services Inc. (TUSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
TUSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.10?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUSK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $3.75 (+17.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate Macro regime fit at 11 / 20 and whale 13F flow at 9 / 20 show the stock has some market positioning support despite weak fundamentals.
Here is why I am bullish on TUSK here at $3.18: Macro regime fit at 11 / 20 and whale 13F flow at 9 / 20 show the stock has some market positioning support despite weak fundamentals.. Compare TUSK's -60.0% operating margin and -29.0% ROIC against the rest of Oilfield Services/Equipment. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $3.02 are getting bought.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.18 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.96.
RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $2.67 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $3.18 ROIC of -29%, a 0% FCF yield, and an Altman Z of 0.2 leave the fundamental cash engine scoring 0 / 20.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TUSK above $3.18. ROIC of -29%, a 0% FCF yield, and an Altman Z of 0.2 leave the fundamental cash engine scoring 0 / 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (0/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $3.92.