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Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$52.14 -1.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.93

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (NYSE: TX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $52.14 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $10.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TX ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TX compare to GGB and CRS in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GGB (Gerdau S.A.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.22B) and CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $14.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TX?
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For Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #71 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.93 (-0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$63 Bull$51 Base$40 Bear
📬 FREE TX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TX SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 7.3% FCF Margin ($290.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$58.99+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$59.69-8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$54.68-4.6% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$52.14-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TX currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($56.31) and Max Pain ($54.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $63.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TX Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.94%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $54.06H $54.06L $52.14C $52.14VOL 374.1K
RES: $60.69SUP: $52.29SMA50: $56.31SMA200: $47.73
$61.78$55.29$48.80$42.31$35.83RES $60.69SUP $52.29$52.142026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TX Butterfly Map → + Track TX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TX)

Materials Rank #71 of 270 ⚔️ GGB vs TX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TX vs. GGB, CRS, CMC, PKX)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) ranks #71 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #42 by equity capitalization ($10.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. CRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with TX at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TX ACTIVE
Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)
D+ 53/100 — — — -1.19% $10.36B Benchmark Subject
GGB
Gerdau S.A.
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.43% $9.22B /ggb-vs-tx →
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
C- 61/100 39.4x 26.7% 16.9% +2.78% $14.02B /crs-vs-tx →
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
D 46/100 85.3x — 1.5% +2.94% $7.04B /cmc-vs-tx →
PKX
POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )
D 44/100 — — — +3.28% $16.08B /pkx-vs-tx →

2. TX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $10.36B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (NYSE: TX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $52.14 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $10.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TX ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TX compare to GGB and CRS in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GGB (Gerdau S.A.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.22B) and CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $14.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TX?

For Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #71 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TX last traded at $52.14 (-1.19% on volume of 562,003 shares), positioning the stock -7.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.31) and +9.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.73). Across its 52-week range of $35.12 to $60.21, TX sits at the 67.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($48.75 to $55.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: TX RQD Cockpit TX 12M Forecast TX Earnings & Move TX Dividends & DRIP TX Insiders & 13F TX Whale Options TX Profit Sankey TX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TX — Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $52.14 (-1.19% 1D, market capitalization $10.36B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ternium S.A. Is classified in the Materials sector and Steel/Iron Ore industry, listed on the NYSE. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.12 – $60.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials), TX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can TX sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Steel/Iron Ore peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $60.21 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TX's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $52.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.49 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9.

Long TX at $52.77 targeting $66.49. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $35.12 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TX's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.16 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $52.77

The fundamental cash engine scores 12 of 20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and insider and whale flow both score only 9 of 20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on TX: The fundamental cash engine scores 12 of 20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and insider and whale flow both score only 9 of 20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Steel/Iron Ore triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE