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Stock Ratings / Technology / UCTT / earnings
POWI (50) NVTS (30) LASR (46) AMBA (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$49.71 -9.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.80

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.38B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on UCTT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UCTT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UCTT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $49.71 (-9.12% 1D, market cap $2.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UCTT ranks #448 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UCTT compare to POWI and NVTS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UCTT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -9.8%. By comparison, POWI (Power Integrations Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 124.0x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $2.45B) and NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UCTT?
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Per UCTT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001275014), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-2.1% YoY), -$181.2M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $467.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.80 (-1.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$151 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE UCTT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UCTT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UCTT SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($15.3M FCF) & 15.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.26 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (39.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$56.79-8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$52.22+7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$55.88-11% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$49.71-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UCTT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UCTT currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($65.34) and Max Pain ($52.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $151.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UCTT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UCTT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 25, 2026 (~52 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$6.21 Expected Swing
$43.50 (-12.5%)Spot $49.71$55.92 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

UCTT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 43/100

Trailing EPS: $-3.78 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.1%

Model Bullish Setup (43/100)Model Risk Weight (57/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-26$2.05B-$181.2M$15.3M15.7%
FY 20242024-12-27$2.10B$23.7M$1.5M17%
FY 20232023-12-29$1.73B-$31.1M$57.8M15.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UCTT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of UCTT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UCTT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.01%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $54.70H $54.70L $49.71C $49.71VOL 2.07M
RES: $58.49SUP: $39.00SMA50: $65.34SMA200: $74.72
$151.6$121.1$90.59$60.10$29.61RES $58.49SUP $39.00$49.712026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UCTT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UCTT Butterfly Map → + Track UCTT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UCTT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UCTT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UCTT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UCTT)

Technology Rank #448 of 714 ⚔️ POWI vs UCTT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UCTT vs. POWI, NVTS, LASR, AMBA)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) ranks #448 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #274 by equity capitalization ($2.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POWI leads on earnings valuation at 124.0x trailing P/E, while POWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 54.5% gross margin. POWI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with UCTT at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UCTT ACTIVE
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 — 15.7% -9.8% -9.12% $2.38B Benchmark Subject
POWI
Power Integrations Inc.
D 50/100 124.0x 54.5% 1.3% -10.54% $2.45B /powi-vs-uctt →
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation
E 30/100 — 31.0% -35.0% -7.83% $2.21B /nvts-vs-uctt →
LASR
nLIGHT Inc.
D 46/100 — 29.8% -16.4% -4.82% $2.14B /lasr-vs-uctt →
AMBA
Ambarella Inc.
D 49/100 — 59.2% -16.1% -2.26% $2.79B /amba-vs-uctt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001275014

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$181.2M, operating cash flow of $65.6M, and free cash flow of $15.3M (+920.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, UCTT closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $467.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-26 $2.05B -$181.2M $65.6M $15.3M $1.73B $467.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-27 $2.10B $23.7M $65.0M $1.5M $1.92B $442.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $1.73B -$31.1M $135.9M $57.8M $2.08B $487.0M

3. UCTT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UCTT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UCTT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $49.71 (-9.12% 1D, market cap $2.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UCTT ranks #448 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UCTT compare to POWI and NVTS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UCTT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -9.8%. By comparison, POWI (Power Integrations Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 124.0x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $2.45B) and NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UCTT?

Per UCTT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001275014), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-2.1% YoY), -$181.2M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $467.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UCTT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UCTT last traded at $49.71 (-9.12% on volume of 2,068,705 shares), positioning the stock -23.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.34) and -33.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.72). Across its 52-week range of $21.49 to $144.22, UCTT sits at the 23.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($43.50 to $55.92).

UCTT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is UCTT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 25, 2026.

How much is UCTT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for UCTT, spanning a range between $43.5 and $55.92.

Direct Sub-Reports: UCTT RQD Cockpit UCTT 12M Forecast UCTT Earnings & Move UCTT Dividends & DRIP UCTT Insiders & 13F UCTT Whale Options UCTT Profit Sankey UCTT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UCTT — Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, UCTT scores 43 out of 100, a D- grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -9.8% and FCF yield is 0.58%. A negative return on invested capital means the company is currently not earning back its capital base, which weakens the case for paying a premium multiple on future cash flows.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning scores poorly. Limited smart-money support reduces the likelihood of a flow-driven rerating.
  • Insider conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak, offering little evidence of insiders signaling confidence.
  • Macro regime fit: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.36 with sector sensitivity, implying the stock amplifies market moves in both directions and is poorly positioned for a risk-off regime.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.26, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.66. These figures indicate a balance sheet that is serviceable but not pristine.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the forward P/E of 19 and a recovering operating picture, while the valuation tradeoff is that trailing earnings are negative (EPS TTM -3.78) and FCF yield is minimal. The overall rating signals that near-term flow and macro conditions are unfavorable, so any position would depend on a fundamental turnaround materializing.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2054.0M$-107.4M$-181.2MN/A$15.3M$311.8M$467.0M
FY 2024$2097.6M$91.2M$23.7MN/A$1.5M$313.9M$442.8M
FY 2023$1734.5M$35.2M$-31.1MN/A$57.8MN/A$487.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while operating income swung from $91.2M to $-107.4M. Per the market data, operating margin is -5.2% and net margin is -8.8%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -9.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.66. Per the SEC financials, debt was $467.0M against cash of $311.8M at FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items cover UCTT: a Yahoo Finance piece on possible undervaluation based on its sales profile, a Stocktwits news aggregation, a Trefis analysis titled around how much time the company's cash buys, a Seeking Alpha rating-upgrade article (flagged as a catalyst with GREEN light), a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page, and a Motley Fool piece on a rally. Five items are flagged YELLOW as market wire; one is GREEN as a catalyst. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are available. The news feed does not provide the substantive content of these articles, so specific catalyst details beyond headlines are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data beyond the sector classification of Technology / Semiconductors.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from positive FY 2024 operating income of $91.2M to the FY 2025 operating loss of $-107.4M, and is it recurring?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2024 and FY 2025, given that the source reports EPS as N/A?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source data does not provide?
  • What is the current consensus analyst rating and price target, and who holds the stock among institutions and insiders?
  • What is the company's revenue mix by product and customer, and how exposed is it to semiconductor capital-spending cycles?

UCTT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UCTT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UCTT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $49.71?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UCTT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UCTT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.14 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UCTT (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $54.70?

Welcome to the UCTT (Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $44.31 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $54.70

Pump the brakes on UCTT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UCTT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 15.7% gross margins. Unless Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.47 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $54.70

UCTT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UCTT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.70 (52-wk range $21.49 - $144.22), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%