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Why UCTT Stock dropped -5.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$46.83 -5.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.38B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UCTT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UCTT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $46.83 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $2.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, UCTT ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UCTT compare to POWI and NVTS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UCTT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -9.8%. By comparison, POWI (Power Integrations Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 124.0x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $2.45B) and NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UCTT?
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Per UCTT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001275014), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-2.1% YoY), -$181.2M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $467.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25 (-1.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$151 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE UCTT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UCTT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UCTT SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.7% FCF Margin ($15.3M FCF) & 15.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.26 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (39.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$56.79-8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$52.22+7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$55.88-16.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$46.83-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UCTT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While UCTT currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($65.34) and Max Pain ($49.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $151.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UCTT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UCTT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why UCTT Stock dropped -5.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) dropped -5.79% to $46.83, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($21.49 – $144.22). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($21.49 – $144.22) with RSI-14 at 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $46.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 15.7% gross margin and $15.3M annual free cash flow.
Live UCTT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Why Ultra Clean Holdings Rallied Today

The Motley Fool report covering Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UCTT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of UCTT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UCTT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.95%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $54.70H $54.70L $46.83C $46.83VOL 2.07M
RES: $58.49SUP: $39.00SMA50: $65.34SMA200: $74.72
$151.6$121.1$90.59$60.10$29.61RES $58.49SUP $39.00$46.832026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UCTT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UCTT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UCTT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UCTT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UCTT)

Technology Rank #449 of 715 ⚔️ POWI vs UCTT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UCTT vs. POWI, NVTS, LASR, AMBA)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) ranks #449 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #275 by equity capitalization ($2.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POWI leads on earnings valuation at 124.0x trailing P/E, while POWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 54.5% gross margin. POWI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with UCTT at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UCTT ACTIVE
Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 — 15.7% -9.8% -5.79% $2.38B Benchmark Subject
POWI
Power Integrations Inc.
D 50/100 124.0x 54.5% 1.3% +2.26% $2.45B /powi-vs-uctt →
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation
E 30/100 — 31.0% -35.0% -6.49% $2.21B /nvts-vs-uctt →
LASR
nLIGHT Inc.
D 46/100 — 29.8% -16.4% -3.66% $2.14B /lasr-vs-uctt →
AMBA
Ambarella Inc.
D 49/100 — 59.2% -16.1% -2.30% $2.79B /amba-vs-uctt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001275014 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.05B (-2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$181.2M, operating cash flow of $65.6M, and free cash flow of $15.3M (+920.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, UCTT closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $467.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.26, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-26 $2.05B -$181.2M $65.6M $15.3M $1.73B $467.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-27 $2.10B $23.7M $65.0M $1.5M $1.92B $442.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $1.73B -$31.1M $135.9M $57.8M $2.08B $487.0M

3. UCTT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UCTT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UCTT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $46.83 (-5.79% 1D, market cap $2.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, UCTT ranks #449 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UCTT compare to POWI and NVTS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UCTT carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -9.8%. By comparison, POWI (Power Integrations Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 124.0x, ROIC 1.3%, cap $2.45B) and NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POWI leads on earnings multiple (124.0x) while POWI leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UCTT?

Per UCTT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001275014), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. generated $2.05B in revenue (-2.1% YoY), -$181.2M in net income, and $15.3M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $467.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UCTT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UCTT last traded at $46.83 (-5.79% on volume of 1,537,414 shares), positioning the stock -28.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.34) and -37.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.72). Across its 52-week range of $21.49 to $144.22, UCTT sits at the 20.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($40.98 to $52.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

UCTT — Ultra Clean Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-26

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $46.83 (-5.79% 1D, market capitalization $2.38B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -9.8%, gross margin of 15.7%, operating margin of -5.2%, and free cash flow yield of 0.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.36x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.26, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 15.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-26), Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) reported $2.05B in annual revenue (up from $2.10B in FY2024, -2.1% YoY) and -$181.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.73B revenue, -$31.1M net income) through FY2025, UCTT scaled operating cash flow to $65.6M and free cash flow to $15.3M, backed by $1.73B in total assets against $467.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.58% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.49 – $144.22 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -5.2% operating margins and a 1.36x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), UCTT carries a macro regime beta of 1.36 and gross margin of 15.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can UCTT sustain or expand its -5.2% operating margin and -9.8% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.05B and free cash flow of $15.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $467.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is UCTT's 19.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.36x)?

UCTT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UCTT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UCTT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $46.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UCTT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UCTT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $58.16 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 19 and an Altman Z of 3.26 suggest the balance sheet and forward earnings expectations may support a recovery from a wea

The street is overcomplicating Ultra Clean Holdings Inc. (UCTT). Forward P/E of 19 and an Altman Z of 3.26 suggest the balance sheet and forward earnings expectations may support a recovery from a weak trailing year.. With an RQD score of 43/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $53.69.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 19.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (15.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.28 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $49.71

ROIC of -9.8%, EPS of -3.78, and a 5/20 macro-fit score with beta of 1.36 point to a stock that is losing capital and vulnerable to ris

I respect the product at Ultra Clean Holdings Inc., but the stock at $49.71 is a different story. ROIC of -9.8%, EPS of -3.78, and a 5/20 macro-fit score with beta of 1.36 point to a stock that is losing capital and vulnerable to risk-off flows.. FCF yield is 0.58% and RQD sits at 43/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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