MARKET WIRETradingView • 21h ago
United-Guardian, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:UGTradingView report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why UG Stock surged +2.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.25 +2.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.30
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $32.5M
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Is UG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, United-Guardian Inc. (NASDAQ: UG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UG ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does UG compare to AXIL and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), UG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.8%. By comparison, AXIL (AXIL Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $37.7M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXIL leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while AXIL leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UG?
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Per UG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000101295), United-Guardian Inc. generated $6.3M in revenue (-38.5% YoY), $2.1M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $13.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.30 (+0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 30.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UG SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$6.86-1.5% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$6.76-1.3% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$6.67+8.7% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade B-$7.25+6.8% Hist 90D α
71
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, UG faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.03) or 200D SMA ($6.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.67) toward Bear Floor ($5.94).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why UG Stock surged +2.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) surged +2.55% to $7.25, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($5.58 – $8.45). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($5.58 – $8.45) with RSI-14 at 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $7.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.9M annual free cash flow.
Live UG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREhttps://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) Slips 0.29% to $6.82 as Shares Test Lower End of Recent Range - Overbought Signal Alertshttps://www.siam.in/ report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Why (UG) Price Action Is Critical for Tactical TradingStock Traders Daily report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Atlas Trinity Tech (ATTT) Stock Price, News & AnalysisStock Titan report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingKey • 1d ago
Complete U.S. Stocks List: Prices, Performance and Key DataTradingKey report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Acme United Corporation (ACU) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTTradingKey • 1d ago
Top U.S. Stock Gainers: Biggest Price IncreasesTradingKey report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
What Does Sherwin-Williams Offer That IFF Does Not?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UG Tape Review)
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UG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $6.66H $7.25L $6.66C $7.25VOL 15.7K
RES: $7.53SUP: $6.58SMA50: $7.03SMA200: $6.96
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
UG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -38.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #144 of 1009
⚔️ AXIL vs UG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (UG vs. AXIL, WNW, SLSN, CABR)
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United-Guardian Inc. (UG) ranks #144 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #850 by equity capitalization ($32.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXIL leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while AXIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and 69.3% gross margin. UG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UG
ACTIVE
United-Guardian Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 14.5x | — | 17.8% | +2.55% | $32.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| AXIL AXIL Brands Inc. | D | 47/100 | 13.6x | 69.3% | 38.5% | +7.79% | $37.7M | /axil-vs-ug → |
| WNW Meiwu Technology Company Limited | D | 49/100 | — | 10.1% | -22.0% | -2.98% | $52.9M | /wnw-vs-ug → |
| SLSN Solesence Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 32.9x | 25.9% | 9.7% | +0.69% | $60.1M | /slsn-vs-ug → |
| CABR Caring Brands Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 55.6% | -35.0% | -7.96% | $11.8M | /cabr-vs-ug → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000101295 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United-Guardian Inc. (UG) reported GAAP revenue of $6.3M (-38.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.2M , and -21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.9M (-37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UG closed FY2025 with $13.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.3M | $2.1M | $2.0M | $1.9M | $13.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $10.2M | $3.3M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $13.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $8.0M | $2.6M | $3.1M | $3.1M | — | — |
3. UG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, United-Guardian Inc. (NASDAQ: UG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UG ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UG compare to AXIL and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), UG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.8%. By comparison, AXIL (AXIL Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $37.7M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXIL leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while AXIL leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UG?
Per UG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000101295), United-Guardian Inc. generated $6.3M in revenue (-38.5% YoY), $2.1M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $13.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UG last traded at $7.25 (+2.55% on volume of 18,600 shares), positioning the stock +3.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.03) and +4.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.96). Across its 52-week range of $5.58 to $8.45, UG sits at the 58.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.68 to $7.82).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
UG — United-Guardian Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market capitalization $32.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 6.24%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry,. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue model are — The reported revenue figure of — across periods does not allow a description of how the company generates income.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), United-Guardian Inc. (UG) reported $6.3M in annual revenue (up from $10.2M in FY2024, -38.5% YoY) and $2.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.0M revenue, $2.6M net income) through FY2025, UG scaled operating cash flow to $2.0M and free cash flow to $1.9M, backed by $13.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.58 – $8.45 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 14.5x trailing P/E and 12.8x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary and Package Goods/Cosmetics classification are — No 2nd-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided sources.
- Key Question #1: Can UG sustain or expand its — operating margin and 17.8% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.3M and free cash flow of $1.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is UG's 13.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
UG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United-Guardian Inc. (UG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 21h ago
United-Guardian, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:UG TradingView report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) Slips 0.29% to $6.82 as Shares Test Lower End of Recent Range - Overbought Signal Alerts https://www.siam.in/ report covering United-Guardian Inc. (UG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
UG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.25?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $8.63 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate Insider conviction (17/20) and a 17.8% ROIC with a 6.24% FCF yield support the rating despite a small market cap.
Picked up a starter position in UG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $7.07. Insider conviction (17/20) and a 17.8% ROIC with a 6.24% FCF yield support the rating despite a small market cap.. Trading inside a $5.58–$8.45 52-week range with 6.24% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Package Goods/Cosmetics multiples expand this quarter.
EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — UG's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $5.51 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $7.07 Revenue is reported as $0.0M across all periods, margins read 0%, and institutional flow scores only 5/20.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on UG: Revenue is reported as $0.0M across all periods, margins read 0%, and institutional flow scores only 5/20.. At 14.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Package Goods/Cosmetics triggers a 12-15% air pocket.