ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / UG / options
AXIL (47) WNW (49) SLSN (38) CABR (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

United-Guardian Inc. (UG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.25 +2.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.30

United-Guardian Inc. (UG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $32.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on UG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, United-Guardian Inc. (NASDAQ: UG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UG ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UG compare to AXIL and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), UG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.8%. By comparison, AXIL (AXIL Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $37.7M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXIL leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while AXIL leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UG?
▼

Per UG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000101295), United-Guardian Inc. generated $6.3M in revenue (-38.5% YoY), $2.1M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $13.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.30 (+0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 30.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B- · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$9 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE UG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UG SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$6.86-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$6.76-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$6.67+8.7% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$7.25+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, UG faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.03) or 200D SMA ($6.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.67) toward Bear Floor ($5.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (UG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for UG.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating UG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on UG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
UG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $6.66H $7.25L $6.66C $7.25VOL 15.7K
RES: $7.53SUP: $6.58SMA50: $7.03SMA200: $6.96
$8.58$8.04$7.51$6.97$6.43RES $7.53SUP $6.58$7.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UG Butterfly Map → + Track UG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -38.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #144 of 1009 ⚔️ AXIL vs UG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (UG vs. AXIL, WNW, SLSN, CABR)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United-Guardian Inc. (UG) ranks #144 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #850 by equity capitalization ($32.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXIL leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while AXIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and 69.3% gross margin. UG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UG ACTIVE
United-Guardian Inc.
B- 71/100 14.5x — 17.8% +2.55% $32.5M Benchmark Subject
AXIL
AXIL Brands Inc.
D 47/100 13.6x 69.3% 38.5% +7.79% $37.7M /axil-vs-ug →
WNW
Meiwu Technology Company Limited
D 49/100 — 10.1% -22.0% -2.98% $52.9M /wnw-vs-ug →
SLSN
Solesence Inc.
D- 38/100 32.9x 25.9% 9.7% +0.69% $60.1M /slsn-vs-ug →
CABR
Caring Brands Inc.
D- 40/100 — 55.6% -35.0% -7.96% $11.8M /cabr-vs-ug →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000101295 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United-Guardian Inc. (UG) reported GAAP revenue of $6.3M (-38.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.2M , and -21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.9M (-37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UG closed FY2025 with $13.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.3M $2.1M $2.0M $1.9M $13.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.2M $3.3M $3.5M $3.0M $13.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.0M $2.6M $3.1M $3.1M — —

3. UG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, United-Guardian Inc. (NASDAQ: UG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market cap $32.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UG ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UG compare to AXIL and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), UG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.8%. By comparison, AXIL (AXIL Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $37.7M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXIL leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while AXIL leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UG?

Per UG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000101295), United-Guardian Inc. generated $6.3M in revenue (-38.5% YoY), $2.1M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $13.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UG last traded at $7.25 (+2.55% on volume of 18,600 shares), positioning the stock +3.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.03) and +4.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.96). Across its 52-week range of $5.58 to $8.45, UG sits at the 58.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.68 to $7.82).

Direct Sub-Reports: UG RQD Cockpit UG 12M Forecast UG Earnings & Move UG Dividends & DRIP UG Insiders & 13F UG Whale Options UG Profit Sankey UG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

UG — United-Guardian Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

United-Guardian Inc. (UG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $7.25 (+2.55% 1D, market capitalization $32.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 6.24%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

United-Guardian Inc. (UG) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry,. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue model are — The reported revenue figure of — across periods does not allow a description of how the company generates income.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), United-Guardian Inc. (UG) reported $6.3M in annual revenue (up from $10.2M in FY2024, -38.5% YoY) and $2.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.0M revenue, $2.6M net income) through FY2025, UG scaled operating cash flow to $2.0M and free cash flow to $1.9M, backed by $13.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.58 – $8.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 14.5x trailing P/E and 12.8x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary and Package Goods/Cosmetics classification are — No 2nd-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can UG sustain or expand its — operating margin and 17.8% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.3M and free cash flow of $1.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is UG's 13.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

UG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United-Guardian Inc. (UG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.63 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (17/20) and a 17.8% ROIC with a 6.24% FCF yield support the rating despite a small market cap.

Picked up a starter position in UG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $7.07. Insider conviction (17/20) and a 17.8% ROIC with a 6.24% FCF yield support the rating despite a small market cap.. Trading inside a $5.58–$8.45 52-week range with 6.24% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Package Goods/Cosmetics multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — UG's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.51 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $7.07

Revenue is reported as $0.0M across all periods, margins read 0%, and institutional flow scores only 5/20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on UG: Revenue is reported as $0.0M across all periods, margins read 0%, and institutional flow scores only 5/20.. At 14.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Package Goods/Cosmetics triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE