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USBC Inc. (USBC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.42 +1.78% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42

USBC Inc. (USBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $159.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is USBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, USBC Inc. (NYSE: USBC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $159.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, USBC ranks #927 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does USBC compare to NSLR and EXOD in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USBC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -18.4%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and EXOD (Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $155.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USBC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USBC?
β–Ό

Per USBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001074828), USBC Inc. generated $50.5M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), -$22.1M in net income, and -$7.6M in free cash flow against $93.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$1 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE USBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY USBC SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$0.48-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$0.44-4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$0.42+0% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$0.42-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USBC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While USBC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.48) and Max Pain ($0.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.05.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USBCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œUSBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (USBC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for USBC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USBC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of USBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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USBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.44%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.44H $0.44L $0.41C $0.42VOL 177.8K
RES: $0.58SUP: $0.42SMA50: $0.48SMA200: $0.41
$0.93$0.76$0.58$0.41$0.24RES $0.58SUP $0.42$0.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ USBC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track USBC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USBC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USBC)

Financials Rank #927 of 1097 βš”οΈ NSLR vs USBC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (USBC vs. NSLR, EXOD, AMBR, TONX)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, USBC Inc. (USBC) ranks #927 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #919 by equity capitalization ($159.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USBC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with USBC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
USBC ACTIVE
USBC Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” β€” -18.4% +1.78% $159.0M Benchmark Subject
NSLR
Neostellar Capital Corp.
D+ 52/100 β€” β€” 23.8% +1.26% $157.0M /nslr-vs-usbc β†’
EXOD
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 β€” β€” -4.6% -2.91% $155.5M /exod-vs-usbc β†’
AMBR
Amber International Holding Limited
E 28/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +7.35% $166.9M /ambr-vs-usbc β†’
TONX
TON Strategy Company
E 32/100 β€” β€” -7.8% -4.90% $168.5M /tonx-vs-usbc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001074828 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), USBC Inc. (USBC) reported GAAP revenue of $50.5M (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $42.6M , and +28.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.1M, operating cash flow of -$7.6M, and free cash flow of -$7.6M (+41.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, USBC closed FY2025 with $93.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $50.5M -$22.1M -$7.6M -$7.6M $93.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $42.6M -$16.6M -$12.8M -$12.9M $1.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $39.3M -$15.3M -$10.4M -$10.4M β€” β€”

3. USBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, USBC Inc. (NYSE: USBC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $159.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, USBC ranks #927 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USBC compare to NSLR and EXOD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), USBC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -18.4%. By comparison, NSLR (Neostellar Capital Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 23.8%, cap $157.0M) and EXOD (Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $155.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USBC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USBC?

Per USBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001074828), USBC Inc. generated $50.5M in revenue (+18.5% YoY), -$22.1M in net income, and -$7.6M in free cash flow against $93.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USBC last traded at $0.42 (+1.78% on volume of 86,078 shares), positioning the stock -12.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.48) and +2.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.41). Across its 52-week range of $0.29 to $1.00, USBC sits at the 18.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.47).

Direct Sub-Reports: USBC RQD Cockpit USBC 12M Forecast USBC Earnings & Move USBC Dividends & DRIP USBC Insiders & 13F USBC Whale Options USBC Profit Sankey USBC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

USBC β€” USBC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

USBC Inc. (USBC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.42 (+1.78% 1D, market capitalization $159.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -18.4%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of -4.49%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

USBC Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance: Consumer Services industry. Reported revenue is β€” across the available FY periods, so the company does not currently report material top-line revenue. Market capitalization is $169.2M per market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), USBC Inc. (USBC) reported $50.5M in annual revenue (up from $42.6M in FY2024, +18.5% YoY) and -$22.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($39.3M revenue, -$15.3M net income) through FY2025, USBC scaled operating cash flow to -$7.6M and free cash flow to -$7.6M, backed by $93.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.49% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.29 – $1.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are mapped. Sector and industry classification (Financials; Finance: Consumer Services) is the only structural context available. Investors should watch for dilution effects from the resale plan referenced in the news wire, since up to 357.8 million shares could enter the market without proceeds to the company. Price sensitivity near the $0.29 low of the 52-week range and the $0.41 current price is an additional second-order watch item given the sub-$1 trading level.

  • Key Question #1: Can USBC sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -18.4% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $50.5M and free cash flow of -$7.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is USBC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

USBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for USBC Inc. (USBC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to USBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

USBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.42?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON USBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on USBC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (+31.7%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional flow pillar scores 15/20 and Debt/Equity is 0.5, the strongest parts of an otherwise weak rating.

Long USBC at $0.41 targeting $0.54. Institutional flow pillar scores 15/20 and Debt/Equity is 0.5, the strongest parts of an otherwise weak rating.. Institutional whale score is 12/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.29 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.41 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.31 (-24.4%)
Spot @ $0.41

Negative ROIC of -18.4%, negative FCF yield of -4.49%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate the cash engine and balance sheet are no

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short USBC above $0.41. Negative ROIC of -18.4%, negative FCF yield of -4.49%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate the cash engine and balance sheet are not self-sustaining.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20) and FCF yield (-4.49%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $1.00.

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