Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $117.50 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $3.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #934 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.25B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).
Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While VAC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($106.50) and Max Pain ($123.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $137.91.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) advanced +1.74% to $117.50, trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($44.58 – $131.34). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AMC Entertainment (AMC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide has rallied strongly this year, and the sharp move puts fresh focus on whether the current price lines up with the cash the business can realistically generate. With the stock now far above w
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VAC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) ranks #934 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #314 by equity capitalization ($3.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRP leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while CIGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. MRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with VAC at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAC
ACTIVE
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -15.5% | +1.74% | $3.97B | Benchmark Subject |
| MRP Millrose Properties Inc. | C | 65/100 | 11.4x | — | 5.3% | +4.64% | $4.25B | /mrp-vs-vac → |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | 87.5x | — | 2.1% | +1.44% | $3.46B | /curb-vs-vac → |
| CIGI Colliers International Group Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 22.1% | +7.97% | $4.94B | /cigi-vs-vac → |
| VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. each representing ten (10) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +0.64% | $3.19B | /vtmx-vs-vac → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.67B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.63B , and +6.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$308.0M, operating cash flow of $28.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.0M (-119.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VAC closed FY2025 with $9.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.67B | -$308.0M | $28.0M | -$29.0M | $9.76B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.63B | $218.0M | $205.0M | $148.0M | $9.81B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.41B | $254.0M | $232.0M | $232.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: VAC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $117.50 (+1.74% 1D, market cap $3.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, VAC ranks #934 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), VAC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, MRP (Millrose Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $4.25B) and CURB (Curbline Properties Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 87.5x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $3.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).
Per VAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001524358), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation generated $4.67B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$308.0M in net income, and -$29.0M in free cash flow against $9.76B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
VAC last traded at $117.50 (+1.74% on volume of 528,964 shares), positioning the stock +10.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($106.50) and +35.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($86.87). Across its 52-week range of $44.58 to $131.34, VAC sits at the 84.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($109.39 to $125.61).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $117.50 (+1.74% 1D, market capitalization $3.97B).
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a NYSE-listed company classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry. Reported revenue was $4.67B for FY 2025, indicating a sizable operating base.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported $4.67B in annual revenue (up from $4.63B in FY2024, +1.0% YoY) and -$308.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.41B revenue, $254.0M net income) through FY2025, VAC scaled operating cash flow to $28.0M and free cash flow to -$29.0M, backed by $9.76B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks are — The only sector-level read-through in the news flow is the Royal Caribbean Q3 earnings item, which the source frames as related travel and leisure activity; its implications for VAC are not quantified in the source.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Here is why I am bullish on VAC here at $115.49: Institutional whale 13F flow scores 16 of 20, the strongest RQD pillar, indicating larger holders have been accumulating.. Compare VAC's 0.0% operating margin and -15.5% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $109.72 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — VAC's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Careful chasing VAC at $115.49. ROIC of -15.5% and FCF yield of -0.73% anchor the fundamental cash engine at only 5 of 20.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $93.55 on multiple compression.
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