Moomoo report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why VGZ Stock dropped -3.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is VGZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Vista Gold Corp (NYSE: VGZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.49 (-3.49% 1D, market cap $376.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VGZ ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does VGZ compare to URG and CMCL in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), VGZ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, URG (Ur Energy Inc (Canada)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $356.6M) and CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $413.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VGZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMQ leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VGZ?
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Per VGZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000783324), Vista Gold Corp generated $0 in revenue, -$7.5M in net income, and -$7.2M in free cash flow against $16.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VGZ Turnaround Squeeze
While VGZ currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.51) and Max Pain ($2.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.29.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why VGZ Stock dropped -3.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) dropped -3.49% to $2.49, trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($1.43 – $3.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 62% of its 52-week range ($1.43 – $3.13) with RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $2.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VGZ)
- ✓Walkthrough of VGZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
VGZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VGZ today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VGZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VGZ)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VGZ vs. URG, CMCL, TMQ, VOXR)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #188 by equity capitalization ($376.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VGZ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VOXR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with VGZ at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGZ
ACTIVE
Vista Gold Corp | D- | 42/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.49% | $376.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| URG Ur Energy Inc (Canada) | E | 26/100 | — | 0.3% | -35.0% | -4.97% | $356.6M | /urg-vs-vgz → |
| CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -5.37% | $413.8M | /cmcl-vs-vgz → |
| TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -34.0% | -5.19% | $418.9M | /tmq-vs-vgz → |
| VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -5.57% | $337.1M | /voxr-vs-vgz → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000783324In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$7.5M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$7.2M (-18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VGZ closed FY2025 with $16.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$7.5M | -$6.6M | -$7.2M | $16.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $11.2M | -$5.7M | -$6.1M | $19.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$6.6M | -$5.9M | -$5.9M | — | — |
3. VGZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VGZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Vista Gold Corp (NYSE: VGZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $2.49 (-3.49% 1D, market cap $376.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VGZ ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VGZ compare to URG and CMCL in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), VGZ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, URG (Ur Energy Inc (Canada)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $356.6M) and CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $413.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VGZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMQ leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VGZ?
Per VGZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000783324), Vista Gold Corp generated $0 in revenue, -$7.5M in net income, and -$7.2M in free cash flow against $16.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VGZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VGZ last traded at $2.49 (-3.49% on volume of 3,404,107 shares), positioning the stock -0.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.51) and +9.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.43 to $3.13, VGZ sits at the 62.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($2.25 to $2.73).
VGZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VGZ stock moving today?
Why VGZ Stock dropped -3.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
VGZ — Vista Gold Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, VGZ scores 42 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 8 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -1.91%; for a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or positive free cash flow, so value must rest on factors outside present earnings power. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 11 out of 20, described in the rating as institutional accumulation and options positioning; this is the strongest pillar and represents the main potential upside driver, though the source does not itemize the underlying 13F holdings. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 out of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which signals weak insider-level conviction and is a meaningful negative. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 out of 20, with beta at 1.0 and the rating noting sector sensitivity; a market-matching beta means the stock is not structurally insulated from broad moves. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, with Altman Z at 2.5, Piotroski F at 2 of 9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5; the weak Piotroski reading and the Altman figure together suggest financial fragility that a prospective investor should weigh against the stock's valuation tradeoffs. Taken together, the rating implies that upside depends on a shift in cash generation and flow sentiment that the current data does not yet show.
Business
Vista Gold Corp is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The financials section reports revenue of $0.0M for each of FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025, so the source does not show a revenue-generating operation during these periods.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-9.3M | $-7.5M | N/A | $-7.2M | $13.6M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $10.5M | $11.2M | N/A | $-6.1M | $16.9M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-6.8M | $-6.6M | N/A | $-5.9M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income were negative in FY 2025 and FY 2023 but positive in FY 2024, while free cash flow was negative in all three reported periods. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash decreased from $16.9M in FY 2024 to $13.6M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The recent news section contains six items, all tagged to VGZ, sourced from Moomoo, Yahoo Finance UK, Yahoo Finance Canada, and Stock Traders Daily, and all carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines are largely quote, chart, and report pages (options chain, seasonal returns charts, and a trading report) and their summaries describe generic coverage of market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts; none names a specific fundamental event. Because the items are generic, they do not identify a discrete catalyst. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context is the classification of Materials and Precious Metals per the profile section.
Open Questions
- What specific assets, projects, or revenue sources does Vista Gold hold, given reported revenue of $0.0M across all periods?
- What explains the positive FY 2024 net income of $11.2M against negative operating income in FY 2025 and FY 2023, and was it recurring or one-time?
- What are the debt figures, since the financials list debt as N/A for every period while the rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
- What 13F institutional holders and insider transactions make up the whale and insider pillar scores?
- What is the company's cash runway given free cash flow of -$7.2M in FY 2025 and cash of $13.6M?
VGZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Moomoo report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
VGZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.49?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is VGZ (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $2.58?
Welcome to the VGZ (Vista Gold Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on VGZ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on VGZ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Vista Gold Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
VGZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on VGZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.58 (52-wk range $1.43 - $3.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.