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Why VIAV Stock dropped -7.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$27.80 -7.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.39

Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VIAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Viavi Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: VIAV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $27.80 (-7.09% 1D, market cap $7.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, VIAV ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VIAV compare to SLAB and SIMO in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), VIAV carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.7%, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, SLAB (Silicon Laboratories Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.9%, cap $7.42B) and SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 63.0x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIMO leads on earnings multiple (63.0x) while VIAV leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIAV?
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Per VIAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0000912093), Viavi Solutions Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (+40.0% YoY), -$30.4M in net income, and $82.8M in free cash flow against $2.78B in total assets and $874.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.39 (-1.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$63 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE VIAV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIAV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VIAV SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($82.8M FCF) & 57.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$38.55-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$35.39-2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$34.46-19.3% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$27.80-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VIAV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VIAV currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.31) and Max Pain ($29.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $63.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIAV• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VIAV Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why VIAV Stock dropped -7.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) dropped -7.09% to $27.80, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($15.51 – $60.43). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($15.51 – $60.43) with RSI-14 at 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $27.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 57.7% gross margin and $82.8M annual free cash flow.
Live VIAV Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VIAV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VIAV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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VIAV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.04%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $33.32H $33.32L $27.80C $27.80VOL 9.57M
RES: $49.65SUP: $30.23SMA50: $37.31SMA200: $38.95
$60.05$49.50$38.95$28.40$17.86RES $49.65SUP $30.23$27.802026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIAV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VIAV Butterfly Map → + Track VIAV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +40.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIAV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIAV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIAV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIAV)

Technology Rank #356 of 715 ⚔️ SLAB vs VIAV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VIAV vs. SLAB, SIMO, FORM, MXL)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #174 by equity capitalization ($7.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SIMO leads on earnings valuation at 63.0x trailing P/E, while VIAV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.4% ROIC and 57.7% gross margin. SLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with VIAV at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VIAV ACTIVE
Viavi Solutions Inc.
D 48/100 — 57.7% 9.4% -7.09% $7.41B Benchmark Subject
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories Inc.
C 65/100 — 58.2% -6.9% -0.16% $7.42B /slab-vs-viav →
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
D 48/100 63.0x 48.3% 9.3% -9.94% $7.07B /simo-vs-viav →
FORM
FormFactor Inc. FormFactor Inc.
D 48/100 140.1x 39.3% 4.8% -0.26% $6.84B /form-vs-viav →
MXL
MaxLinear Inc.
C- 59/100 — 56.8% -19.2% -9.10% $6.14B /mxl-vs-viav →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-27 • CIK 0000912093 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27), Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (+40.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.08B , and +37.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$30.4M, operating cash flow of $113.9M, and free cash flow of $82.8M (+33.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VIAV closed FY2025 with $2.78B in total assets against $874.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-27 $1.52B -$30.4M $113.9M $82.8M $2.78B $874.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-28 $1.08B $34.8M $89.8M $62.0M $1.73B $469.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-07-01 $1.11B $25.5M $114.1M $64.3M $4.54B $1.06B

3. VIAV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Viavi Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: VIAV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $27.80 (-7.09% 1D, market cap $7.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, VIAV ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIAV compare to SLAB and SIMO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), VIAV carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.7%, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, SLAB (Silicon Laboratories Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.9%, cap $7.42B) and SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 63.0x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SIMO leads on earnings multiple (63.0x) while VIAV leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIAV?

Per VIAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-27, CIK 0000912093), Viavi Solutions Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (+40.0% YoY), -$30.4M in net income, and $82.8M in free cash flow against $2.78B in total assets and $874.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIAV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIAV last traded at $27.80 (-7.09% on volume of 5,995,767 shares), positioning the stock -25.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.31) and -28.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.95). Across its 52-week range of $15.51 to $60.43, VIAV sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($24.32 to $31.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: VIAV RQD Cockpit VIAV 12M Forecast VIAV Earnings & Move VIAV Dividends & DRIP VIAV Insiders & 13F VIAV Whale Options VIAV Profit Sankey VIAV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VIAV — Viavi Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-06-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $27.80 (-7.09% 1D, market capitalization $7.41B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.4%, gross margin of 57.7%, operating margin of 6.9%, and free cash flow yield of 1.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.30x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.45, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.98x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Viavi Solutions Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry,.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-06-27), Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) reported $1.52B in annual revenue (up from $1.08B in FY2024, +40.0% YoY) and -$30.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.11B revenue, $25.5M net income) through FY2025, VIAV scaled operating cash flow to $113.9M and free cash flow to $82.8M, backed by $2.78B in total assets against $874.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.00% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.51 – $60.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 63.1x EV/EBITDA against 6.9% operating margins and a 1.30x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), VIAV carries a macro regime beta of 1.30 and gross margin of 57.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can VIAV sustain or expand its 6.9% operating margin and 9.4% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.52B and free cash flow of $82.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $874.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VIAV's 22.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.30x)?

VIAV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VIAV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VIAV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $27.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VIAV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VIAV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.60 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a recent price reset that drew a GREEN catalyst rating point to improving fundamentals.

Don't sleep on VIAV's setup in Technology. Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a recent price reset that drew a GREEN catalyst rating point to improving fundamentals.. Beta of 1.3 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (48/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 22.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (57.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.24 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $29.92

Altman Z of 0.45, FCF yield of 1%, and a net loss of -$30.4M in FY 2025 against rising debt weigh on the stock.

I respect the product at Viavi Solutions Inc., but the stock at $29.92 is a different story. Altman Z of 0.45, FCF yield of 1%, and a net loss of -$30.4M in FY 2025 against rising debt weigh on the stock.. FCF yield is 1.0% and RQD sits at 48/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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