MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Understanding Momentum Shifts in (VIST)Stock Traders Daily report covering Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why VIST Stock dropped -5.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$66.89 -5.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.15
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $7.84B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VIST Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is VIST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (NYSE: VIST) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $66.89 (-5.05% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VIST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does VIST compare to NE and RIG in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VIST carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIST?
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For Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #72 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.15 (-1.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VIST SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$69.94+2.1% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$71.44+1.2% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$72.27-7.4% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade C$66.89+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VIST Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, VIST faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($70.95) or 200D SMA ($67.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($68.70) toward Bear Floor ($53.59).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VIST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VIST Stock dropped -5.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) dropped -5.05% to $66.89, trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($43.71 – $81.44). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($43.71 – $81.44) with RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $66.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $173.3M annual free cash flow.
Live VIST Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREStock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Responsive Playbooks and the VIST InflectionStock Traders Daily report covering Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) StockVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
How Much Upside is Left in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST)? Wall Street Analysts Think 28.73%The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 28.7% in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questio
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) a Great Value Stock Right Now?Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and
CATALYSTChartMill • 1d ago
Vista Energy (NYSE:VIST) Offers a High-Quality Breakout SetupVISTA ENERGY (VIST) scores 7 for technical strength and 8 for setup quality, signaling a healthy uptrend and a breakout pattern to watch.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-11-02. The following slide deck was published by Vista Energy, S.A.B.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
What Vista Energy (VIST) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallVista Energy (NYSE:VIST) reported record third-quarter production and higher cash generation, supported by organic growth and the full-quarter consolidation of acquired interests in the Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro as
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Vista Energy (VIST) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptRecord production and adjusted EBITDA surge 78% as oil prices stabilize.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 5d ago
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VIST Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VIST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.72%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $71.58H $71.58L $66.89C $66.89VOL 1.07M
RES: $78.92SUP: $64.40SMA50: $70.95SMA200: $67.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VIST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIST today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIST)
Energy Rank #72 of 211
⚔️ NE vs VIST Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (VIST vs. NE, RIG, MTDR, VAL)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) ranks #72 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #65 by equity capitalization ($7.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VAL leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while MTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.1% ROIC and 94.3% gross margin. MTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with VIST at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIST
ACTIVE
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American | C | 64/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -5.05% | $7.84B | Benchmark Subject |
| NE Noble Corporation plc A | C+ | 69/100 | 35.0x | — | 5.4% | -7.22% | $7.82B | /ne-vs-vist → |
| RIG Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) | C- | 59/100 | — | 39.3% | -17.3% | -10.23% | $7.75B | /rig-vs-vist → |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | B+ | 77/100 | 9.8x | 94.3% | 12.1% | -8.41% | $7.53B | /mtdr-vs-vist → |
| VAL Valaris Limited | B | 73/100 | 7.2x | — | 10.3% | -10.09% | $7.31B | /val-vs-vist → |
2. VIST Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTVista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $7.84B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. VIST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VIST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (NYSE: VIST) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $66.89 (-5.05% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, VIST ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VIST compare to NE and RIG in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), VIST carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, NE (Noble Corporation plc A) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $7.82B) and RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.3%, cap $7.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VAL leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while MTDR leads on capital efficiency (12.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIST?
For Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #72 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VIST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VIST last traded at $66.89 (-5.05% on volume of 1,726,970 shares), positioning the stock -5.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($70.95) and -0.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($67.43). Across its 52-week range of $43.71 to $81.44, VIST sits at the 61.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($62.27 to $71.51).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
VIST — Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Vista Energy S.A.B. De C.V. American (VIST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $66.89 (-5.05% 1D, market capitalization $7.84B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Vista Energy S.A.B. De C.V. American is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%. — for specific products, customers, or revenue model details.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.71 – $81.44 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The only sector context is the Energy / Oil & Gas Production classification and the 1.16 beta reported in the market data.
- Key Question #1: Can VIST sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $81.44 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is VIST's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?
VIST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Understanding Momentum Shifts in (VIST) Stock Traders Daily report covering Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago
Responsive Playbooks and the VIST Inflection Stock Traders Daily report covering Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. American (VIST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago
Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) Stock Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago
How Much Upside is Left in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST)? Wall Street Analysts Think 28.73% The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 28.7% in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questio
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago
Is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) a Great Value Stock Right Now? Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and
🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago
Vista Energy (NYSE:VIST) Offers a High-Quality Breakout Setup VISTA ENERGY (VIST) scores 7 for technical strength and 8 for setup quality, signaling a healthy uptrend and a breakout pattern to watch.
🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 2d ago
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation 2026-11-02. The following slide deck was published by Vista Energy, S.A.B.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago
What Vista Energy (VIST) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call Vista Energy (NYSE:VIST) reported record third-quarter production and higher cash generation, supported by organic growth and the full-quarter consolidation of acquired interests in the Bandurria Sur and Bajo del Toro as
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
VIST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $66.89?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VIST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $83.84 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar (16/20, Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39), giving solvency cushion b
Don't sleep on VIST's setup in Energy. Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar (16/20, Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39), giving solvency cushion behind a neutral rating.. Beta of 1.16 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — VIST's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $57.77 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $70.45 Valuation runs at P/E (TTM) 32.8 and EV/EBITDA 21 against an FCF yield of only 2.21%, with Beta 1.16 amplifying downside.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on VIST: Valuation runs at P/E (TTM) 32.8 and EV/EBITDA 21 against an FCF yield of only 2.21%, with Beta 1.16 amplifying downside.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.