Why WB Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$6.21 -1.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.18

Weibo Corporation (WB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.21 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, WB ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WB compare to DJT and DV in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), WB carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.9%, cap $1.61B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WB?
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Per WB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595761), Weibo Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $449.0M in net income, and $477.1M in free cash flow against $7.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.18 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$12 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE WB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WB SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.9% FCF Margin ($477.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$6.55-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$6.47-4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$6.18+0.5% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$6.21-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WB currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.56) and Max Pain ($6.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WB• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why WB Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Weibo Corporation (WB) slipped -1.43% to $6.21, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.1 – $11.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.1 – $11.28) with RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.2% around $6.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $477.1M annual free cash flow.
Live WB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Why Weibo Fell Even As Sales Rose

If you backed Weibo for its AI-fueled advertising story and interest-based feeds, the share price outcome likely felt harsh. For Weibo shareholders, the loss over the past year was 38.9%, including dividends. If you had

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $6.18H $6.30L $6.18C $6.21VOL 932.7K
RES: $7.73SUP: $6.02SMA50: $6.56SMA200: $8.12
$10.70$9.45$8.21$6.96$5.71RES $7.73SUP $6.02$6.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WB)

Technology Rank #371 of 714 ⚔️ DJT vs WB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (WB vs. DJT, DV, TRIP, GRND)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Weibo Corporation (WB) ranks #371 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #323 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with WB at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WB ACTIVE
Weibo Corporation
D 49/100 — — 22.6% -1.43% $1.55B Benchmark Subject
DJT
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
E 34/100 — 54.5% -29.9% -3.29% $1.61B /djt-vs-wb →
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B+ 79/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% -0.07% $2.10B /dv-vs-wb →
TRIP
TripAdvisor Inc.
D 50/100 27.0x 92.3% 13.0% 0.00% $1.08B /trip-vs-wb →
GRND
Grindr Inc.
C 65/100 23.7x — 29.7% -1.94% $2.24B /grnd-vs-wb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001595761

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Weibo Corporation (WB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $449.0M, operating cash flow of $519.5M, and free cash flow of $477.1M (-17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WB closed FY2025 with $7.09B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $449.0M $519.5M $477.1M $7.09B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $300.8M $639.9M $578.4M $6.50B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $342.6M $672.8M $672.8M — —

3. WB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.21 (-1.43% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, WB ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WB compare to DJT and DV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), WB carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.9%, cap $1.61B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WB?

Per WB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595761), Weibo Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $449.0M in net income, and $477.1M in free cash flow against $7.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WB last traded at $6.21 (-1.43% on volume of 892,291 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.56) and -23.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.12). Across its 52-week range of $6.10 to $11.28, WB sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($5.95 to $6.47).

WB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is WB stock moving today?

Why WB Stock slipped -1.43% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WB — Weibo Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Weibo Corporation scores 49 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted at 20 points. The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 14/20, supported by an ROIC of 22.6% but offset by an FCF yield of 0%. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 4/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the source data does not otherwise detail. The insider conviction pillar scores 10/20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 8/20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity profile. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the pattern is a company with a respectable return on invested capital and a moderate balance sheet, but weak signals on free-cash-flow yield, institutional demand, and insider conviction. The strongest pillar is the fundamental cash engine, yet its FCF yield of 0% means the headline return metric is not translating into cash yield at the current price. The weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 4/20, which points to limited institutional support. Upside drivers would need to come from a re-rating of cash generation or renewed institutional interest; valuation tradeoffs remain unresolved because forward earnings multiples are not available in source data. This is an analytical reading of the scores, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$464.8M$449.0MN/A$477.1M$2298.9MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$494.3M$300.8MN/A$578.4M$1890.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$472.9M$342.6MN/A$672.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $300.8M in FY 2024 to $449.0M in FY 2025, while operating income and free cash flow declined over the same period. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is 22.6%. The source data reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 within the Roarable RQD forensic balance sheet pillar. Balance-sheet posture is therefore described in the source as moderate, but debt levels are not reported in the financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the key scheduled event is Weibo's Q3 2026 results, to be reported on November 17, 2026, before U.S. markets open. Multiple wire items carry a YELLOW light and the MARKET WIRE impact label. A MarketBeat item cites an average price target of $8.80 from brokerages. A Seeking Alpha preview cites deepening macro headwinds weighing on top-funnel ad yield. A MarketBeat item notes the share price crossing below its 200-day moving average. A Fitch item reports an outlook shift to negative. Risk watch items therefore include the negative outlook, the macro-headwind commentary, and the technical break below the 200-day average. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no butterfly links and no proprietary signals in the source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The sector and industry labels (Technology; Computer Software: Programming Data Processing) are the only structural context. A prospective investor would watch advertising-demand conditions noted in the Seeking Alpha preview, since the wire identifies top-funnel ad yield as a pressure point, but the source does not quantify any ripple effect.

Open Questions

  • What are Weibo's revenue and EPS figures, given that the financials report $0.0M revenue and N/A EPS for every period?
  • What is the basis for the reported $8.80 average price target, and how many analysts contribute to it?
  • What are the company's debt levels, since the debt field is N/A for all periods despite a reported Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net income increase while operating income and FCF declined?
  • What is the nature of the Fitch outlook change to negative, and what triggered it?

WB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Weibo Corporation (WB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.21?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $6.80 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WB (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $6.30?

Welcome to the WB (Weibo Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.29 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $6.30

Pump the brakes on WB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Weibo Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.18 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $6.30

WB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.30 (52-wk range $6.10 - $11.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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