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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WINA
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Winmark Corporation (WINA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$283.16 -0.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $282.17

Winmark Corporation (WINA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.02B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WINA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ: WINA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WINA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WINA compare to SPH and RERE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), WINA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 84.5%. By comparison, SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.20B) and RERE (ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $855.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?
▼

Per WINA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000908315), Winmark Corporation generated $86.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $41.7M in net income, and $44.7M in free cash flow against $24.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $282.17 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 51.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (18)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$513 Bull$290 Base$226 Bear
📬 FREE WINA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WINA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WINA SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 51.9% FCF Margin ($44.7M FCF) & 96.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$282.38+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$305.10-7.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$281.00+0.8% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$283.16+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WINA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, WINA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 93.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($301.59) or 200D SMA ($376.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($289.53) toward Bear Floor ($225.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WINA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WINA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $275$283.16H: $489
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (96.0% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: ARQD 18 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish on WINA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (90)

84.5% ROIC with 96.0% gross margin and 4.38% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like WINA
  • ✓Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WINA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
WINA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.20%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $286.9H $286.9L $283.2C $283.2VOL 125.5K
RES: $312.5SUP: $240.2SMA50: $301.6SMA200: $376.9
$449.7$402.5$355.2$308.0$260.8RES $312.5SUP $240.2$283.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WINA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WINA Butterfly Map → + Track WINA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WINA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WINA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WINA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WINA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #268 of 1009 ⚔️ SPH vs WINA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WINA vs. SPH, RERE, WOOF, SVV)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winmark Corporation (WINA) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #506 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPH leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while WINA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 84.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. WINA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WINA ACTIVE
Winmark Corporation
C 63/100 24.5x 96.0% 84.5% -0.89% $1.02B Benchmark Subject
SPH
Suburban Propane Partners L.P.
D+ 55/100 11.2x 60.6% 8.4% -0.89% $1.20B /sph-vs-wina →
RERE
ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)
D- 36/100 18.8x — 14.7% +2.82% $855.1M /rere-vs-wina →
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +4.98% $747.6M /woof-vs-wina →
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
D- 42/100 64.5x — 9.3% -0.11% $1.44B /svv-vs-wina →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000908315 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Winmark Corporation (WINA) reported GAAP revenue of $86.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $81.3M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.7M, operating cash flow of $44.9M, and free cash flow of $44.7M (+6.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WINA closed FY2025 with $24.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $86.1M $41.7M $44.9M $44.7M $24.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $81.3M $40.0M $42.2M $42.0M $26.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $83.2M $40.2M $44.0M $44.0M — —

3. WINA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ: WINA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WINA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WINA compare to SPH and RERE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), WINA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 84.5%. By comparison, SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.20B) and RERE (ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $855.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?

Per WINA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000908315), Winmark Corporation generated $86.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $41.7M in net income, and $44.7M in free cash flow against $24.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WINA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WINA last traded at $283.16 (-0.89% on volume of 71,733 shares), positioning the stock -6.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($301.59) and -24.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($376.94). Across its 52-week range of $275.47 to $488.83, WINA sits at the 3.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($261.64 to $304.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: WINA RQD Cockpit WINA 12M Forecast WINA Earnings & Move WINA Dividends & DRIP WINA Insiders & 13F WINA Whale Options WINA Profit Sankey WINA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WINA — Winmark Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Winmark Corporation (WINA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market capitalization $1.02B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 84.5%, gross margin of 96.0%, operating margin of 63.4%, and free cash flow yield of 4.38%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Winmark Corporation (WINA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. The gross margin of 96%, operating margin of 63.4%, and net margin of 48.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Winmark Corporation (WINA) reported $86.1M in annual revenue (up from $81.3M in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and $41.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($83.2M revenue, $40.2M net income) through FY2025, WINA scaled operating cash flow to $44.9M and free cash flow to $44.7M, backed by $24.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $275.47 – $488.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 24.5x trailing P/E and 18.5x EV/EBITDA against 63.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Other Specialty Stores, and the macro pillar of the RQD rating notes sector sensitivity without quantifying it.

  • Key Question #1: Can WINA sustain or expand its 63.4% operating margin and 84.5% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $86.1M and free cash flow of $44.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WINA's 22.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WINA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Winmark Corporation (WINA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WINA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WINA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $283.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WINA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WINA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $368.54 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 18 of 20 on ROIC of 84.5% and FCF yield of 4.38%.

The street is overcomplicating Winmark Corporation (WINA). Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 18 of 20 on ROIC of 84.5% and FCF yield of 4.38%.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $308.55.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WINA's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $245.69 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $285.69

Per the RQD rating, the Whale/13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 9 of 20 at beta 1.0.

Per the RQD rating, the Whale/13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 9 of 20 at beta 1.0.. Look at the math on WINA: paying 24.5x trailing P/E for 84.5% ROIC and 63.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Other Specialty Stores demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $251.41 before getting long.

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