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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WINA / options
SPH (55) RERE (36) WOOF (43) SVV (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Winmark Corporation (WINA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$283.16 -0.89% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $282.17

Winmark Corporation (WINA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.02B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WINA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ: WINA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WINA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WINA compare to SPH and RERE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), WINA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 84.5%. By comparison, SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.20B) and RERE (ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $855.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?
β–Ό

Per WINA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000908315), Winmark Corporation generated $86.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $41.7M in net income, and $44.7M in free cash flow against $24.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $282.17 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) β€’ 51.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.8% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (18)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$513 Bull$290 Base$226 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WINA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WINA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WINA SCORES 63/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 51.9% FCF Margin ($44.7M FCF) & 96.4% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$282.38+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$305.10-7.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$281.00+0.8% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$283.16+0.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ C (63)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WINA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, WINA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 93.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($301.59) or 200D SMA ($376.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($289.53) toward Bear Floor ($225.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WINAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWINA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WINA)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WINA.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WINA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WINA
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WINA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.20%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $286.9H $286.9L $283.2C $283.2VOL 125.5K
RES: $312.5SUP: $240.2SMA50: $301.6SMA200: $376.9
$449.7$402.5$355.2$308.0$260.8RES $312.5SUP $240.2$283.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WINA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ WINA Butterfly Map β†’ + Track WINA β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WINA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WINA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WINA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WINA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #268 of 1009 βš”οΈ SPH vs WINA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WINA vs. SPH, RERE, WOOF, SVV)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winmark Corporation (WINA) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #506 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPH leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while WINA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 84.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. WINA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WINA ACTIVE
Winmark Corporation
C 63/100 24.5x 96.0% 84.5% -0.89% $1.02B Benchmark Subject
SPH
Suburban Propane Partners L.P.
D+ 55/100 11.2x 60.6% 8.4% -0.89% $1.20B /sph-vs-wina β†’
RERE
ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)
D- 36/100 18.8x β€” 14.7% +2.82% $855.1M /rere-vs-wina β†’
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +4.98% $747.6M /woof-vs-wina β†’
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
D- 42/100 64.5x β€” 9.3% -0.11% $1.44B /svv-vs-wina β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-27 β€’ CIK 0000908315 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Winmark Corporation (WINA) reported GAAP revenue of $86.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $81.3M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.7M, operating cash flow of $44.9M, and free cash flow of $44.7M (+6.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WINA closed FY2025 with $24.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $86.1M $41.7M $44.9M $44.7M $24.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $81.3M $40.0M $42.2M $42.0M $26.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $83.2M $40.2M $44.0M $44.0M β€” β€”

3. WINA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ: WINA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WINA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WINA compare to SPH and RERE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), WINA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 84.5%. By comparison, SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.20B) and RERE (ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $855.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?

Per WINA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000908315), Winmark Corporation generated $86.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $41.7M in net income, and $44.7M in free cash flow against $24.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WINA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WINA last traded at $283.16 (-0.89% on volume of 71,733 shares), positioning the stock -6.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($301.59) and -24.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($376.94). Across its 52-week range of $275.47 to $488.83, WINA sits at the 3.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.6% ($261.64 to $304.68).

Direct Sub-Reports: WINA RQD Cockpit WINA 12M Forecast WINA Earnings & Move WINA Dividends & DRIP WINA Insiders & 13F WINA Whale Options WINA Profit Sankey WINA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 63/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WINA β€” Winmark Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Winmark Corporation (WINA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $283.16 (-0.89% 1D, market capitalization $1.02B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 84.5%, gross margin of 96.0%, operating margin of 63.4%, and free cash flow yield of 4.38%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Winmark Corporation (WINA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry. The gross margin of 96%, operating margin of 63.4%, and net margin of 48.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Winmark Corporation (WINA) reported $86.1M in annual revenue (up from $81.3M in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and $41.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($83.2M revenue, $40.2M net income) through FY2025, WINA scaled operating cash flow to $44.9M and free cash flow to $44.7M, backed by $24.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 63/100): Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $275.47 – $488.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 24.5x trailing P/E and 18.5x EV/EBITDA against 63.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Other Specialty Stores, and the macro pillar of the RQD rating notes sector sensitivity without quantifying it.

  • Key Question #1: Can WINA sustain or expand its 63.4% operating margin and 84.5% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $86.1M and free cash flow of $44.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WINA's 22.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WINA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Winmark Corporation (WINA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to WINA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WINA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $283.16?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WINA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WINA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $368.54 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 18 of 20 on ROIC of 84.5% and FCF yield of 4.38%.

The street is overcomplicating Winmark Corporation (WINA). Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 18 of 20 on ROIC of 84.5% and FCF yield of 4.38%.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $308.55.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” WINA's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $245.69 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $285.69

Per the RQD rating, the Whale/13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 9 of 20 at beta 1.0.

Per the RQD rating, the Whale/13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 9 of 20 at beta 1.0.. Look at the math on WINA: paying 24.5x trailing P/E for 84.5% ROIC and 63.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Other Specialty Stores demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $251.41 before getting long.

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