Stock Ratings / Industrials / WNC / earnings

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Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$11.74 -11.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.48

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $478.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WNC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Wabash National Corporation (NYSE: WNC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.74 (-11.46% 1D, market cap $478.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WNC ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WNC compare to HY and CMCO in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), WNC carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 31.2%. By comparison, HY (Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $510.8M) and CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $432.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASTE leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WNC?

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Per WNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000879526), Wabash National Corporation generated $1.54B in revenue (-20.8% YoY), $211.5M in net income, and -$13.0M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $442.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.48 (-2.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WNC SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$13.47-5.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.73+8.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$13.79-14.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$11.74-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WNC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WNC currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.90) and Max Pain ($12.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.28.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WNC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WNC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.47 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WNC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -20.8%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.54B	$211.5M	-$13.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.95B	-$284.1M	$45.1M	13.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.54B	$231.3M	$319.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WNC)

✓Walkthrough of WNC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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WNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.47%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $13.26H $13.26L $11.74C $11.74VOL 1.89M

RES: $14.62SUP: $11.34SMA50: $12.90SMA200: $10.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WNC Butterfly Map → + Track WNC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -20.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WNC)

Industrials Rank #237 of 485 ⚔️ HY vs WNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WNC vs. HY, CMCO, MTW, ASTE)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wabash National Corporation (WNC) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #298 by equity capitalization ($478.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASTE leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. WNC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WNC ACTIVE Wabash National Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	31.2%	-11.46%	$478.3M	Benchmark Subject
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	-2.90%	$510.8M	/hy-vs-wnc →
CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation	E	26/100	—	30.1%	-10.6%	-1.84%	$432.1M	/cmco-vs-wnc →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D	46/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	-3.23%	$830.5M	/mtw-vs-wnc →
ASTE Astec Industries Inc.	D	48/100	23.7x	26.5%	5.6%	-1.60%	$904.2M	/aste-vs-wnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000879526

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wabash National Corporation (WNC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.54B (-20.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.95B , and -39.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $211.5M, operating cash flow of $11.7M, and free cash flow of -$13.0M (-128.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, WNC closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $442.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.54B	$211.5M	$11.7M	-$13.0M	$1.17B	$442.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.95B	-$284.1M	$117.3M	$45.1M	$1.41B	$397.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.54B	$231.3M	$319.6M	$319.6M	—	—

3. WNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does WNC compare to HY and CMCO in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WNC?

Where is WNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WNC last traded at $11.74 (-11.46% on volume of 1,894,234 shares), positioning the stock -8.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.90) and +7.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.88). Across its 52-week range of $6.63 to $14.55, WNC sits at the 64.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.27 to $13.21).

WNC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WNC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Wabash National Corporation (WNC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is WNC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for WNC, spanning a range between $10.27 and $13.21.

Direct Sub-Reports: WNC RQD Cockpit WNC 12M Forecast WNC Earnings & Move WNC Dividends & DRIP WNC Insiders & 13F WNC Whale Options WNC Profit Sankey WNC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WNC — Wabash National Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WNC scores 56 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 / 20 (ROIC 31.2%; FCF yield -2.41%); Whale 13F Flow at 14 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 8 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 / 20 (Altman Z 3.07; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 1.21).

The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Macro Regime Fit, and the cash-generation pillar is also below the midpoint despite a high reported ROIC, because the reported free cash flow yield is negative. For a prospective investor, the implication is that headline return-on-capital metrics are not yet being converted into free cash flow in the most recent period available in the source data. The forensic pillar is moderate: the Altman Z-Score of 3.07 and Debt/Equity of 1.21 are the inputs that carry it, while the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals limited financial-strength improvement. Insider and institutional signals are mixed rather than clearly supportive, so the rating does not point to a strong conviction backdrop. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the source: EV/EBITDA of 2.9 is low, which can attract value-oriented interest, but the rating framework weighs it against negative FCF and a thin evidence base for forward earnings. Upside drivers would need to come from converting profitability into cash; the rating's verdict reflects that this has not yet occurred in the provided data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1542.8M	$307.5M	$211.5M	N/A	$-13.0M	$31.9M	$442.9M
FY 2024	$1946.7M	$-356.1M	$-284.1M	N/A	$45.1M	$115.5M	$397.1M
FY 2023	$2536.5M	$311.9M	$231.3M	N/A	$319.6M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $2536.5M in FY 2023 to $1542.8M in FY 2025, and FY 2024 recorded a net loss of $-284.1M. FY 2025 returned to positive net income of $211.5M with an operating margin of 19.9% and net margin of 13.7% per the market data, while free cash flow was $-13.0M. Per the market data, ROIC is 31.2%, and the forensic metrics show an Altman Z-Score of 3.07 and a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9. Per the forensic inputs, Debt/Equity is 1.21, and reported gross margin is 0%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Orders backlog (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the Stock Titan headline, orders waiting to be filled rose 25% to about $1.2 billion.
Q3 2026 results (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the Seeking Alpha item dated 2026-10-29, an earnings call presentation for Q3 2026 results was published.
Wider-than-expected loss (RISK WATCH, RED): Per the AlphaStreet headline, Wabash reported a wider than expected Q3 2026 loss. This is the only RED-flagged item and is the principal risk-watch signal in the feed.
Estimate revisions (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the Simply Wall St item, analysts are updating estimates after third-quarter results.
1-year high (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the MarketBeat item, the stock hit a new 1-year high.
Butterfly graph: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain classification is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What drove the wider-than-expected Q3 2026 loss, and how does it reconcile with the FY 2025 net income of $211.5M?
Why is free cash flow negative in FY 2025 ($-13.0M) when ROIC is reported at 31.2%?
What are the company's EPS and forward earnings figures, given that EPS and P/E are unavailable in the source data?
What is the composition of the reported backlog growth to about $1.2 billion, and how does it translate to revenue?
What is the FY 2023 cash and debt position, which the source lists as N/A?

WNC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wabash National Corporation (WNC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WNC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 19h ago

Wabash National Corporation Estimates – NYSE:WNC

TradingView report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 22h ago

Wabash National Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:WNC) 2026-10-29

Seeking Alpha report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH AlphaStreet • 1d ago

Wabash National Reports Wider Than Expected Q3 2026 Loss

AlphaStreet report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Analysts Are Updating Their Wabash National Corporation (NYSE:WNC) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results

Simply Wall St report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Wabash National (NYSE:WNC) Hits New 1-Year High - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Orders waiting to be filled at Wabash rose 25% to about $1.2 billion.

Stock Titan report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Wabash welcomed tariff ruling. Wabash National stock stood 15.05 percent below its yearly high

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Wabash National (NYSE:WNC) Stock Breaks Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Wabash National Corporation (WNC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WNC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.74?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WNC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $14.32 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WNC (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $13.26?

Welcome to the WNC (Wabash National Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.61 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $13.26

Pump the brakes on WNC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WNC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Wabash National Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.31 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $13.26

WNC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WNC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.26 (52-wk range $6.63 - $14.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.