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W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.54 -1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.52

W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $556.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, W&T Offshore Inc. (NYSE: WTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $3.54 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $556.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WTI ranks #84 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WTI compare to EGY and SD in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), WTI carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGY (VAALCO Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.2%, cap $610.1M) and SD (SandRidge Energy Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $498.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SD leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while SD leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WTI?
▼

Per WTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288403), W&T Offshore Inc. generated $501.5M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), -$150.1M in net income, and $77.2M in free cash flow against $955.8M in total assets and $342.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.52 (-0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (11)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE WTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WTI SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 57% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$3.65+9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$3.98+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$4.22-16.1% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$3.54+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, WTI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.83) or 200D SMA ($3.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.60) toward Bear Floor ($2.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your WTI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.54: 2824.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.81
$7,938
$-2,062 (-20.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.60
$10,169
+$169 (+1.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.33
$15,056
+$5,056 (+50.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WTI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
WTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.91%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $4.05H $4.05L $3.54C $3.54VOL 7.23M
RES: $4.29SUP: $3.60SMA50: $3.83SMA200: $3.45
$5.28$4.46$3.63$2.81$1.98RES $4.29SUP $3.60$3.542026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WTI Butterfly Map → + Track WTI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WTI)

Energy Rank #84 of 211 ⚔️ EGY vs WTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (WTI vs. EGY, SD, SOC, GPRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) ranks #84 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #150 by equity capitalization ($556.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SD leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while SD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. WTI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WTI ACTIVE
W&T Offshore Inc.
C 62/100 — — -35.0% -1.39% $556.1M Benchmark Subject
EGY
VAALCO Energy Inc.
D 46/100 — — -4.2% -3.28% $610.1M /egy-vs-wti →
SD
SandRidge Energy Inc.
C- 61/100 7.7x — 12.0% -0.45% $498.3M /sd-vs-wti →
SOC
Sable Offshore Corp.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% +0.81% $472.0M /soc-vs-wti →
GPRK
Geopark Ltd
D+ 55/100 — — — -0.48% $673.6M /gprk-vs-wti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001288403 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) reported GAAP revenue of $501.5M (-4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $525.3M , and -5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$150.1M, operating cash flow of $77.2M, and free cash flow of $77.2M (+29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WTI closed FY2025 with $955.8M in total assets against $342.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $501.5M -$150.1M $77.2M $77.2M $955.8M $342.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $525.3M -$87.1M $59.5M $59.5M $1.10B $365.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $532.7M $15.6M $115.3M $115.3M — —

3. WTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, W&T Offshore Inc. (NYSE: WTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $3.54 (-1.39% 1D, market cap $556.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WTI ranks #84 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WTI compare to EGY and SD in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), WTI carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGY (VAALCO Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.2%, cap $610.1M) and SD (SandRidge Energy Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $498.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SD leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while SD leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WTI?

Per WTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288403), W&T Offshore Inc. generated $501.5M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), -$150.1M in net income, and $77.2M in free cash flow against $955.8M in total assets and $342.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WTI last traded at $3.54 (-1.39% on volume of 3,413,038 shares), positioning the stock -7.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.83) and +2.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.50 to $5.08, WTI sits at the 57.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($3.14 to $3.94).

Direct Sub-Reports: WTI RQD Cockpit WTI 12M Forecast WTI Earnings & Move WTI Dividends & DRIP WTI Insiders & 13F WTI Whale Options WTI Profit Sankey WTI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WTI — W&T Offshore Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $3.54 (-1.39% 1D, market capitalization $556.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -10.5%, and free cash flow yield of 12.70%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile identifies the company as an oil and gas producer with a market capitalization of $0.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) reported $501.5M in annual revenue (up from $525.3M in FY2024, -4.5% YoY) and -$150.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($532.7M revenue, $15.6M net income) through FY2025, WTI scaled operating cash flow to $77.2M and free cash flow to $77.2M, backed by $955.8M in total assets against $342.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 12.70% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.50 – $5.08 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), WTI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can WTI sustain or expand its -10.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $501.5M and free cash flow of $77.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $342.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WTI's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.54?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WTI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.90 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 12.7% and cash rising to $140.6M while debt fell to $342.4M in FY 2025.

Free cash flow yield of 12.7% and cash rising to $140.6M while debt fell to $342.4M in FY 2025.. When you look under the hood at WTI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $5.08. My 12M target is $4.90.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WTI's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.44 (-15.1%)
Spot @ $4.05

ROIC of -35% and net losses widening to -$150.1M in FY 2025 signal value destruction despite revenue.

Fading this rally in WTI at $4.05. ROIC of -35% and net losses widening to -$150.1M in FY 2025 signal value destruction despite revenue.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.05 (52-wk range $1.50–$5.08), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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