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Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$355.26 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $355.99

Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.60B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Watts Water Technologies Inc. (NYSE: WTS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $355.26 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $11.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WTS ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WTS compare to CR and MLI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), WTS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 49.5%, and ROIC of 19.5%. By comparison, CR (Crane Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $11.45B) and MLI (Mueller Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 41.1%, cap $11.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLI leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while MLI leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WTS?
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Per WTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000795403), Watts Water Technologies Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $340.8M in net income, and $356.3M in free cash flow against $2.88B in total assets and $197.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (50% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $356.01 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 14.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (16)Whales (9)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$432 Bull$366 Base$286 Bear
📬 FREE WTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WTS SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.6% FCF Margin ($356.3M FCF) & 49.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.46 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$352.10+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$363.40-5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$342.87+3.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$355.26+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WTS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, WTS faces multiple-compression risk if 34.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 47.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($356.11) or 200D SMA ($331.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($366.45) toward Bear Floor ($285.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WTS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WTS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WTS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WTS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $350.9H $355.3L $347.6C $355.3VOL 199.6K
RES: $367.6SUP: $333.2SMA50: $356.1SMA200: $331.9
$402.1$370.7$339.3$307.9$276.5RES $367.6SUP $333.2$355.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WTS Butterfly Map → + Track WTS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WTS)

Industrials Rank #77 of 485 ⚔️ CR vs WTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WTS vs. CR, MLI, RBC, VMI)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #91 by equity capitalization ($11.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLI leads on earnings valuation at 15.9x trailing P/E, while MLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. MLI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with WTS at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WTS ACTIVE
Watts Water Technologies Inc.
C 65/100 34.4x 49.5% 19.5% +2.20% $11.60B Benchmark Subject
CR
Crane Company
C 63/100 32.4x 42.2% 12.4% +3.04% $11.45B /cr-vs-wts →
MLI
Mueller Industries Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.9x — 41.1% +1.10% $11.89B /mli-vs-wts →
RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated
C- 59/100 54.6x 44.4% 8.6% +2.35% $14.63B /rbc-vs-wts →
VMI
Valmont Industries Inc.
C- 60/100 23.6x 30.2% 14.7% +1.09% $8.08B /vmi-vs-wts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000795403

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.25B , and +18.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $340.8M, operating cash flow of $402.0M, and free cash flow of $356.3M (+9.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, WTS closed FY2025 with $2.88B in total assets against $197.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.46, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B $340.8M $402.0M $356.3M $2.88B $197.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.25B $291.2M $361.1M $325.8M $2.40B $197.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.06B $262.1M $310.8M $218.3M $6.44B $1.51B

3. WTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Watts Water Technologies Inc. (NYSE: WTS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $355.26 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $11.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WTS ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WTS compare to CR and MLI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), WTS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 49.5%, and ROIC of 19.5%. By comparison, CR (Crane Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $11.45B) and MLI (Mueller Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.9x, ROIC 41.1%, cap $11.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLI leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while MLI leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WTS?

Per WTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000795403), Watts Water Technologies Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $340.8M in net income, and $356.3M in free cash flow against $2.88B in total assets and $197.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (50% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WTS last traded at $355.26 (+2.20% on volume of 231,988 shares), positioning the stock -0.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($356.11) and +7.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($331.87). Across its 52-week range of $260.00 to $394.54, WTS sits at the 70.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($335.01 to $375.51).

Direct Sub-Reports: WTS RQD Cockpit WTS 12M Forecast WTS Earnings & Move WTS Dividends & DRIP WTS Insiders & 13F WTS Whale Options WTS Profit Sankey WTS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WTS — Watts Water Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $355.26 (+2.20% 1D, market capitalization $11.60B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.5%, gross margin of 49.5%, operating margin of 18.4%, and free cash flow yield of 3.04%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.46, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.10x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Metal Fabrications industry. It carries a market capitalization of $11.7B. — for product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) reported $2.44B in annual revenue (up from $2.25B in FY2024, +8.3% YoY) and $340.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.06B revenue, $262.1M net income) through FY2025, WTS scaled operating cash flow to $402.0M and free cash flow to $356.3M, backed by $2.88B in total assets against $197.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (50% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $260.00 – $394.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 34.4x trailing P/E and 23.6x EV/EBITDA against 18.4% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context is the Industrials / Metal Fabrications classification and the beta of 1.16, which indicates above-market sensitivity to broad moves. Investors should treat the rate-outlook concern cited in the Stifel headline as the one identified macro sensitivity in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can WTS sustain or expand its 18.4% operating margin and 19.5% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.44B and free cash flow of $356.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $197.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WTS's 32.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

WTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Watts Water Technologies Inc. (WTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $355.26?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $451.88 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 19.5% ROIC and 16/20 cash-engine pillar, alongside an Altman Z of 7.46 and Piotroski F of 9/9, point to a high-qu

Here is why I am bullish on WTS here at $347.60: Per the RQD rating, a 19.5% ROIC and 16/20 cash-engine pillar, alongside an Altman Z of 7.46 and Piotroski F of 9/9, point to a high-quality, financially strong business.. Compare WTS's 18.4% operating margin and 19.5% ROIC against the rest of Metal Fabrications. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $330.22 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 34.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Fabrications. If gross margin (49.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $285.03 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $347.60

A 3.04% FCF yield against a 34.4 trailing P/E and 23.6 EV/EBITDA leaves limited valuation cushion, and Stifel's price target cut is fla

A 3.04% FCF yield against a 34.4 trailing P/E and 23.6 EV/EBITDA leaves limited valuation cushion, and Stifel's price target cut is flagged as a RED risk watch item.. Look at the math on WTS: paying 34.4x trailing P/E for 19.5% ROIC and 18.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Metal Fabrications demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $305.89 before getting long.

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