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Stock Ratings / ETF / Index / XLB / dividends
ARKK (53) ITA (47) XBI (65) XLRE (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$53.67 +0.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.61

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XLB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $53.67 (+0.40% 1D, market cap $6.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLB ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XLB compare to ARKK and ITA in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Chemicals & Metals), XLB carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.50B) and ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLB leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLB?
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For Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Chemicals & Metals basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.61 (-0.12%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Fund (16)Whales (11)Struct (18)Macro (7)Flow (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$66 Bull$56 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE XLB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XLB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XLB SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($6.00B AUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (76.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$49.67+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$51.32+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$51.86+3.5% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$53.67+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XLB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, XLB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.96) or 200D SMA ($51.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.84) toward Bear Floor ($43.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XLB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XLB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.3% Total Yield
1.3% Cash ($0.70/yr) + 0% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
30.2% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,422

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $239/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.0K
Yr 3
$12.8K
Yr 4
$13.6K
Yr 5
$14.4K
Yr 6
$15.3K
Yr 7
$16.3K
Yr 8
$17.3K
Yr 9
$18.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in XLB & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on XLB and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
XLB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $53.46H $53.67L $53.46C $53.67VOL 10.77M
RES: $55.17SUP: $46.98SMA50: $50.96SMA200: $51.14
$54.69$52.63$50.57$48.52$46.46RES $55.17SUP $46.98$53.672026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XLB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XLB Butterfly Map → + Track XLB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XLB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XLB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XLB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XLB)

ETF / Index Rank #11 of 40 ⚔️ ARKK vs XLB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (XLB vs. ARKK, ITA, XBI, XLRE)

Industry: GICS Chemicals & Metals (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #34 by equity capitalization ($6.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XLB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XLB ACTIVE
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
C+ 67/100 — — — +0.40% $6.00B Benchmark Subject
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
D+ 53/100 — — — -6.46% $6.50B /arkk-vs-xlb →
ITA
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
D 47/100 — — — -2.17% $6.80B /ita-vs-xlb →
XBI
SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
C 65/100 — — — -1.16% $7.40B /xbi-vs-xlb →
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
C 63/100 — — — +0.25% $8.00B /xlre-vs-xlb →

2. XLB ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates XLB on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $53.67, XLB trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $50.96 and 200-day SMA of $51.14 on daily liquidity of 10,773,509 shares.

50D SMA Level
$50.96
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$51.14
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
96.0%
$42.03 – $54.19
RSI-14 Momentum
76.9
OVERBOUGHT (>70)
Volume Liquidity
10,773,509
AUM Cap $6.00B

3. XLB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XLB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $53.67 (+0.40% 1D, market cap $6.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLB ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XLB compare to ARKK and ITA in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Chemicals & Metals), XLB carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.50B) and ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLB leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLB?

For Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Chemicals & Metals basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XLB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XLB last traded at $53.67 (+0.40% on volume of 10,773,509 shares), positioning the stock +5.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($50.96) and +4.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($51.14). Across its 52-week range of $42.03 to $54.19, XLB sits at the 95.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 76.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.7% ($52.22 to $55.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: XLB RQD Cockpit XLB 12M Forecast XLB Earnings & Move XLB Dividends & DRIP XLB Insiders & 13F XLB Whale Options XLB Profit Sankey XLB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XLB — Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $53.67 (+0.40% 1D, market capitalization $6.00B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) is an exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified in the source profile under Sector: ETF / Index and Industry: GICS Chemicals & Metals..0B in assets under management.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Diversified GICS Chemicals & Metals basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.03 – $54.19 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The butterfly supply-chain graph contains no upstream or downstream links for this ETF. Sector correlations beyond the beta of 1.0 are not provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can XLB sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against GICS Chemicals & Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $54.19 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is XLB's equity valuation to ETF / Index capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

XLB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XLB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XLB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XLB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XLB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.01 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.

The street is overcomplicating Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB). Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 67/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $57.96.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 67/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $53.67 and keeping dry powder in case we test $49.91.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.40 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $53.67

Macro regime fit scores only 8 of 20 at beta 1.0, and the cash engine shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short XLB above $53.67. Macro regime fit scores only 8 of 20 at beta 1.0, and the cash engine shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $54.19.

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