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Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$43.17 +2.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.26

Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XLRE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XLRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLRE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $43.17 (+2.16% 1D, market cap $8.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLRE ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XLRE compare to XBI and ITA in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Commercial REITs), XLRE carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.40B) and ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLRE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLRE leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLRE?
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For Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Commercial REITs basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.26 (+0.20%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Fund (7)Whales (10)Struct (16)Macro (5)Flow (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$50 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
📬 FREE XLRE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XLRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XLRE SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.7) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$41.83+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$42.38+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$42.44+1.7% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$43.17-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XLRE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XLRE currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified GICS Commercial REITs basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XLRE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XLRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±3.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (XLRE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for XLRE.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XLRE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XLRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XLRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.06%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $42.24H $43.17L $42.24C $43.17VOL 8.82M
RES: $43.35SUP: $39.76SMA50: $42.57SMA200: $43.35
$46.89$45.10$43.31$41.52$39.72RES $43.35SUP $39.76$43.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XLRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XLRE Butterfly Map → + Track XLRE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XLRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XLRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XLRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XLRE)

ETF / Index Rank #26 of 40 ⚔️ XBI vs XLRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (XLRE vs. XBI, ITA, ARKK, XLB)

Industry: GICS Commercial REITs (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) ranks #26 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #30 by equity capitalization ($8.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XLRE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XLRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with XLRE at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XLRE ACTIVE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
D+ 54/100 — — — +2.16% $8.00B Benchmark Subject
XBI
SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
B 72/100 — — — +0.18% $7.40B /xbi-vs-xlre →
ITA
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
D- 43/100 — — — +3.06% $6.80B /ita-vs-xlre →
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
D+ 55/100 — — — -0.17% $6.50B /arkk-vs-xlre →
XLB
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
C+ 66/100 — — — +1.28% $6.00B /xlb-vs-xlre →

2. XLRE ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates XLRE on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $43.17, XLRE trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $42.57 and 200-day SMA of $43.35 on daily liquidity of 8,820,134 shares.

50D SMA Level
$42.57
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$43.35
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
51.0%
$39.72 – $46.46
RSI-14 Momentum
59.7
BULLISH MOMENTUM
Volume Liquidity
8,820,134
AUM Cap $8.00B

3. XLRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XLRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLRE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $43.17 (+2.16% 1D, market cap $8.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLRE ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XLRE compare to XBI and ITA in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Commercial REITs), XLRE carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.40B) and ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLRE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLRE leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XLRE?

For Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Commercial REITs basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XLRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XLRE last traded at $43.17 (+2.16% on volume of 8,820,134 shares), positioning the stock +1.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.57) and -0.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.35). Across its 52-week range of $39.72 to $46.46, XLRE sits at the 51.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.1% ($41.83 to $44.51).

XLRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is XLRE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for XLRE.

Direct Sub-Reports: XLRE RQD Cockpit XLRE 12M Forecast XLRE Earnings & Move XLRE Dividends & DRIP XLRE Insiders & 13F XLRE Whale Options XLRE Profit Sankey XLRE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XLRE — Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XLRE scores 54 out of 100 for a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 7 of 20, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%; for an ETF, these reflect the absence of operating-company cash generation rather than a conventional business earnings profile, which limits upside drivers tied to earnings growth. Whale/13F Flow scores 10 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, indicating modest institutional support. Insider Conviction scores 16 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the strongest pillar in the composite. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20, reflecting beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, meaning the fund tracks broad market movements and is exposed to real estate sector rate sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20 per the Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, which signals a comparatively sound structural posture. For a prospective investor, the composite suggests that valuation tradeoffs center on interest-rate and sector exposure rather than fundamental cash generation, and that the low macro-regime score is the most material headwind in the rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items relate to XLRE. Four are tagged YELLOW ("MARKET WIRE") and cover general market action, sector performance, and institutional flow commentary from TradingView, Yahoo! Finance Canada, Benzinga, and Stock Traders Daily. One item tagged RED ("RISK WATCH") from TradingView reports that the 30-Year Yield hit 5.7% while the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 fell, which is the most relevant risk signal given the fund's rate sensitivity. A Benzinga item reports that real estate trailed in one session and another reports that nine of eleven sectors rose in a separate session. The summaries are generic templates and do not include specific quantified catalysts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain relationships or proprietary signals are recorded for this ticker.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific commercial REIT holdings and their individual weights in the fund, and how concentrated is the basket?
  • What are the underlying holdings' own revenue, margin, and balance-sheet figures that would inform a look-through view?
  • Which specific Form 4, 13F, and Congressional PTR transactions drive the insider and whale pillar scores?
  • What is the fund's expense ratio and tracking performance versus its benchmark, which the source data does not provide?
  • How sensitive is the fund's price to the 30-Year Yield, and what duration or rate exposure do the underlying REITs carry?

XLRE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XLRE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 17h ago
Price Performance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XLRE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.17?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XLRE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XLRE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $46.62 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XLRE (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $43.17?

Welcome to the XLRE (Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)) in GICS Commercial REITs. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.81 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $43.17

Pump the brakes on XLRE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XLRE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $52.67 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $43.17

XLRE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XLRE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in GICS Commercial REITs and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $43.17 (52-wk range $39.72 - $46.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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