Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.
As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $118.16 (-0.71% 1D, market cap $22.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLY ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Consumer Discretionary), XLY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B) and JEPQ (JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLY leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).
For Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Consumer Discretionary basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, XLY faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.
Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.13) or 200D SMA ($115.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($122.95) toward Bear Floor ($95.90).
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) slipped -0.71% to $118.16, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($105.19 – $125.01). ETF / Index Composite (GICS Consumer Discretionary) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ETF Database report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ETF Database report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
While Starbucks has surpassed the broader market over the past year, Wall Street analysts maintain a moderately optimistic outlook about the stock’s prospects.
Carnival Corporation has underperformed the broader market in 2026, yet analysts remain highly bullish about the stock’s prospects.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XLY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #19 by equity capitalization ($22.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XLY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XLY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY
ACTIVE
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | -0.71% | $22.00B | Benchmark Subject |
| XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -1.63% | $21.00B | /xli-vs-xly → |
| JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -3.13% | $21.00B | /jepq-vs-xly → |
| XLC Communication Services Select Sector SPDR | D- | 36/100 | — | — | — | -1.31% | $20.00B | /xlc-vs-xly → |
| TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ (3x Bull) | E | 34/100 | — | — | — | -11.69% | $25.00B | /tqqq-vs-xly → |
Because Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates XLY on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $118.16, XLY trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $113.13 and 200-day SMA of $115.48 on daily liquidity of 10,075,823 shares.
As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $118.16 (-0.71% 1D, market cap $22.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 17/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, XLY ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the ETF / Index sector (GICS Consumer Discretionary), XLY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B) and JEPQ (JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, XLY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XLY leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).
For Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY), key quantitative strengths include Diversified GICS Consumer Discretionary basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
XLY last traded at $118.16 (-0.71% on volume of 10,075,823 shares), positioning the stock +4.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($113.13) and +2.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($115.48). Across its 52-week range of $105.19 to $125.01, XLY sits at the 65.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.6% ($115.09 to $121.23).
Why XLY ETF slipped -0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. ETF / Index Composite (GICS Consumer Discretionary) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, XLY scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are:
For a prospective investor, the composite reads as weak fundamentals with a beta of 1.0 and limited macro-regime fit, partly offset by favorable forensic and insider readings. The sell-side "trim" label reflects the composite methodology, not a personalized recommendation. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed here because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and the upside drivers depend on sector-wide consumer discretionary performance that this data set does not quantify.
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) is an exchange-traded fund listed on NYSE in the ETF / Index sector, GICS Consumer Discretionary industry, per the Profile. Per the Profile, it is a liquid institutional fund tracking GICS Consumer Discretionary with approximately $22.0B in assets under management. Because it is a fund rather than an operating company, it does not sell products or generate revenue directly; its economic exposure is to the holdings it tracks. Revenue, customer, and revenue-model details for an operating business are not available in source data.
Per the recent news section, six items were published within roughly the prior 15 hours, all tagged "YELLOW" under the impact label "MARKET WIRE," sourced from Yahoo Finance (three items), ETF Database (two items), and TradingView (one item). Headlines reference State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF market action and index-composition changes, including one article on new State Street sector ETFs giving the biggest stocks full weight and two headlines referencing changes to Amazon and Tesla positions in the fund on October 16 and October 20. The recent news section does not provide quantified impact or direction beyond the "YELLOW" tag.
Risk watch items: index-weight concentration in the largest constituents, as implied by the full-weight headline. Proprietary signals: none. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies in the conventional operating sense do not apply to a fund. The relevant second-order exposure is to the constituent companies held inside the fund, whose identities and weights are not itemized in source data beyond the Amazon and Tesla references in the news. Investors should watch concentration in those largest names as a potential second-order driver of fund performance, since the news headlines indicate that the largest stocks receive meaningful weight. Sector correlations to other consumer discretionary names are not quantified in source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ETF Database report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ETF Database report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)) in GICS Consumer Discretionary. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XLY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XLY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in GICS Consumer Discretionary and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $115.38 (52-wk range $105.19 - $125.01), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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