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RWT (28) CHCT (43) TCI (39) ILPT (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.38 -0.91% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.27

Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $405.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (NYSE: XRN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $30.38 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $405.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, XRN ranks #915 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XRN compare to RWT and CHCT in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), XRN carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -1.4%. By comparison, RWT (Redwood Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.1%, cap $407.0M) and CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $378.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCI leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while CHCT leads on capital efficiency (1.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XRN?
β–Ό

Per XRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533615), Chiron Real Estate Inc. generated $148.2M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and $73.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.27 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 49.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510040
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$41 Bull$28 Base$22 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE XRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY XRN SCORES 40/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 49.7% FCF Margin ($73.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$31.29-7.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$28.83-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$28.77+5.6% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$30.38-7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (48) β†’ D- (40)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XRN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While XRN currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.86) and Max Pain ($31.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.58.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XRNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œXRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How XRN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$73.6M (49.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$148.2MGross Profit $77.1M (52%)Cost of Sales $71.1MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $77.1MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $141.0M
FY24
Rev $138.8M
FY25
Rev $148.2M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$148.2M52%0%-$6.9M$73.6M-1.4%
FY 2024$138.8M52%0%$6.7M$70.0M-1.4%
FY 2023$141.0M52%0%$21.7M$68.4M-1.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XRN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of XRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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XRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.08%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $30.37H $30.66L $30.37C $30.38VOL 242.3K
RES: $36.46SUP: $27.72SMA50: $33.86SMA200: $35.24
$39.39$36.33$33.26$30.20$27.14RES $36.46SUP $27.72$30.382026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ XRN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track XRN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XRN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XRN)

Financials Rank #915 of 1097 βš”οΈ RWT vs XRN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (XRN vs. RWT, CHCT, TCI, ILPT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) ranks #915 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #744 by equity capitalization ($405.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCI leads on earnings valuation at 31.6x trailing P/E, while CHCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ILPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with XRN at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XRN ACTIVE
Chiron Real Estate Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -1.4% -0.91% $405.9M Benchmark Subject
RWT
Redwood Trust Inc.
E 28/100 β€” β€” -7.1% -4.01% $407.0M /rwt-vs-xrn β†’
CHCT
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated
D- 43/100 73.3x β€” 1.2% -1.06% $378.2M /chct-vs-xrn β†’
TCI
Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.
D- 39/100 31.6x β€” -0.6% -2.50% $439.4M /tci-vs-xrn β†’
ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of
D 49/100 β€” β€” -13.5% -2.42% $442.1M /ilpt-vs-xrn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001533615 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) reported GAAP revenue of $148.2M (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $138.8M , and +5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of $73.6M, and free cash flow of $73.6M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XRN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $148.2M -$6.9M $73.6M $73.6M $1.24B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $138.8M $6.7M $70.0M $70.0M $1.26B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $141.0M $21.7M $68.4M $68.4M β€” β€”

3. XRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (NYSE: XRN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $30.38 (-0.91% 1D, market cap $405.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, XRN ranks #915 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XRN compare to RWT and CHCT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), XRN carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -1.4%. By comparison, RWT (Redwood Trust Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.1%, cap $407.0M) and CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $378.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCI leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while CHCT leads on capital efficiency (1.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XRN?

Per XRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533615), Chiron Real Estate Inc. generated $148.2M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and $73.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XRN last traded at $30.38 (-0.91% on volume of 129,298 shares), positioning the stock -10.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.86) and -13.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.24). Across its 52-week range of $28.09 to $38.65, XRN sits at the 21.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($28.19 to $32.57).

Direct Sub-Reports: XRN RQD Cockpit XRN 12M Forecast XRN Earnings & Move XRN Dividends & DRIP XRN Insiders & 13F XRN Whale Options XRN Profit Sankey XRN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 40/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

XRN β€” Chiron Real Estate Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $30.38 (-0.91% 1D, market capitalization $405.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.4%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 18.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Chiron Real Estate Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry,. β€” for how the company monetizes its portfolio in detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) reported $148.2M in annual revenue (up from $138.8M in FY2024, +6.8% YoY) and -$6.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($141.0M revenue, $21.7M net income) through FY2025, XRN scaled operating cash flow to $73.6M and free cash flow to $73.6M, backed by $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 18.22% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.09 – $38.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can XRN sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -1.4% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $148.2M and free cash flow of $73.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is XRN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

XRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to XRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $30.38?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XRN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XRN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.14 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the 18.22% FCF yield signals substantial cash generation relative to a $404.0M market cap.

Don't sleep on XRN's setup in Financials. Per the RQD rating, the 18.22% FCF yield signals substantial cash generation relative to a $404.0M market cap.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (40/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $30.37 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.08 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $30.37

Per the RQD rating and SEC financials, ROIC of -1.4% and a swing from $21.7M net income to -$6.9M show the cash engine is not earning r

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on XRN: Per the RQD rating and SEC financials, ROIC of -1.4% and a swing from $21.7M net income to -$6.9M show the cash engine is not earning returns on capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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