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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / YETI / forecast
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YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$45.42 +4.03% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.86

YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (57.4% gross margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.19B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on YETI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YETI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, YETI Holdings Inc. (NYSE: YETI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $45.42 (+4.03% 1D, market cap $3.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YETI ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YETI compare to CALY and MAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), YETI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 57.4%, and ROIC of 23.5%. By comparison, CALY (Callaway Golf Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $2.71B) and MAT (Mattel Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $4.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YETI?
▼

Per YETI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001670592), YETI Holdings Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $165.4M in net income, and $212.1M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $68.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (57.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.86 (+0.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 11.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ · Rk C+
Cash (18)Whales (12)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$57 Bull$49 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE YETI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YETI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YETI SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.3% FCF Margin ($212.1M FCF) & 57.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.59 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.6) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$39.34+8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$42.55-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$42.25+7.5% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$45.42+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YETI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, YETI faces multiple-compression risk if 19.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 54.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.64) or 200D SMA ($43.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.69) toward Bear Floor ($37.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YETI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YETI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your YETI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $45.42: 220.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.24
$8,199
$-1,801 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $48.69
$10,720
+$720 (+7.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $57.45
$12,649
+$2,649 (+26.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$5174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$5469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (YETI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YETI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.28%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $44.19H $45.42L $43.66C $45.42VOL 958.1K
RES: $57.77SUP: $33.80SMA50: $41.64SMA200: $43.90
$55.11$50.48$45.85$41.22$36.59RES $57.77SUP $33.80$45.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YETI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YETI Butterfly Map → + Track YETI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YETI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YETI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YETI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YETI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #79 of 1009 ⚔️ CALY vs YETI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (YETI vs. CALY, MAT, PTON, GOLF)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #346 by equity capitalization ($3.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAT leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while YETI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 57.4% gross margin. YETI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YETI ACTIVE
YETI Holdings Inc.
B 74/100 19.5x 57.4% 23.5% +4.03% $3.19B Benchmark Subject
CALY
Callaway Golf Company
D+ 52/100 — 42.1% 5.6% +6.20% $2.71B /caly-vs-yeti →
MAT
Mattel Inc.
C+ 67/100 11.1x 48.7% 13.0% +0.71% $4.41B /mat-vs-yeti →
PTON
Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 50.9% -24.3% +3.52% $2.28B /pton-vs-yeti →
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings Corp.
D+ 57/100 26.5x 47.7% 13.8% +4.88% $4.98B /golf-vs-yeti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001670592 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.83B , and +12.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.4M, operating cash flow of $254.7M, and free cash flow of $212.1M (-3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, YETI closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $68.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.59, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $1.87B $165.4M $254.7M $212.1M $1.24B $68.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-28 $1.83B $175.7M $261.4M $219.6M $1.29B $72.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-30 $1.66B $169.9M $285.9M $285.9M — —

3. YETI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YETI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, YETI Holdings Inc. (NYSE: YETI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $45.42 (+4.03% 1D, market cap $3.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YETI ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YETI compare to CALY and MAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), YETI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 57.4%, and ROIC of 23.5%. By comparison, CALY (Callaway Golf Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $2.71B) and MAT (Mattel Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $4.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YETI?

Per YETI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001670592), YETI Holdings Inc. generated $1.87B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $165.4M in net income, and $212.1M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $68.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (57.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YETI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YETI last traded at $45.42 (+4.03% on volume of 1,322,628 shares), positioning the stock +9.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.64) and +3.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.90). Across its 52-week range of $32.26 to $53.99, YETI sits at the 60.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($42.51 to $48.33).

Direct Sub-Reports: YETI RQD Cockpit YETI 12M Forecast YETI Earnings & Move YETI Dividends & DRIP YETI Insiders & 13F YETI Whale Options YETI Profit Sankey YETI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YETI — YETI Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $45.42 (+4.03% 1D, market capitalization $3.19B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 23.5%, gross margin of 57.4%, operating margin of 11.4%, and free cash flow yield of 6.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.59, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.11x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

YETI Holdings Inc. Is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry..2B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 57.4%, indicating a product-level margin profile.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-03), YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) reported $1.87B in annual revenue (up from $1.83B in FY2024, +2.1% YoY) and $165.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.66B revenue, $169.9M net income) through FY2025, YETI scaled operating cash flow to $254.7M and free cash flow to $212.1M, backed by $1.24B in total assets against $68.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Strong cash generator (57.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.26 – $53.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 19.5x trailing P/E and 13.2x EV/EBITDA against 11.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer dependencies, and sector correlation links are therefore — A prospective investor should note that second-order bottleneck analysis cannot be performed from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can YETI sustain or expand its 11.4% operating margin and 23.5% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.87B and free cash flow of $212.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $68.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is YETI's 18.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YETI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for YETI Holdings Inc. (YETI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YETI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YETI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YETI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YETI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.52 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 23.5% and an FCF yield of 6.58% anchor a high-quality cash engine backed by a low 0.11 Debt/Equity ratio.

Here is why I am bullish on YETI here at $43.66: ROIC of 23.5% and an FCF yield of 6.58% anchor a high-quality cash engine backed by a low 0.11 Debt/Equity ratio.. Compare YETI's 11.4% operating margin and 23.5% ROIC against the rest of Recreational Games/Products/Toys. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $41.48 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 19.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Recreational Games/Products/Toys. If gross margin (57.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.62 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $43.66

The Trefis risk-watch flag on the falling multiple, with no supply-chain or analyst data to confirm the bull case.

Careful chasing YETI at $43.66. The Trefis risk-watch flag on the falling multiple, with no supply-chain or analyst data to confirm the bull case.. Gross margin is 57.4%, but operating margin is 11.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $33.62 on multiple compression.

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