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Why ZYBT Stock advanced +0.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.34 +0.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $63.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZYBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZYBT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.34 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $63.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ZYBT ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZYBT compare to CPIX and FBIO in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ZYBT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of -22.3%. By comparison, CPIX (Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $63.2M) and FBIO (Fortress Biotech Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $64.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPRO leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while SPRO leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZYBT?
▼

Per ZYBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001975641), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) generated $16.6M in revenue (-34.8% YoY), -$10.0M in net income, and $1.8M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34 (-0.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (7)Macro (12)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.5% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ZYBT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZYBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZYBT SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($1.8M FCF) & 20.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$1.48+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.49-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.44-6.9% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.34-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ZYBT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ZYBT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.45) and Max Pain ($1.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.41.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZYBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZYBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ZYBT Stock advanced +0.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) advanced +0.75% to $1.34, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $8.01). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-22% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($0.62 – $8.01) with RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 20.5% gross margin and $1.8M annual free cash flow.
Live ZYBT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 9d ago
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited Estimates – NASDAQ:ZYBT

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE5QWEdnZ3VYSGZNRUVROVI2OVVSbVJVVXJjU25sa0toM3FTU0xSQUtSelE4bkkxdHh3UlRfVVhpbldoT1AwRzFPRndhbVFWa3hBUnZGX3FaY3F0dFZfeHpvNW9adXJGSGM3NE9veDNfelktSmZGRGZaTw?oc=5

MARKET WIREChartMill • 25d ago
After-Hours Movers: Top Gainers and Losers on Oct. 9, 2026

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxNb0k3Q0xPNnV2TVVOd3dfY1NzVEVtRVU3LXVtT3ByNDN6a0xTSms2MDVEWS1XdDg2SFItZFFTaEVzVkdkMWpWRi0xS0ZJQWlDdVhPaGlYZ2prTTBVSGhzcElWU25reGJ0YW43WVNxTWN1cEhwLXhmajMyN2J

CATALYSTTimothy Sykes • 24d ago
ZYBT Jumps After Volatile Session Draws Trader Focus

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQNHZ5bEYxRy12QVRQN1JUYnYtVGxuVWVmdGFBUTNLVTJYMFZMaDMzM0Vla2dNamZzaUk4dGhHVVFEbTFtRWpRVnJsYWFrT1dvYUNPSEpPUEc5VVRlOTJmaU5KdC1BYUhmbEVKNzY5enJRbVM0VmV6eU51ZDN

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZYBT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ZYBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ZYBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.02%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $1.30H $1.34L $1.30C $1.34VOL 13.0K
RES: $3.24SUP: $1.17SMA50: $1.45SMA200: $1.16
$8.53$6.38$4.24$2.10$-0.05RES $3.24SUP $1.17$1.342026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-182026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZYBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -34.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZYBT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZYBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZYBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZYBT)

Health Care Rank #445 of 1015 ⚔️ CPIX vs ZYBT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ZYBT vs. CPIX, FBIO, INCR, SPRO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) ranks #445 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #710 by equity capitalization ($63.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPRO leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while SPRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. INCR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ZYBT at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZYBT ACTIVE
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)
D- 41/100 — 20.5% -22.3% +0.75% $63.0M Benchmark Subject
CPIX
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 37/100 — 85.0% -16.4% +2.13% $63.2M /cpix-vs-zybt →
FBIO
Fortress Biotech Inc.
E 30/100 — 66.9% -35.0% +0.52% $64.4M /fbio-vs-zybt →
INCR
Intercure Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -0.74% $60.8M /incr-vs-zybt →
SPRO
Spero Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 7.5x — 26.6% 0.00% $60.6M /spro-vs-zybt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001975641 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) reported GAAP revenue of $16.6M (-34.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$10.0M, operating cash flow of $1.9M, and free cash flow of $1.8M (-53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZYBT closed FY2025 with $62.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.90, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.6M -$10.0M $1.9M $1.8M $62.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.5M $1.6M $5.6M $3.8M $67.6M $658.0K

3. ZYBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZYBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZYBT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.34 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $63.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ZYBT ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZYBT compare to CPIX and FBIO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ZYBT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of -22.3%. By comparison, CPIX (Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.4%, cap $63.2M) and FBIO (Fortress Biotech Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $64.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPRO leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while SPRO leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZYBT?

Per ZYBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001975641), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) generated $16.6M in revenue (-34.8% YoY), -$10.0M in net income, and $1.8M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZYBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZYBT last traded at $1.34 (+0.75% on volume of 4,776 shares), positioning the stock -7.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.45) and +15.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.16). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $8.01, ZYBT sits at the 9.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.17 to $1.51).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ZYBT — Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.34 (+0.75% 1D, market capitalization $63.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -22.3%, gross margin of 20.5%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.90, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The company reported revenue of $16.6M for FY 2025 and $25.5M for FY 2024.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) reported $16.6M in annual revenue (up from $25.5M in FY2024, -34.8% YoY) and -$10.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($25.5M revenue, $1.6M net income) through FY2025, ZYBT scaled operating cash flow to $1.9M and free cash flow to $1.8M, backed by $62.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.61% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.62 – $8.01 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ZYBT sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -22.3% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.6M and free cash flow of $1.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ZYBT's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ZYBT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZYBT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZYBT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.34?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZYBT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZYBT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (+14.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $1.3 with a positive 2.61% FCF yield despite the negative earnings profile.

The stock trades at $1.3 with a positive 2.61% FCF yield despite the negative earnings profile.. When you look under the hood at ZYBT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 20.5% gross margins and -22.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $8.01. My 12M target is $1.49.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.30 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.21.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.99 (-23.8%)
Spot @ $1.30

Operating income swung from $2.3M in FY 2024 to -$10.1M in FY 2025 with ROIC at -22.3%, and the RQD rating is a Roarable Sell.

Fading this rally in ZYBT at $1.30. Operating income swung from $2.3M in FY 2024 to -$10.1M in FY 2025 with ROIC at -22.3%, and the RQD rating is a Roarable Sell.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.30 (52-wk range $0.62–$8.01), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE