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Stock Ratings / Technology / AMBQ
WOLF (37) SHLS (36) AIP (33) ICHR (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$43.31 -9.34% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.50

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.16B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AMBQ Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMBQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ambiq Micro Inc. (NYSE: AMBQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $43.31 (-9.34% 1D, market cap $1.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AMBQ ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMBQ compare to WOLF and SHLS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMBQ carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.16B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBQ?
β–Ό

Per AMBQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500412), Ambiq Micro Inc. generated $72.5M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and -$19.7M in free cash flow against $184.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.50 (-1.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (4)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$96 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AMBQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMBQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AMBQ SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (42% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 44.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$55.86-8.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$50.98+7.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$54.67-20.8% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$43.31-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMBQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AMBQ currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($59.12) and Max Pain ($45.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $96.19.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMBQβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAMBQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.930 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
26.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE
L: $22$43.31H: $92
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on AMBQ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 44.3% gross margin and -1.51% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 26.00 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMBQ
  • βœ“Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMBQ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AMBQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMBQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.04%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $53.80H $53.80L $43.31C $43.31VOL 308.5K
RES: $78.18SUP: $23.23SMA50: $59.12SMA200: $53.84
$95.92$78.07$60.22$42.37$24.52RES $78.18SUP $23.23$43.312026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMBQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AMBQ Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AMBQ β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBQ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMBQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMBQ)

Technology Rank #544 of 715 βš”οΈ WOLF vs AMBQ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMBQ vs. WOLF, SHLS, AIP, ICHR)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) ranks #544 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #341 by equity capitalization ($1.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. WOLF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with AMBQ at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMBQ ACTIVE
Ambiq Micro Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 44.3% -35.0% -9.34% $1.16B Benchmark Subject
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -5.14% $1.16B /wolf-vs-ambq β†’
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 37.8x 35.0% 7.5% +5.56% $1.21B /shls-vs-ambq β†’
AIP
Arteris Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 90.2% -35.0% -5.05% $924.1M /aip-vs-ambq β†’
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
E 32/100 β€” 9.3% -4.5% -5.30% $1.46B /ichr-vs-ambq β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001500412 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) reported GAAP revenue of $72.5M (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $76.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of -$19.7M, and free cash flow of -$19.7M (+8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMBQ closed FY2025 with $184.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $72.5M -$36.5M -$19.7M -$19.7M $184.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $76.1M -$39.7M -$21.4M -$21.4M $104.3M β€”

3. AMBQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMBQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ambiq Micro Inc. (NYSE: AMBQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $43.31 (-9.34% 1D, market cap $1.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AMBQ ranks #544 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMBQ compare to WOLF and SHLS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMBQ carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.16B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBQ?

Per AMBQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500412), Ambiq Micro Inc. generated $72.5M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and -$19.7M in free cash flow against $184.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMBQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMBQ last traded at $43.31 (-9.34% on volume of 561,810 shares), positioning the stock -26.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($59.12) and -19.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.84). Across its 52-week range of $22.12 to $91.61, AMBQ sits at the 30.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($37.90 to $48.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: AMBQ RQD Cockpit AMBQ 12M Forecast AMBQ Earnings & Move AMBQ Dividends & DRIP AMBQ Insiders & 13F AMBQ Whale Options AMBQ Profit Sankey AMBQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMBQ β€” Ambiq Micro Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $43.31 (-9.34% 1D, market capitalization $1.16B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 44.3%, operating margin of -54.5%, and free cash flow yield of -1.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ambiq Micro Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Semiconductors industry, . Per the Financials section, the company reported revenue of $72.5M for FY 2025 and $76.1M for FY 2024.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) reported $72.5M in annual revenue (up from $76.1M in FY2024, -4.7% YoY) and -$36.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($76.1M revenue, -$39.7M net income) through FY2025, AMBQ scaled operating cash flow to -$19.7M and free cash flow to -$19.7M, backed by $184.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.51% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.12 – $91.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -54.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), AMBQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 44.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMBQ sustain or expand its -54.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $72.5M and free cash flow of -$19.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMBQ's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AMBQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AMBQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMBQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $43.31?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMBQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMBQ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.89 (+17.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash on the balance sheet rose from $61.0M to $140.3M and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supporting near-term solve

The street is overcomplicating Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ). Cash on the balance sheet rose from $61.0M to $140.3M and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 14 of 20, supporting near-term solvency despite losses.. With an RQD score of 33/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $51.59.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (44.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.78 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $47.77

ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$19.7M, and an insider pillar of 3 of 20 show the cash engine and insider confidence are both weak.

I respect the product at Ambiq Micro Inc., but the stock at $47.77 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, FCF of -$19.7M, and an insider pillar of 3 of 20 show the cash engine and insider confidence are both weak.. FCF yield is -1.51% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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