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Stock Ratings / Energy / CRC
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California Resources Corporation (CRC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$52.54 -5.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.94

California Resources Corporation (CRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, California Resources Corporation (NYSE: CRC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $52.54 (-5.26% 1D, market cap $4.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRC ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?
▼

Per CRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609253), California Resources Corporation generated $2.91B in revenue (+14.7% YoY), $363.0M in net income, and $543.0M in free cash flow against $7.40B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.94 (-1.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$76 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE CRC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRC SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.7% FCF Margin ($543.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$54.03-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$53.54+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$54.72-4% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$52.54+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CRC faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.72) or 200D SMA ($57.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.67) toward Bear Floor ($42.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE
L: $43$52.54H: $72
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on CRC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (75)

9.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 11.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CRC
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $55.46H $55.46L $52.54C $52.54VOL 1.01M
RES: $55.48SUP: $48.56SMA50: $53.72SMA200: $57.22
$71.96$65.67$59.37$53.08$46.79RES $55.48SUP $48.56$52.542026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRC Butterfly Map → + Track CRC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRC)

Energy Rank #56 of 211 ⚔️ PTEN vs CRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRC vs. PTEN, CRGY, HESM, CRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Resources Corporation (CRC) ranks #56 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #85 by equity capitalization ($4.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRC ACTIVE
California Resources Corporation
C+ 67/100 13.4x — 9.8% -5.26% $4.67B Benchmark Subject
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — -0.8% -11.41% $4.50B /pten-vs-crc →
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company
C 63/100 34.2x — 1.7% -5.14% $4.45B /crgy-vs-crc →
HESM
Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests
D+ 56/100 11.7x — 19.1% -0.82% $4.16B /hesm-vs-crc →
CRK
Comstock Resources Inc.
D 46/100 10.8x — 9.4% -4.48% $4.13B /crk-vs-crc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001609253 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Resources Corporation (CRC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.54B , and +35.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $363.0M, operating cash flow of $865.0M, and free cash flow of $543.0M (+53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRC closed FY2025 with $7.40B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.91B $363.0M $865.0M $543.0M $7.40B $1.28B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.54B $376.0M $610.0M $355.0M $7.13B $1.13B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.15B $564.0M $653.0M $653.0M — —

3. CRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, California Resources Corporation (NYSE: CRC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $52.54 (-5.26% 1D, market cap $4.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRC ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.50B) and CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?

Per CRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609253), California Resources Corporation generated $2.91B in revenue (+14.7% YoY), $363.0M in net income, and $543.0M in free cash flow against $7.40B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRC last traded at $52.54 (-5.26% on volume of 1,014,464 shares), positioning the stock -2.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.72) and -8.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($57.22). Across its 52-week range of $43.24 to $71.98, CRC sits at the 32.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($49.34 to $55.74).

Direct Sub-Reports: CRC RQD Cockpit CRC 12M Forecast CRC Earnings & Move CRC Dividends & DRIP CRC Insiders & 13F CRC Whale Options CRC Profit Sankey CRC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CRC — California Resources Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

California Resources Corporation (CRC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $52.54 (-5.26% 1D, market capitalization $4.67B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.5%, and free cash flow yield of 11.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.35x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, specifically the Oil & Gas Production industry. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue mix. The source data does indicate a market capitalization of $4.9B and reported annual revenue for FY 2025 of $2.91B . How the company monetizes production is not described in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), California Resources Corporation (CRC) reported $2.91B in annual revenue (up from $2.54B in FY2024, +14.7% YoY) and $363.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.15B revenue, $564.0M net income) through FY2025, CRC scaled operating cash flow to $865.0M and free cash flow to $543.0M, backed by $7.40B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.24 – $71.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 13.4x trailing P/E and 6.9x EV/EBITDA against 20.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks cannot be derived from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can CRC sustain or expand its 20.5% operating margin and 9.8% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.91B and free cash flow of $543.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.28B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CRC's 11.3x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for California Resources Corporation (CRC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $52.54?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.89 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

CRC (C+ • RQD 67/100) operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production is mispriced at $55.46

The street is overcomplicating California Resources Corporation (CRC). CRC (C+ • RQD 67/100) operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production is mispriced at $55.46. With an RQD score of 67/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $59.90.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 13.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.48 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $55.46

Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $564.0M in FY 2023 to $363.0M in FY 2025 even as revenue rose.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CRC above $55.46. Per the SEC financials, net income fell from $564.0M in FY 2023 to $363.0M in FY 2025 even as revenue rose.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (11.18%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $71.98.

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