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Stock Ratings / Industrials / EVTL
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Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.40 -5.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.40

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $72.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $0.40 (-5.38% 1D, market cap $72.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #273 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?
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For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #273 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.40 (-1.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$8 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE EVTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EVTL SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($2.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.4) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$0.41-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$0.40+10% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$0.44-9.1% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$0.40-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EVTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EVTL currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.55) and Max Pain ($0.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVTL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EVTL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.40H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on EVTL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EVTL
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EVTL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EVTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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EVTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -83.05%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $0.43H $0.43L $0.40C $0.40VOL 2.73M
RES: $0.38SUP: $-0.25SMA50: $0.55SMA200: $2.18
$5.03$3.76$2.49$1.22$-0.05RES $0.38SUP $-0.25$0.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EVTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EVTL Butterfly Map → + Track EVTL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVTL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVTL)

Industrials Rank #273 of 486 ⚔️ HOVR vs EVTL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EVTL vs. HOVR, MOB, SIF, DPRO)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) ranks #273 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #390 by equity capitalization ($72.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. EVTL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EVTL ACTIVE
Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -5.38% $72.1M Benchmark Subject
HOVR
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share
E 34/100 9.9x — — -2.51% $80.2M /hovr-vs-evtl →
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 45/100 — — — -5.81% $42.1M /mob-vs-evtl →
SIF
SIFCO Industries Inc.
D- 37/100 — 12.5% 0.4% -1.99% $125.7M /sif-vs-evtl →
DPRO
Draganfly Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.99% $136.4M /dpro-vs-evtl →

2. EVTL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $72.1M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. EVTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $0.40 (-5.38% 1D, market cap $72.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #273 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $80.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?

For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #273 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EVTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EVTL last traded at $0.40 (-5.38% on volume of 2,948,038 shares), positioning the stock -27.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.55) and -81.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.18). Across its 52-week range of $0.34 to $7.33, EVTL sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.45).

Direct Sub-Reports: EVTL RQD Cockpit EVTL 12M Forecast EVTL Earnings & Move EVTL Dividends & DRIP EVTL Insiders & 13F EVTL Whale Options EVTL Profit Sankey EVTL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EVTL — Vertical Aerospace Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.40 (-5.38% 1D, market capitalization $72.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Aerospace industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.1B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.34 – $7.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — beyond the Aerospace classification. The news wire references the finalization of seat and navigation suppliers (per the recent news feed), which suggests supplier dependence, but the source does not name or quantify those relationships. Second-order bottlenecks a prospective investor should watch are therefore not resolvable from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can EVTL sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $7.33 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EVTL's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EVTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EVTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EVTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EVTL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EVTL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.51 (+21.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported Barclays upgrade and a roughly 10% pre-market gain on supplier finalization signal near-term positive momentum.

Picked up a starter position in EVTL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $0.42. A reported Barclays upgrade and a roughly 10% pre-market gain on supplier finalization signal near-term positive momentum.. Trading inside a $0.34–$7.33 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Aerospace multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EVTL's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.34 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $0.42

A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, combined with a RED-flagged analyst target cut and financial-pressure headlines, point to weak cash generat

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on EVTL: A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, combined with a RED-flagged analyst target cut and financial-pressure headlines, point to weak cash generation and distribution risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Aerospace triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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