ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account β†’
β–Ύ
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚑ My $100K Trading Account β†’ β˜… My Saved Watchlist β†’
🟒 My $100K Account β†’ Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record πŸ’° $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions πŸ›οΈ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LKQ
HOG (74) FOXF (37) LVWR (20) INEO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.93 +7.38% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $4.68B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LKQ Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market cap $4.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LKQ ranks #391 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LKQ carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of 38.6%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $672.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?
β–Ό

Per LKQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001065696), LKQ Corporation generated $13.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $608.0M in net income, and $448.7M in free cash flow against $15.14B in total assets and $3.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16 (+1.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 3.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$39 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LKQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LKQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LKQ SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.40 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$21.82-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$21.38-19.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$17.19+15.9% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$19.93-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (65) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LKQ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LKQ faces multiple-compression risk if 7.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 36.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.32) or 200D SMA ($26.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.84) toward Bear Floor ($15.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LKQβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLKQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.130 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.40>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE
L: $17$19.93H: $37
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (38.6% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on LKQ

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

8.5% ROIC with 38.6% gross margin and 9.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.40 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LKQ
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LKQ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LKQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
LKQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.18%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.10H $19.93L $18.10C $19.93VOL 7.48M
RES: $24.44SUP: $16.53SMA50: $22.32SMA200: $26.94
$32.12$27.98$23.84$19.70$15.57RES $24.44SUP $16.53$19.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LKQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ LKQ Butterfly Map β†’ + Track LKQ β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LKQ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LKQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LKQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LKQ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #391 of 1009 βš”οΈ HOG vs LKQ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LKQ vs. HOG, FOXF, LVWR, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) ranks #391 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #280 by equity capitalization ($4.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with LKQ at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LKQ ACTIVE
LKQ Corporation
D+ 57/100 7.5x 38.6% 8.5% +7.38% $4.68B Benchmark Subject
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc.
B 74/100 9.3x 23.9% 18.0% +5.93% $3.25B /hog-vs-lkq β†’
FOXF
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
D- 37/100 β€” 30.2% -35.0% +1.69% $672.1M /foxf-vs-lkq β†’
LVWR
LiveWire Group Inc.
E 20/100 β€” -17.3% -35.0% -7.32% $135.6M /lvwr-vs-lkq β†’
INEO
INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” 19.2% -1.0% +1.87% $8.6M /ineo-vs-lkq β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001065696 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported GAAP revenue of $13.65B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.82B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $608.0M, operating cash flow of $1.06B, and free cash flow of $448.7M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LKQ closed FY2025 with $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.40, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.65B $608.0M $1.06B $448.7M $15.14B $3.54B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.82B $693.0M $1.12B $499.0M $14.96B $3.50B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $13.27B $938.0M $1.36B $758.9M $15.92B $3.73B

3. LKQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market cap $4.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LKQ ranks #391 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LKQ carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of 38.6%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $672.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?

Per LKQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001065696), LKQ Corporation generated $13.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $608.0M in net income, and $448.7M in free cash flow against $15.14B in total assets and $3.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LKQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LKQ last traded at $19.93 (+7.38% on volume of 8,125,051 shares), positioning the stock -10.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.32) and -26.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.85 to $37.13, LKQ sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.0% ($18.34 to $21.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: LKQ RQD Cockpit LKQ 12M Forecast LKQ Earnings & Move LKQ Dividends & DRIP LKQ Insiders & 13F LKQ Whale Options LKQ Profit Sankey LKQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LKQ β€” LKQ Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market capitalization $4.68B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of 38.6%, operating margin of 7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 9.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.40, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LKQ Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Motor Vehicles industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported $13.65B in annual revenue (up from $13.82B in FY2024, -1.2% YoY) and $608.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($13.27B revenue, $938.0M net income) through FY2025, LKQ scaled operating cash flow to $1.06B and free cash flow to $448.7M, backed by $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.80% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.85 – $37.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 7.5x trailing P/E and 4.8x EV/EBITDA against 7.3% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Motor Vehicles (Consumer Discretionary), LKQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.06 and gross margin of 38.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can LKQ sustain or expand its 7.3% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Motor Vehicles peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $13.65B and free cash flow of $448.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.54B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LKQ's 7.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?

LKQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LKQ Corporation (LKQ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LKQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LKQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $19.93?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LKQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LKQ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.09 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5

Don't sleep on LKQ's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5 P/E.. Beta of 1.06 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” LKQ's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.03 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $18.56

Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicatin

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LKQ: Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicating weakening earnings with little institutional support.. At 7.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Motor Vehicles triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE