Should I buy, hold, or sell LKQ stock right now?

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LKQ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LKQ's 12-month base price target is $19.84 (range $15.48 to $38.99), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LKQ

HOG (74) FOXF (37) LVWR (20) INEO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.93 +7.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.68B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LKQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market cap $4.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LKQ ranks #391 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LKQ carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of 38.6%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $672.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?

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Per LKQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001065696), LKQ Corporation generated $13.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $608.0M in net income, and $448.7M in free cash flow against $15.14B in total assets and $3.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16 (+1.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LKQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LKQ SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.40 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$21.82-2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$21.38-19.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$17.19+15.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$19.93-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LKQ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LKQ faces multiple-compression risk if 7.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.32) or 200D SMA ($26.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.84) toward Bear Floor ($15.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LKQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LKQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.40>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE

L: $17$19.93H: $37

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (38.6% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on LKQ

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

8.5% ROIC with 38.6% gross margin and 9.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.40 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (53)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LKQ

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LKQ)

✓Walkthrough of LKQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LKQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.18%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $18.10H $19.93L $18.10C $19.93VOL 7.48M

RES: $24.44SUP: $16.53SMA50: $22.32SMA200: $26.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LKQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LKQ Butterfly Map → + Track LKQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LKQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LKQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LKQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LKQ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #391 of 1009 ⚔️ HOG vs LKQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LKQ vs. HOG, FOXF, LVWR, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) ranks #391 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #280 by equity capitalization ($4.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with LKQ at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LKQ ACTIVE LKQ Corporation	D+	57/100	7.5x	38.6%	8.5%	+7.38%	$4.68B	Benchmark Subject
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc.	B	74/100	9.3x	23.9%	18.0%	+5.93%	$3.25B	/hog-vs-lkq →
FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp.	D-	37/100	—	30.2%	-35.0%	+1.69%	$672.1M	/foxf-vs-lkq →
LVWR LiveWire Group Inc.	E	20/100	—	-17.3%	-35.0%	-7.32%	$135.6M	/lvwr-vs-lkq →
INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)	D	44/100	—	19.2%	-1.0%	+1.87%	$8.6M	/ineo-vs-lkq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001065696 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported GAAP revenue of $13.65B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.82B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $608.0M, operating cash flow of $1.06B, and free cash flow of $448.7M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LKQ closed FY2025 with $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.40, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$13.65B	$608.0M	$1.06B	$448.7M	$15.14B	$3.54B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$13.82B	$693.0M	$1.12B	$499.0M	$14.96B	$3.50B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$13.27B	$938.0M	$1.36B	$758.9M	$15.92B	$3.73B

3. LKQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?

Where is LKQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LKQ last traded at $19.93 (+7.38% on volume of 8,125,051 shares), positioning the stock -10.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.32) and -26.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.85 to $37.13, LKQ sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($18.34 to $21.52).

Direct Sub-Reports: LKQ RQD Cockpit LKQ 12M Forecast LKQ Earnings & Move LKQ Dividends & DRIP LKQ Insiders & 13F LKQ Whale Options LKQ Profit Sankey LKQ News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LKQ — LKQ Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

LKQ Corporation (LKQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market capitalization $4.68B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of 38.6%, operating margin of 7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 9.80%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.40, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

LKQ Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Motor Vehicles industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported $13.65B in annual revenue (up from $13.82B in FY2024, -1.2% YoY) and $608.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($13.27B revenue, $938.0M net income) through FY2025, LKQ scaled operating cash flow to $1.06B and free cash flow to $448.7M, backed by $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.80% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.85 – $37.13 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 7.5x trailing P/E and 4.8x EV/EBITDA against 7.3% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Motor Vehicles (Consumer Discretionary), LKQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.06 and gross margin of 38.6%.

Key Question #1: Can LKQ sustain or expand its 7.3% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Motor Vehicles peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $13.65B and free cash flow of $448.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.54B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is LKQ's 7.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?

LKQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LKQ Corporation (LKQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LKQ Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Is LKQ (LKQ) Still A Bargain After A 53% Slide?

Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE CNN • 1d ago

symbol__ Stock Quote Price and Forecast

CNN report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

LKQ Corporation's Decline Offers Investors A Buying Opportunity (NASDAQ:LKQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

LKQ stock tumbles 10% on weak Q3 results, CEO departure

Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fortune • 1d ago

LKQ (LKQ) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Fortune report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE RVBusiness • 1d ago

LKQ Corporation Announces Results for 3rd Quarter 2026

RVBusiness report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Earnings Flash (LKQ) LKQ Corporation Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $0.50 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.61

marketscreener.com report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

LKQ: The Valuation Does Not Reflect The Potential For Market Recovery

Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LKQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LKQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.09 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5

Don't sleep on LKQ's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5 P/E.. Beta of 1.06 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LKQ's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.03 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $18.56

Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicatin

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LKQ: Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicating weakening earnings with little institutional support.. At 7.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Motor Vehicles triggers a 12-15% air pocket.