Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why LKQ Stock surged +7.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market cap $4.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LKQ ranks #391 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LKQ carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of 38.6%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $672.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?
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Per LKQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001065696), LKQ Corporation generated $13.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $608.0M in net income, and $448.7M in free cash flow against $15.14B in total assets and $3.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.40 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LKQ Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LKQ faces multiple-compression risk if 7.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 36.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.32) or 200D SMA ($26.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.84) toward Bear Floor ($15.48).
Why LKQ Stock surged +7.38% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) surged +7.38% to $19.93, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($16.85 – $37.13). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($16.85 – $37.13) with RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $19.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 38.6% gross margin and $448.7M annual free cash flow.
CNN report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Fortune report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RVBusiness report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
LKQ just reported Q3 2026 and the headline is blunt. The auto parts distributor swung to a basic loss of US$0.09 per share, even as the stock climbed 2.5% on the day to US$18.56. Traders leaned into the move after seeing
Inflation debates at the European Central Bank keep reminding investors of one thing. Central banks can change interest rates, but retirees still need reliable cash flow. That is where companies paying solid, 3% plus div
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LKQ)
- ✓Walkthrough of LKQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
LKQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LKQ today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LKQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LKQ)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LKQ vs. HOG, FOXF, LVWR, INEO)
Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) ranks #391 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #280 by equity capitalization ($4.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with LKQ at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKQ
ACTIVE
LKQ Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 7.5x | 38.6% | 8.5% | +7.38% | $4.68B | Benchmark Subject |
| HOG Harley-Davidson Inc. | B | 74/100 | 9.3x | 23.9% | 18.0% | +5.93% | $3.25B | /hog-vs-lkq → |
| FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp. | D- | 37/100 | — | 30.2% | -35.0% | +1.69% | $672.1M | /foxf-vs-lkq → |
| LVWR LiveWire Group Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -17.3% | -35.0% | -7.32% | $135.6M | /lvwr-vs-lkq → |
| INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | 19.2% | -1.0% | +1.87% | $8.6M | /ineo-vs-lkq → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001065696 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported GAAP revenue of $13.65B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.82B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $608.0M, operating cash flow of $1.06B, and free cash flow of $448.7M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LKQ closed FY2025 with $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.40, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $13.65B | $608.0M | $1.06B | $448.7M | $15.14B | $3.54B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $13.82B | $693.0M | $1.12B | $499.0M | $14.96B | $3.50B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $13.27B | $938.0M | $1.36B | $758.9M | $15.92B | $3.73B |
3. LKQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LKQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ: LKQ) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market cap $4.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LKQ ranks #391 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LKQ compare to HOG and FOXF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), LKQ carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.5x, gross margin of 38.6%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $672.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LKQ?
Per LKQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001065696), LKQ Corporation generated $13.65B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $608.0M in net income, and $448.7M in free cash flow against $15.14B in total assets and $3.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LKQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LKQ last traded at $19.93 (+7.38% on volume of 8,125,051 shares), positioning the stock -10.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.32) and -26.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.85 to $37.13, LKQ sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($18.34 to $21.52).
LKQ — LKQ Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.93 (+7.38% 1D, market capitalization $4.68B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of 38.6%, operating margin of 7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 9.80%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.40, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
LKQ Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Motor Vehicles industry.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), LKQ Corporation (LKQ) reported $13.65B in annual revenue (up from $13.82B in FY2024, -1.2% YoY) and $608.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($13.27B revenue, $938.0M net income) through FY2025, LKQ scaled operating cash flow to $1.06B and free cash flow to $448.7M, backed by $15.14B in total assets against $3.54B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.80% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.85 – $37.13 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 7.5x trailing P/E and 4.8x EV/EBITDA against 7.3% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Motor Vehicles (Consumer Discretionary), LKQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.06 and gross margin of 38.6%.
- Key Question #1: Can LKQ sustain or expand its 7.3% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Motor Vehicles peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $13.65B and free cash flow of $448.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.54B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is LKQ's 7.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?
LKQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LKQ Corporation (LKQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNN report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Fortune report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RVBusiness report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering LKQ Corporation (LKQ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
LKQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.93?
A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5
Don't sleep on LKQ's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 9.8% FCF yield and a strong insider conviction score (17 / 20) suggest the market may be undervaluing LKQ's cash generation at a 7.5 P/E.. Beta of 1.06 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
Both sides have a point here — LKQ's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicatin
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LKQ: Operating income fell from $1.32B in FY 2023 to $993.0M in FY 2025 while the rating's whale flow pillar scored only 5 / 20, indicating weakening earnings with little institutional support.. At 7.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Motor Vehicles triggers a 12-15% air pocket.