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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / MZTI
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The Marzetti Company (MZTI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$110.93 +1.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.93

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MZTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $110.93 (+1.08% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?
▼

Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.93 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 10.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$185 Bull$114 Base$89 Bear
📬 FREE MZTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MZTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MZTI SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($203.5M FCF) & 23.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$100.95+5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$106.01+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$107.81+2.9% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$110.93+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MZTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MZTI faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($104.93) or 200D SMA ($124.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($114.42) toward Bear Floor ($89.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MZTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MZTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
60.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE
L: $97$110.93H: $176
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (23.9% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MZTI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

20.9% ROIC with 23.9% gross margin and 6.83% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MZTI
  • ✓Strong cash generator (23.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MZTI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
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MZTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $109.1H $110.9L $109.1C $110.9VOL 391.6K
RES: $125.0SUP: $94.64SMA50: $104.9SMA200: $124.1
$168.9$149.4$129.9$110.4$90.95RES $125.0SUP $94.64$110.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MZTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MZTI Butterfly Map → + Track MZTI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MZTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MZTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MZTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MZTI)

Consumer Staples Rank #31 of 147 ⚔️ FRPT vs MZTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (MZTI vs. FRPT, POST, UTZ, NOMD)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Marzetti Company (MZTI) ranks #31 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #50 by equity capitalization ($2.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POST leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with MZTI at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MZTI ACTIVE
The Marzetti Company
C 65/100 17.8x 23.9% 20.9% +1.08% $2.99B Benchmark Subject
FRPT
Freshpet Inc.
B- 71/100 22.8x 40.8% 6.4% +3.14% $3.24B /frpt-vs-mzti →
POST
Post Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 10.7x 28.7% 5.9% +2.97% $3.66B /post-vs-mzti →
UTZ
Utz Brands Inc (Class A)
D+ 55/100 — 24.9% 1.1% +0.14% $2.05B /utz-vs-mzti →
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
C- 61/100 — — — +2.74% $1.71B /nomd-vs-mzti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000057515 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), The Marzetti Company (MZTI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.87B , and +4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.3M, operating cash flow of $261.5M, and free cash flow of $203.5M (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MZTI closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $1.91B $167.3M $261.5M $203.5M $1.33B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.87B $158.6M $251.6M $184.0M $1.24B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.82B $111.3M $225.9M $225.9M — —

3. MZTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MZTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ: MZTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $110.93 (+1.08% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, MZTI ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MZTI compare to FRPT and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), MZTI carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 23.9%, and ROIC of 20.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MZTI?

Per MZTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000057515), The Marzetti Company generated $1.91B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $167.3M in net income, and $203.5M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MZTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MZTI last traded at $110.93 (+1.08% on volume of 760,202 shares), positioning the stock +5.72% above its 50-day simple moving average ($104.93) and -10.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($124.10). Across its 52-week range of $97.00 to $176.26, MZTI sits at the 17.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($105.05 to $116.81).

Direct Sub-Reports: MZTI RQD Cockpit MZTI 12M Forecast MZTI Earnings & Move MZTI Dividends & DRIP MZTI Insiders & 13F MZTI Whale Options MZTI Profit Sankey MZTI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MZTI — The Marzetti Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $110.93 (+1.08% 1D, market capitalization $2.99B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 20.9%, gross margin of 23.9%, operating margin of 11.5%, and free cash flow yield of 6.83%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry..0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), The Marzetti Company (MZTI) reported $1.91B in annual revenue (up from $1.87B in FY2024, +2.0% YoY) and $167.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.82B revenue, $111.3M net income) through FY2025, MZTI scaled operating cash flow to $261.5M and free cash flow to $203.5M, backed by $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (23.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $97.00 – $176.26 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.8x trailing P/E and 10.3x EV/EBITDA against 11.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream input suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation data are — Investors should note that a sector-level read (Consumer Staples / Packaged Foods) is the only ripple context the source supports, and the second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided material.

  • Key Question #1: Can MZTI sustain or expand its 11.5% operating margin and 20.9% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.91B and free cash flow of $203.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MZTI's 16.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MZTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Marzetti Company (MZTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MZTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MZTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $110.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MZTI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MZTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $134.98 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (16/20) and a 20.9% ROIC with 6.83% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.

The street is overcomplicating The Marzetti Company (MZTI). Insider conviction (16/20) and a 20.9% ROIC with 6.83% FCF yield support the cash-generation case.. With an RQD score of 65/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $118.52.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $109.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $82.30 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $109.74

Whale 13F flow (9/20) and macro regime fit (10/20) show only moderate institutional and sector alignment.

I respect the product at The Marzetti Company, but the stock at $109.74 is a different story. Whale 13F flow (9/20) and macro regime fit (10/20) show only moderate institutional and sector alignment.. FCF yield is 6.83% and RQD sits at 65/100 (C) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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