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Stock Ratings / Energy / NC
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NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$34.46 -1.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.29

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $264.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, NACCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: NC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $34.46 (-1.65% 1D, market cap $264.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NC ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NC compare to METCB and METC in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $263.0M) and METC (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $449.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NC?
▼

Per NC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789933), NACCO Industries Inc. generated $277.2M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $17.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $661.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.29 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$62 Bull$33 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE NC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.30 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$35.20-7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$32.47+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$34.79-0.9% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$34.46-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.30) and Max Pain ($36.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $62.39.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.30>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE
L: $32$34.46H: $59
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

4.6% ROIC with 13.9% gross margin and 0.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.30 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NC
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.22%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $35.73H $35.73L $34.46C $34.46VOL 31.3K
RES: $35.41SUP: $30.69SMA50: $37.30SMA200: $46.73
$56.14$49.68$43.23$36.77$30.32RES $35.41SUP $30.69$34.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NC Butterfly Map → + Track NC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NC)

Energy Rank #146 of 211 ⚔️ METCB vs NC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NC vs. METCB, METC, AREC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) ranks #146 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #168 by equity capitalization ($264.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with NC at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NC ACTIVE
NACCO Industries Inc.
D 47/100 15.3x 13.9% 4.6% -1.65% $264.4M Benchmark Subject
METCB
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +2.30% $263.0M /metcb-vs-nc →
METC
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -6.52% $449.0M /metc-vs-nc →
AREC
American Resources Corporation (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — -14.0% -11.07% $130.5M /arec-vs-nc →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -1.23% $1.53B /nrp-vs-nc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000789933 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) reported GAAP revenue of $277.2M (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $237.7M , and +29.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6M, operating cash flow of $50.9M, and free cash flow of $2.3M (+107.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NC closed FY2025 with $661.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.30, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $277.2M $17.6M $50.9M $2.3M $661.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $237.7M $33.7M $22.3M -$32.4M $631.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $214.8M -$39.6M $54.5M $54.5M — —

3. NC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NACCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: NC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $34.46 (-1.65% 1D, market cap $264.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NC ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NC compare to METCB and METC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), NC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.3x, gross margin of 13.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $263.0M) and METC (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $449.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NC?

Per NC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000789933), NACCO Industries Inc. generated $277.2M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $17.6M in net income, and $2.3M in free cash flow against $661.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NC last traded at $34.46 (-1.65% on volume of 16,842 shares), positioning the stock -7.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.30) and -26.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.73). Across its 52-week range of $32.32 to $59.42, NC sits at the 7.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($32.32 to $36.60).

Direct Sub-Reports: NC RQD Cockpit NC 12M Forecast NC Earnings & Move NC Dividends & DRIP NC Insiders & 13F NC Whale Options NC Profit Sankey NC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NC — NACCO Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $34.46 (-1.65% 1D, market capitalization $264.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of 13.9%, operating margin of 7.9%, and free cash flow yield of 0.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.30, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NACCO Industries Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector and Coal Mining industry. Its market capitalization is $0.3B. Gross margin is 13.9%, operating margin 7.9%, and net margin 6.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) reported $277.2M in annual revenue (up from $237.7M in FY2024, +16.6% YoY) and $17.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($214.8M revenue, -$39.6M net income) through FY2025, NC scaled operating cash flow to $50.9M and free cash flow to $2.3M, backed by $661.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.85% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.32 – $59.42 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.3x trailing P/E and 3.5x EV/EBITDA against 7.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Coal Mining (Energy), NC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 13.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can NC sustain or expand its 7.9% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Coal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $277.2M and free cash flow of $2.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NC's 12.9x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NACCO Industries Inc. (NC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.30 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Earnings multiples look inexpensive (P/E TTM 15.3, forward P/E 12.9, EV/EBITDA 3.5) with a 2.72% dividend yield.

Earnings multiples look inexpensive (P/E TTM 15.3, forward P/E 12.9, EV/EBITDA 3.5) with a 2.72% dividend yield.. When you look under the hood at NC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 13.9% gross margins and 4.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $59.42. My 12M target is $40.30.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 15.3x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Coal Mining. If gross margin (13.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.98 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $35.04

Cash returns are thin, with ROIC at 4.6% and FCF yield at 0.85%, and the RQD rating carries a Distribution Warning.

Fading this rally in NC at $35.04. Cash returns are thin, with ROIC at 4.6% and FCF yield at 0.85%, and the RQD rating carries a Distribution Warning.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $35.04 (52-wk range $32.32–$59.42), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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