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Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.26 -13.70% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $319.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (NASDAQ: QSI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.26 (-13.70% 1D, market cap $319.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, QSI ranks #334 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QSI compare to HLP and CUB in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), QSI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HLP (Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $303.4M) and CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CUB leads on earnings multiple (38.8x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QSI?
β–Ό

Per QSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816431), Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) generated $2.4M in revenue (-20.3% YoY), -$101.3M in net income, and -$97.2M in free cash flow against $245.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-2.66%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510041
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (13)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.9% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE QSI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY QSI SCORES 41/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 38% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$1.41-17.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$1.16+42.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.65-23.6% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$1.26-7.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D- (41)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QSI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While QSI currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.08) and Max Pain ($1.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.29.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QSIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œQSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.630 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.27>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.26H: $2
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on QSI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 47.3% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.27 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like QSI
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QSI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of QSI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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QSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.90%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.75H $1.75L $1.26C $1.26VOL 9.91M
RES: $1.83SUP: $0.75SMA50: $1.08SMA200: $0.97
$1.89$1.56$1.24$0.91$0.59RES $1.83SUP $0.75$1.262026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ QSI Butterfly Map β†’ + Track QSI β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QSI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QSI)

Industrials Rank #334 of 486 βš”οΈ HLP vs QSI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (QSI vs. HLP, CUB, TWIN, SES)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) ranks #334 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #321 by equity capitalization ($319.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CUB leads on earnings valuation at 38.8x trailing P/E, while TWIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.9% ROIC and 27.6% gross margin. HLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with QSI at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QSI ACTIVE
Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)
D- 41/100 β€” 47.3% -35.0% -13.70% $319.6M Benchmark Subject
HLP
Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 β€” 32.5% 3.4% +0.25% $303.4M /hlp-vs-qsi β†’
CUB
Lionheart Holdings (Class A)
D- 42/100 38.8x β€” -4.0% +0.09% $347.5M /cub-vs-qsi β†’
TWIN
Twin Disc Incorporated
D+ 56/100 β€” 27.6% 3.9% +3.21% $348.6M /twin-vs-qsi β†’
SES
SES AI Corporation (Class A)
E 28/100 β€” 53.8% -35.0% -1.56% $281.3M /ses-vs-qsi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001816431 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (-20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and +125.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$101.3M, operating cash flow of -$94.7M, and free cash flow of -$97.2M (-5.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, QSI closed FY2025 with $245.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.27, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.4M -$101.3M -$94.7M -$97.2M $245.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.1M -$101.0M -$87.8M -$92.4M $247.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.1M -$96.0M -$94.0M -$94.0M β€” β€”

3. QSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (NASDAQ: QSI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.26 (-13.70% 1D, market cap $319.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, QSI ranks #334 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QSI compare to HLP and CUB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), QSI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HLP (Hongli Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $303.4M) and CUB (Lionheart Holdings (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC -4.0%, cap $347.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CUB leads on earnings multiple (38.8x) while TWIN leads on capital efficiency (3.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QSI?

Per QSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001816431), Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) generated $2.4M in revenue (-20.3% YoY), -$101.3M in net income, and -$97.2M in free cash flow against $245.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QSI last traded at $1.26 (-13.70% on volume of 8,195,517 shares), positioning the stock +16.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.08) and +29.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.97). Across its 52-week range of $0.69 to $2.18, QSI sits at the 38.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.10 to $1.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: QSI RQD Cockpit QSI 12M Forecast QSI Earnings & Move QSI Dividends & DRIP QSI Insiders & 13F QSI Whale Options QSI Profit Sankey QSI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 41/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

QSI β€” Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.26 (-13.70% 1D, market capitalization $319.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 47.3%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.27, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Reported revenue was $2.4M in FY 2025, $3.1M in FY 2024, and $1.1M in FY 2023. Per the recent news wire, the company has reported a 19-amino-acid detection milestone on its Proteus platform.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) reported $2.4M in annual revenue (up from $3.1M in FY2024, -20.3% YoY) and -$101.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.1M revenue, -$96.0M net income) through FY2025, QSI scaled operating cash flow to -$94.7M and free cash flow to -$97.2M, backed by $245.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.69 – $2.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore β€” Investors should note that the company's classification in Industrial Machinery/Components does not by itself establish supply-chain relationships.

  • Key Question #1: Can QSI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.4M and free cash flow of -$97.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is QSI's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

QSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) (QSI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to QSI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.26?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QSI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QSI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.85 (+26.7%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional positioning scores 16 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, and the stock trades 1.74% higher in the current ses

Institutional positioning scores 16 of 20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar, and the stock trades 1.74% higher in the current session.. When you look under the hood at QSI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 47.3% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (13/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.18. My 12M target is $1.85.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.46 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.36.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.21 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $1.46

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$97.2M against cash that fell to $21.6M indicate ongoing cash burn.

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$97.2M against cash that fell to $21.6M indicate ongoing cash burn.. Look at the math on QSI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.28 before getting long.

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