Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.42 (+1.79% 1D, market cap $189.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ACRE ranks #955 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ACRE carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, SITC (SITE Centers Corp.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 53.1%, cap $192.6M) and MITT (TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 3.7x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $183.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MITT leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while STRW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per ACRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529377), Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation generated $54.8M in revenue (-21.3% YoY), -$902.0K in net income, and $21.4M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While ACRE currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.93) and Max Pain ($3.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.18.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) advanced +1.79% to $3.42, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($3.16 – $5.89). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -21.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACRE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) ranks #955 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #892 by equity capitalization ($189.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MITT leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while STRW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. STRW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ACRE at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACRE
ACTIVE
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -0.2% | +1.79% | $189.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| SITC SITE Centers Corp. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 53.1% | -1.61% | $192.6M | /sitc-vs-acre → |
| MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. | D | 49/100 | 3.7x | — | 8.7% | +3.04% | $183.5M | /mitt-vs-acre → |
| STRW Strawberry Fields REIT Inc. | C | 64/100 | 23.5x | — | 85.0% | -1.50% | $177.0M | /strw-vs-acre → |
| RC Ready Capital Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -14.3% | 0.00% | $176.8M | /rc-vs-acre → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) reported GAAP revenue of $54.8M (-21.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $69.7M , and -41.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$902.0K, operating cash flow of $21.4M, and free cash flow of $21.4M (-39.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACRE closed FY2025 with $1.62B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $54.8M | -$902.0K | $21.4M | $21.4M | $1.62B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $69.7M | -$35.0M | $35.5M | $35.5M | $1.75B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $92.9M | -$38.9M | $46.8M | $46.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $3.42 (+1.79% 1D, market cap $189.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ACRE ranks #955 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ACRE carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, SITC (SITE Centers Corp.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 53.1%, cap $192.6M) and MITT (TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 3.7x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $183.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MITT leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while STRW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per ACRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529377), Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation generated $54.8M in revenue (-21.3% YoY), -$902.0K in net income, and $21.4M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ACRE last traded at $3.42 (+1.79% on volume of 572,708 shares), positioning the stock -12.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.93) and -26.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.64). Across its 52-week range of $3.16 to $5.89, ACRE sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($3.15 to $3.69).
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.42 (+1.79% 1D, market capitalization $189.7M).
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry..2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) reported $54.8M in annual revenue (up from $69.7M in FY2024, -21.3% YoY) and -$902.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($92.9M revenue, -$38.9M net income) through FY2025, ACRE scaled operating cash flow to $21.4M and free cash flow to $21.4M, backed by $1.62B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
— No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Franklin BSP (FBRT) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -107.69% and +3.58%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
An 11.25% FCF yield and a 4/9 Piotroski score point to cash generation and balance sheet strength that the market may be underpricing.. When you look under the hood at ACRE, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -0.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $5.89. My 12M target is $4.27.
Both sides have a point here — ACRE's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ACRE: Negative net income in every reported year, a -0.2% ROIC, and revenue falling from $92.9M to $54.8M show a deteriorating earnings engine.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate Investment Trusts triggers a 12-15% air pocket.
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