What is AEBI's 12-month stock price target?

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $10.04 (-14.8% from $11.79), with a bull-case target of $16.76 and a bear-case floor of $7.83.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AEBI / forecast

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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Where is AEBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEBI last traded at $11.79 (+3.97% on volume of 209,961 shares), positioning the stock +1.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.58) and -4.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.36). Across its 52-week range of $8.91 to $15.96, AEBI sits at the 40.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($11.07 to $12.51).

Q: Is AEBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AEBI E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 25/100.

$11.79 +3.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.85

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $880.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $11.79 (+3.97% 1D, market cap $880.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEBI ranks #938 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEBI compare to PSNY and LCID in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AEBI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.1x, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M) and LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEBI leads on earnings multiple (91.1x) while AEBI leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEBI?

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Per AEBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048519), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG generated $1.53B in revenue (+40.6% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $548.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.85 (+0.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AEBI SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.62 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.24-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$11.15-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.13+5.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$11.79-10.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (17) → E (25)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEBI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AEBI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.58) and Max Pain ($12.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AEBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AEBI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.79: 848.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.83

$6,641

$-3,359 (-33.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $10.04

$8,516

$-1,484 (-14.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $16.76

$14,215

+$4,215 (+42.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$16	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$9	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEBI)

✓Walkthrough of AEBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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AEBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $11.43H $11.79L $11.34C $11.79VOL 156.2K

RES: $17.02SUP: $9.25SMA50: $11.58SMA200: $12.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AEBI Butterfly Map → + Track AEBI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +40.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEBI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #938 of 1009 ⚔️ PSNY vs AEBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AEBI vs. PSNY, LCID, LOT, AIIO)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) ranks #938 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #523 by equity capitalization ($880.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEBI leads on earnings valuation at 91.1x trailing P/E, while AEBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.6% ROIC and 19.9% gross margin. PSNY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AEBI at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AEBI ACTIVE Aebi Schmidt Holding AG	E	25/100	91.1x	19.9%	4.6%	+3.97%	$880.0M	Benchmark Subject
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS	D	45/100	—	—	—	+6.34%	$673.5M	/psny-vs-aebi →
LCID Lucid Group Inc.	E	16/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-0.66%	$1.19B	/lcid-vs-aebi →
LOT Lotus Technology Inc.	E	22/100	—	8.7%	-35.0%	+1.78%	$252.3M	/lot-vs-aebi →
AIIO Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)	E	24/100	—	62.5%	-35.0%	-5.01%	$143.1M	/aiio-vs-aebi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002048519 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+40.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.09B , and +50.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.7M, operating cash flow of $9.0M, and free cash flow of -$5.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEBI closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $548.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.62, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.53B	$9.7M	$9.0M	-$5.2M	$2.01B	$548.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.09B	$30.7M	$68.8M	$55.2M	$1.09B	$376.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.02B	$11.2M	$30.1M	$30.1M	—	—

3. AEBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AEBI compare to PSNY and LCID in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEBI?

Where is AEBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEBI last traded at $11.79 (+3.97% on volume of 209,961 shares), positioning the stock +1.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.58) and -4.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.36). Across its 52-week range of $8.91 to $15.96, AEBI sits at the 40.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($11.07 to $12.51).

Direct Sub-Reports: AEBI RQD Cockpit AEBI 12M Forecast AEBI Earnings & Move AEBI Dividends & DRIP AEBI Insiders & 13F AEBI Whale Options AEBI Profit Sankey AEBI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AEBI — Aebi Schmidt Holding AG: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $11.79 (+3.97% 1D, market capitalization $880.0M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of 19.9%, operating margin of 4.8%, and free cash flow yield of -0.59%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.62, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.9B. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.53B, indicating a substantial operating scale.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) reported $1.53B in annual revenue (up from $1.09B in FY2024, +40.6% YoY) and $9.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.02B revenue, $11.2M net income) through FY2025, AEBI scaled operating cash flow to $9.0M and free cash flow to -$5.2M, backed by $2.01B in total assets against $548.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.59% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.91 – $15.96 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 91.1x trailing P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA against 4.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies. The only sector context available is the Consumer Discretionary / Auto Manufacturing classification and the RQD macro-fit pillar's note of sector sensitivity at Beta 1.0. A prospective investor should watch for the absence of documented supply-chain linkages as itself a gap in diligence rather than evidence of their absence.

Key Question #1: Can AEBI sustain or expand its 4.8% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Auto Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.53B and free cash flow of -$5.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $548.0M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AEBI's 76.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AEBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AEBI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Reports Q3 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.15% and +6.62%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago

Aebi Schmidt Group will announce third quarter 2026 earnings on November 11, 2026 and declares quarterly dividend of $0.025 per share

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will hold its third quarter 2026 earning

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 14d ago

Aebi Schmidt Group Strengthens Leadership in North America and Expands Group Executive Board

FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class leader in specialty vehicles, today announced three appointments

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 61d ago

Is Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Stock Outpacing Its Auto-Tires-Trucks Peers This Year?

Here is how Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and Bridgestone Corp. (BRDCY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 65d ago

Aebi Schmidt Targets CHF 3B Revenue, 13% Margins as Shyft Synergies Build

Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) outlined plans to expand revenue, margins and its specialty-vehicle footprint through a combination of organic growth, operational improvements and acquisitions during the Midwest IDEAS Investo

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 74d ago

Aebi Schmidt (AEBI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Order backlog hit $1.3 billion, signaling strong visibility into 2027.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 81d ago

Aebi Schmidt Holding (AEBI) Posts 22% EBITDA Growth And Keeps Full Year Guidance

Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 81d ago

Aebi Schmidt Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) reported higher second-quarter sales, orders and profitability, citing stronger backlog conversion, operational efficiency gains and progress on integration synergies following its acquisition

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEBI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.97 (+32.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew to $1.53B in FY 2025 from $1.09B in FY 2024, indicating substantial top-line scale.

Long AEBI at $11.34 targeting $14.97. Revenue grew to $1.53B in FY 2025 from $1.09B in FY 2024, indicating substantial top-line scale.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.91 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.34 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.53 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $11.34

Free cash flow turned negative at -$5.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose to $548.0M, against a P/E (TTM) of 91.1.

I respect the product at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG, but the stock at $11.34 is a different story. Free cash flow turned negative at -$5.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose to $548.0M, against a P/E (TTM) of 91.1.. FCF yield is -0.59% and RQD sits at 25/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?