Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.15% and +6.62%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Why AEBI Stock surged +3.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AEBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $11.79 (+3.97% 1D, market cap $880.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEBI ranks #938 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AEBI compare to PSNY and LCID in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AEBI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.1x, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M) and LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEBI leads on earnings multiple (91.1x) while AEBI leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEBI?
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Per AEBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048519), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG generated $1.53B in revenue (+40.6% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $548.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 1.62 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEBI Turnaround Squeeze
While AEBI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.58) and Max Pain ($12.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.76.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AEBI Stock surged +3.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) surged +3.97% to $11.79, trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($8.91 – $15.96). Stretched risk/reward at 91x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($8.91 – $15.96) with RSI-14 at 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $11.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 19.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will hold its third quarter 2026 earning
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class leader in specialty vehicles, today announced three appointments
Here is how Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and Bridgestone Corp. (BRDCY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) outlined plans to expand revenue, margins and its specialty-vehicle footprint through a combination of organic growth, operational improvements and acquisitions during the Midwest IDEAS Investo
Order backlog hit $1.3 billion, signaling strong visibility into 2027.
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) reported higher second-quarter sales, orders and profitability, citing stronger backlog conversion, operational efficiency gains and progress on integration synergies following its acquisition
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ:AEBI) shares climbed 7. 7% in Thursday premarket trading after the company reported second-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations and delivered a sharp improvement in profitability
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEBI)
- ✓Walkthrough of AEBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AEBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +40.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEBI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEBI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AEBI vs. PSNY, LCID, LOT, AIIO)
Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) ranks #938 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #523 by equity capitalization ($880.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEBI leads on earnings valuation at 91.1x trailing P/E, while AEBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.6% ROIC and 19.9% gross margin. PSNY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AEBI at 25/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEBI
ACTIVE
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG | E | 25/100 | 91.1x | 19.9% | 4.6% | +3.97% | $880.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +6.34% | $673.5M | /psny-vs-aebi → |
| LCID Lucid Group Inc. | E | 16/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -0.66% | $1.19B | /lcid-vs-aebi → |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | 8.7% | -35.0% | +1.78% | $252.3M | /lot-vs-aebi → |
| AIIO Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) | E | 24/100 | — | 62.5% | -35.0% | -5.01% | $143.1M | /aiio-vs-aebi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002048519 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+40.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.09B , and +50.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.7M, operating cash flow of $9.0M, and free cash flow of -$5.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEBI closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $548.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.62, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.53B | $9.7M | $9.0M | -$5.2M | $2.01B | $548.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.09B | $30.7M | $68.8M | $55.2M | $1.09B | $376.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.02B | $11.2M | $30.1M | $30.1M | — | — |
3. AEBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AEBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $11.79 (+3.97% 1D, market cap $880.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEBI ranks #938 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AEBI compare to PSNY and LCID in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AEBI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.1x, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M) and LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEBI leads on earnings multiple (91.1x) while AEBI leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEBI?
Per AEBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048519), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG generated $1.53B in revenue (+40.6% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $548.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AEBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AEBI last traded at $11.79 (+3.97% on volume of 209,961 shares), positioning the stock +1.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.58) and -4.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.36). Across its 52-week range of $8.91 to $15.96, AEBI sits at the 40.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($11.07 to $12.51).
AEBI — Aebi Schmidt Holding AG: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $11.79 (+3.97% 1D, market capitalization $880.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.6%, gross margin of 19.9%, operating margin of 4.8%, and free cash flow yield of -0.59%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.62, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
.9B. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.53B, indicating a substantial operating scale.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) reported $1.53B in annual revenue (up from $1.09B in FY2024, +40.6% YoY) and $9.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.02B revenue, $11.2M net income) through FY2025, AEBI scaled operating cash flow to $9.0M and free cash flow to -$5.2M, backed by $2.01B in total assets against $548.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.59% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.91 – $15.96 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 91.1x trailing P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA against 4.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies. The only sector context available is the Consumer Discretionary / Auto Manufacturing classification and the RQD macro-fit pillar's note of sector sensitivity at Beta 1.0. A prospective investor should watch for the absence of documented supply-chain linkages as itself a gap in diligence rather than evidence of their absence.
- Key Question #1: Can AEBI sustain or expand its 4.8% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC against Auto Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.53B and free cash flow of -$5.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $548.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is AEBI's 76.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
AEBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.15% and +6.62%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will hold its third quarter 2026 earning
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class leader in specialty vehicles, today announced three appointments
Here is how Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and Bridgestone Corp. (BRDCY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) outlined plans to expand revenue, margins and its specialty-vehicle footprint through a combination of organic growth, operational improvements and acquisitions during the Midwest IDEAS Investo
Order backlog hit $1.3 billion, signaling strong visibility into 2027.
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) reported higher second-quarter sales, orders and profitability, citing stronger backlog conversion, operational efficiency gains and progress on integration synergies following its acquisition
AEBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.79?
Revenue grew to $1.53B in FY 2025 from $1.09B in FY 2024, indicating substantial top-line scale.
Long AEBI at $11.34 targeting $14.97. Revenue grew to $1.53B in FY 2025 from $1.09B in FY 2024, indicating substantial top-line scale.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.91 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.34 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
Free cash flow turned negative at -$5.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose to $548.0M, against a P/E (TTM) of 91.1.
I respect the product at Aebi Schmidt Holding AG, but the stock at $11.34 is a different story. Free cash flow turned negative at -$5.2M in FY 2025 while debt rose to $548.0M, against a P/E (TTM) of 91.1.. FCF yield is -0.59% and RQD sits at 25/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?