Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: AGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $206.55 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AGM ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance Companies), AGM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.1%. By comparison, ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 60.4%, cap $2.13B) and TY (Tri Continental Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECPG leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while ECPG leads on capital efficiency (60.4% ROIC).
Per AGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000845877), Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation generated $14.86B in revenue (+12.9% YoY), $207.4M in net income, and $80.1M in free cash flow against $35.37B in total assets and $19.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AGM faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($212.77) or 200D SMA ($189.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($205.62) toward Bear Floor ($160.38).
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) surged +2.17% to $206.55, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($136.57 – $248.29). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TradingView report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Tree.com (TREE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +70.54% and +4.01%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
The Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac; NYSE: AGM and AGM.A) today announced that it will release its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026, on Thursday, November 5, 2026, a
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) ranks #478 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #416 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECPG leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while ECPG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 60.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ECPG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AGM at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGM
ACTIVE
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | 10.7x | — | 12.1% | +2.17% | $2.24B | Benchmark Subject |
| ECPG Encore Capital Group Inc | B- | 70/100 | 8.4x | — | 60.4% | +0.25% | $2.13B | /ecpg-vs-agm → |
| TY Tri Continental Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -0.23% | $1.86B | /ty-vs-agm → |
| BDJ Blackrock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $1.70B | /bdj-vs-agm → |
| CSQ Calamos Strategic Total Return | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -0.10% | $3.11B | /csq-vs-agm → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) reported GAAP revenue of $14.86B (+12.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.16B , and +940.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $207.4M, operating cash flow of $80.1M, and free cash flow of $80.1M (-86.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGM closed FY2025 with $35.37B in total assets against $19.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $14.86B | $207.4M | $80.1M | $80.1M | $35.37B | $19.54B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $13.16B | $207.2M | $612.6M | $612.6M | $31.32B | $17.08B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.43B | $200.0M | $375.8M | $375.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: AGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $206.55 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AGM ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance Companies), AGM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.1%. By comparison, ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 60.4%, cap $2.13B) and TY (Tri Continental Corporation) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECPG leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while ECPG leads on capital efficiency (60.4% ROIC).
Per AGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000845877), Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation generated $14.86B in revenue (+12.9% YoY), $207.4M in net income, and $80.1M in free cash flow against $35.37B in total assets and $19.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AGM last traded at $206.55 (+2.17% on volume of 101,500 shares), positioning the stock -2.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($212.77) and +9.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($189.34). Across its 52-week range of $136.57 to $248.29, AGM sits at the 62.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($197.87 to $215.23).
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $206.55 (+2.17% 1D, market capitalization $2.24B).
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Finance Companies industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $2.2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) reported $14.86B in annual revenue (up from $13.16B in FY2024, +12.9% YoY) and $207.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.43B revenue, $200.0M net income) through FY2025, AGM scaled operating cash flow to $80.1M and free cash flow to $80.1M, backed by $35.37B in total assets against $19.54B in total debt.
Operating in Finance Companies (Financials), AGM carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Don't sleep on AGM's setup in Financials. Trailing P/E of 10.7 and insider-flow pillar of 16 / 20 suggest the shares may be inexpensive on earnings with insider conviction supporting the case.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 10.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance Companies. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Fading this rally in AGM at $202.16. The RQD verdict is a trim signal, with fundamentals scored 9 / 20 and whale flow 8 / 20, while the Zacks downgrade to Hold and FCF falling to $80.1M weigh against the stock.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $202.16 (52-wk range $136.57–$248.29), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.
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