Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALEC Stock slipped -1.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alector Inc. (ALEC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Alector Inc. (NASDAQ: ALEC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.21 (-1.34% 1D, market cap $332.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALEC ranks #741 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALEC compare to XFOR and SCTX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ALEC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XFOR (X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $333.1M) and SCTX (Scribe Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $330.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALEC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALEC?
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Per ALEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653087), Alector Inc. generated $21.0M in revenue (-79.1% YoY), -$143.0M in net income, and -$184.1M in free cash flow against $293.2M in total assets and $9.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALEC Turnaround Squeeze
While ALEC currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.08) and Max Pain ($2.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.90.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ALEC Stock slipped -1.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alector Inc. (ALEC) slipped -1.34% to $2.21, trading at 67% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $2.76). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 67% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $2.76) with RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dealroom report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moderna (MRNA) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Alector (ALEC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALEC)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ALEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALEC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALEC)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALEC vs. XFOR, SCTX, IRLA, AGEN)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alector Inc. (ALEC) ranks #741 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #508 by equity capitalization ($332.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALEC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SCTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with ALEC at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALEC
ACTIVE
Alector Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.34% | $332.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| XFOR X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 83.6% | -35.0% | -0.30% | $333.1M | /xfor-vs-alec → |
| SCTX Scribe Therapeutics Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -11.58% | $330.2M | /sctx-vs-alec → |
| IRLA IRulya Therapeutics Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +4.21% | $342.8M | /irla-vs-alec → |
| AGEN Agenus Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | -3.53% | $320.2M | /agen-vs-alec → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653087In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alector Inc. (ALEC) reported GAAP revenue of $21.0M (-79.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $100.6M , and -78.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$143.0M, operating cash flow of -$184.0M, and free cash flow of -$184.1M (+20.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALEC closed FY2025 with $293.2M in total assets against $9.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $21.0M | -$143.0M | -$184.0M | -$184.1M | $293.2M | $9.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $100.6M | -$119.0M | -$229.9M | -$231.2M | $468.3M | $9.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $97.1M | -$130.0M | -$184.2M | -$184.2M | — | — |
3. ALEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Alector Inc. (NASDAQ: ALEC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.21 (-1.34% 1D, market cap $332.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALEC ranks #741 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALEC compare to XFOR and SCTX in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ALEC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XFOR (X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $333.1M) and SCTX (Scribe Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $330.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALEC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALEC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALEC?
Per ALEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653087), Alector Inc. generated $21.0M in revenue (-79.1% YoY), -$143.0M in net income, and -$184.1M in free cash flow against $293.2M in total assets and $9.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALEC last traded at $2.21 (-1.34% on volume of 1,111,257 shares), positioning the stock +6.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.08) and +8.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $2.76, ALEC sits at the 67.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.93 to $2.49).
ALEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALEC stock moving today?
Why ALEC Stock slipped -1.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ALEC — Alector Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
The Roarable RQD rating is 33 out of 100, graded E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars, each scored out of 20, are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the core earnings engine is not currently self-funding; value depends on external capital or a future operating turn that the source data does not show.
- Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar, indicating some sophisticated interest, though the holder detail in the source data is not itemized.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here suggests insider activity does not provide a supportive signal.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the market, so it offers no defensive cushion.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 0.2, Piotroski F of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3. The Altman Z-Score sits far below conventional distress thresholds, making this the weakest pillar and the central reason for the Avoid label.
Upside drivers, as framed by the source data, are limited to the catalyst headlines and the price target noted in the news wire, which are not independently verified. Valuation tradeoffs are severe: with negative operating and net margins and no reported EPS, traditional multiples are unavailable, so the $332.1M market capitalization cannot be anchored to earnings. The principal investor implication is that the stock's price action in the source data is not supported by the cash-generation or balance-sheet pillars.
Business
Alector Inc. (ALEC) is listed on NASDAQ in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry (per the profile). The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue-generating programs. Revenue is reported in the financials, but the sources do not specify how it is generated. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain relationships are recorded.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $21.0M | $-156.0M | $-143.0M | N/A | $-184.1M | $65.8M | $9.3M |
| FY 2024 | $100.6M | $-145.0M | $-119.0M | N/A | $-231.2M | $33.0M | $9.4M |
| FY 2023 | $97.1M | $-151.7M | $-130.0M | N/A | $-184.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $100.6M in FY 2024 to $21.0M in FY 2025, while operating losses remained large in both years. Operating margin is -60% and net margin is -60% (per the market data). ROIC is -35%, and the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (per the Roarable RQD rating). Debt is reported at $9.3M against cash of $65.8M in FY 2025 (per the SEC financials), with Debt/Equity of 0.3 (per the Roarable RQD rating).
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news wire, the most recent item (CATALYST light, GREEN) is a TradingView report describing a 12-month price target raised to $3.3, implying 66% upside. Per the news wire, a Dealroom report describes a $75M stock offering priced at a premium to fund the neurodegeneration pipeline. Per the news wire, a Seeking Alpha report notes the stock rose after pricing an equity offering. Per the news wire, a Mizuho report reiterated a Neutral rating on a Roche deal. Remaining wire items are general market-data pages. Risk watch items include the equity offering, which indicates dilution risk, and the Neutral reiteration. No proprietary signals are recorded in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation is limited to the Health Care classification and Beta of 1.0. The second-order risk the source data does support is financing dependence: the equity offering and the reported negative free cash flow suggest that the company's continuation relies on capital markets, so a tightening of those markets would be a ripple to watch.
Open Questions
- What products or programs generate the FY 2024 and FY 2025 revenue, and why did revenue decline sharply in FY 2025?
- What is the cash runway given FY 2025 free cash flow of $-184.1M against $65.8M in cash?
- What are the terms and dilution impact of the $75M stock offering referenced in the news wire?
- What is the basis of the $3.3 price target, and who issued it?
- Who are the institutional and insider holders, given that holder data is unavailable?
ALEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alector Inc. (ALEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dealroom report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ALEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.21?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALEC (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $2.24?
Welcome to the ALEC (Alector Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ALEC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALEC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Alector Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ALEC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALEC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.24 (52-wk range $1.09 - $2.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.