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Stock Ratings / Materials / ALOY / earnings
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REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$6.33 -5.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $465.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALOY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALOY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $6.33 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $465.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALOY compare to THM and NB in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $470.9M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALOY?
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Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26 (-1.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$28 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE ALOY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALOY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALOY SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$6.72+6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$7.13+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$7.25-12.7% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$6.33-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALOY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALOY currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.34) and Max Pain ($6.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALOY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALOY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.79 Expected Swing
$5.54 (-12.5%)Spot $6.33$7.12 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALOY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 31/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (31/100)Model Risk Weight (69/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.4M-$4.4M-$3.2M48%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.6M-$3.5M-$705.7K44%
FY 20232023-12-31$14.8M-$4.7M-$3.2M48%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALOY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALOY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALOY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $7.17H $7.17L $6.33C $6.33VOL 2.21M
RES: $7.08SUP: $5.71SMA50: $8.34SMA200: $11.05
$21.62$17.36$13.10$8.85$4.59RES $7.08SUP $5.71$6.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALOY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALOY Butterfly Map → + Track ALOY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALOY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALOY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALOY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALOY)

Materials Rank #226 of 270 ⚔️ THM vs ALOY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALOY vs. THM, NB, WRN, LZM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #173 by equity capitalization ($465.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THM leads on earnings valuation at 115.1x trailing P/E, while THM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ALOY at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALOY ACTIVE
REalloys Inc.
E 31/100 — 48.0% -8.8% -5.24% $465.4M Benchmark Subject
THM
International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)
E 29/100 115.1x — 8.2% +3.33% $470.9M /thm-vs-aloy →
NB
NioCorp Developments Ltd.
E 33/100 — — -5.6% -6.74% $487.1M /nb-vs-aloy →
WRN
Western Copper and Gold Corporation
D 44/100 — — — 0.00% $357.4M /wrn-vs-aloy →
LZM
Lifezone Metals Limited
D 49/100 — — — +1.31% $343.5M /lzm-vs-aloy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001567900 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (-5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M , and -83.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-347.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALOY closed FY2025 with $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.4M -$4.4M -$3.2M -$3.2M $93.4M $154.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.6M -$3.5M -$705.7K -$705.7K $9.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.8M -$4.7M -$3.2M -$3.2M — —

3. ALOY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALOY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $6.33 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $465.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALOY compare to THM and NB in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $470.9M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALOY?

Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALOY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALOY last traded at $6.33 (-5.24% on volume of 2,448,894 shares), positioning the stock -24.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.34) and -42.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.05). Across its 52-week range of $5.91 to $26.90, ALOY sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.54 to $7.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALOY RQD Cockpit ALOY 12M Forecast ALOY Earnings & Move ALOY Dividends & DRIP ALOY Insiders & 13F ALOY Whale Options ALOY Profit Sankey ALOY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALOY — REalloys Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.33 (-5.24% 1D, market capitalization $465.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.8%, gross margin of 48.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -0.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.42, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 48%, operating margin of -60%, and net margin of -60%. Per the recent news wire, the company announced a partnership agreement with the United States Army and Army's Strategic Capital Initiatives to operate processing facilities on the Tooele Army Base in Utah. — for detailed product lines, customer categories, or revenue mix.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported $2.4M in annual revenue (up from $2.6M in FY2024, -5.3% YoY) and -$4.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.8M revenue, -$4.7M net income) through FY2025, ALOY scaled operating cash flow to -$3.2M and free cash flow to -$3.2M, backed by $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.63% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.91 – $26.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Mining (Materials), ALOY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 48.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALOY sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -8.8% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.4M and free cash flow of -$3.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $154.0K in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALOY's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALOY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for REalloys Inc. (ALOY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALOY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALOY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALOY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALOY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.95 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Army/Tooele Base partnership announcement gives the company a potential government-backed operating catalyst while its balance shee

Don't sleep on ALOY's setup in Materials. The Army/Tooele Base partnership announcement gives the company a potential government-backed operating catalyst while its balance sheet shows a 4.42 Altman Z-Score.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (31/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $6.68 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.08 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $6.68

The company is loss-making with -60% operating margin, -8.8% ROIC, and revenue that fell from $2.6M to $2.4M between FY 2024 and FY 202

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ALOY above $6.68. The company is loss-making with -60% operating margin, -8.8% ROIC, and revenue that fell from $2.6M to $2.4M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (-0.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $26.90.

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