REalloys Inc. (ALOY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $6.68 (-6.83% 1D, market cap $465.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $470.9M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While ALOY currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.34) and Max Pain ($7.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.25.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
REalloys Inc. (ALOY) dropped -6.83% to $6.68, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($5.91 – $26.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Stocktwits report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Samarium sells for 346 times more in North America than in China, and new Western magnet plants are racing ahead of the metal supply they need.
America has just 75 days before new Pentagon rare earth rules kick in, potentially reshaping U.S. defense supply chains for decades
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALOY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALOY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #173 by equity capitalization ($465.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THM leads on earnings valuation at 115.1x trailing P/E, while THM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ALOY at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALOY
ACTIVE
REalloys Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 48.0% | -8.8% | -6.83% | $465.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada) | E | 29/100 | 115.1x | — | 8.2% | -11.76% | $470.9M | /thm-vs-aloy → |
| NB NioCorp Developments Ltd. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -5.6% | -6.18% | $487.1M | /nb-vs-aloy → |
| WRN Western Copper and Gold Corporation | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -7.06% | $357.4M | /wrn-vs-aloy → |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Limited | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | +5.23% | $343.5M | /lzm-vs-aloy → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (-5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M , and -83.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-347.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALOY closed FY2025 with $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.4M | -$4.4M | -$3.2M | -$3.2M | $93.4M | $154.0K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.6M | -$3.5M | -$705.7K | -$705.7K | $9.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $14.8M | -$4.7M | -$3.2M | -$3.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $6.68 (-6.83% 1D, market cap $465.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $470.9M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ALOY last traded at $6.68 (-6.83% on volume of 2,207,317 shares), positioning the stock -19.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.34) and -39.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.05). Across its 52-week range of $5.91 to $26.90, ALOY sits at the 3.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.85 to $7.51).
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALOY scores 33 out of 100, letter grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:
Taken together, the upside drivers are limited to the balance sheet and the 52-week range (from $5.91 to $26.9, with the current price of $7.17 near the low end). The rating's verdict implies that the risk profile currently outweighs the balance-sheet support. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.
Per the recent news wire, the most prominent catalyst is the announced Army partnership for processing facilities at Tooele Army Base, flagged as a green-light catalyst. Additional items include a passive stake disclosure attributed to Kenneth Griffin with shared voting power, and multiple market-wire items covering competitors, estimates, and short interest (updated Oct 2026). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Materials, industry Metal Mining, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items include the sustained operating losses and the large gap between the 52-week high of $26.9 and the current price.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for REalloys Inc. (ALOY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stocktwits report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the ALOY (REalloys Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALOY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 48.0% gross margins. Unless REalloys Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALOY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.17 (52-wk range $5.91 - $26.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).