Are ALOY insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ALOY leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Stock Ratings / Materials / ALOY / insiders

THM (29) NB (33) WRN (44) LZM (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$6.33 -5.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $465.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALOY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALOY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $6.33 (-5.24% 1D, market cap $465.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALOY compare to THM and NB in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $470.9M) and NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $487.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALOY?

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Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.26 (-1.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALOY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALOY SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 48% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$6.72+6.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$7.13+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$7.25-12.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$6.33-9.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALOY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALOY currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.34) and Max Pain ($6.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALOY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALOY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ALOY Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ALOY)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ALOY. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALOY)

✓Walkthrough of ALOY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ALOY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $7.17H $7.17L $6.33C $6.33VOL 2.21M

RES: $7.08SUP: $5.71SMA50: $8.34SMA200: $11.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALOY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALOY Butterfly Map → + Track ALOY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALOY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALOY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALOY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALOY)

Materials Rank #226 of 270 ⚔️ THM vs ALOY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALOY vs. THM, NB, WRN, LZM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #173 by equity capitalization ($465.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THM leads on earnings valuation at 115.1x trailing P/E, while THM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LZM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ALOY at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALOY ACTIVE REalloys Inc.	E	31/100	—	48.0%	-8.8%	-5.24%	$465.4M	Benchmark Subject
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)	E	29/100	115.1x	—	8.2%	+3.33%	$470.9M	/thm-vs-aloy →
NB NioCorp Developments Ltd.	E	33/100	—	—	-5.6%	-6.74%	$487.1M	/nb-vs-aloy →
WRN Western Copper and Gold Corporation	D	44/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$357.4M	/wrn-vs-aloy →
LZM Lifezone Metals Limited	D	49/100	—	—	—	+1.31%	$343.5M	/lzm-vs-aloy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001567900 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (-5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M , and -83.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-347.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALOY closed FY2025 with $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.4M	-$4.4M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	$93.4M	$154.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.6M	-$3.5M	-$705.7K	-$705.7K	$9.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.8M	-$4.7M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	—	—

3. ALOY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALOY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALOY compare to THM and NB in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALOY?

Where is ALOY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALOY last traded at $6.33 (-5.24% on volume of 2,448,894 shares), positioning the stock -24.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.34) and -42.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.05). Across its 52-week range of $5.91 to $26.90, ALOY sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.54 to $7.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALOY RQD Cockpit ALOY 12M Forecast ALOY Earnings & Move ALOY Dividends & DRIP ALOY Insiders & 13F ALOY Whale Options ALOY Profit Sankey ALOY News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALOY — REalloys Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.33 (-5.24% 1D, market capitalization $465.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.8%, gross margin of 48.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -0.63%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.42, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Metal Mining industry. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 48%, operating margin of -60%, and net margin of -60%. Per the recent news wire, the company announced a partnership agreement with the United States Army and Army's Strategic Capital Initiatives to operate processing facilities on the Tooele Army Base in Utah. — for detailed product lines, customer categories, or revenue mix.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported $2.4M in annual revenue (up from $2.6M in FY2024, -5.3% YoY) and -$4.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.8M revenue, -$4.7M net income) through FY2025, ALOY scaled operating cash flow to -$3.2M and free cash flow to -$3.2M, backed by $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.63% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.91 – $26.90 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Mining (Materials), ALOY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 48.0%.

Key Question #1: Can ALOY sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -8.8% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.4M and free cash flow of -$3.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $154.0K in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALOY's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALOY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for REalloys Inc. (ALOY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALOY Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Stocktwits • 21h ago

REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) Announces Landmark Partnership Agreement with The United States Army & Army’s Strategic Capital Initiatives to Operate Processing Facilities on The Tooele Army Base in Utah

Stocktwits report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 1d ago

ALOY News | REALLOYS INC (NASDAQ:ALOY)

ChartMill report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Kenneth Griffin reports a passive stake in Realloys (ALOY) with shared voting power.

Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Top REalloys (ALOY) Competitors 2026

MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

REalloys Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:ALOY

TradingView report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

REalloys (ALOY) Short Interest & Short Float | Updated Oct 2026

MarketBeat report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Which of Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL), Almonty Industries (NASDAQ:ALM), ITG Inc (NASDAQ:ITG), Quantinuum (NASDAQ:QNT) or Realloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) Reversed From a Gap Up to a Steep Loss on Monday?

kalkine.ca report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Dark Horse may resell up to 247,740 shares. REalloys (ALOY) will receive no proceeds.

Stock Titan report covering REalloys Inc. (ALOY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALOY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALOY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.95 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The Army/Tooele Base partnership announcement gives the company a potential government-backed operating catalyst while its balance shee

Don't sleep on ALOY's setup in Materials. The Army/Tooele Base partnership announcement gives the company a potential government-backed operating catalyst while its balance sheet shows a 4.42 Altman Z-Score.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (31/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $6.68 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.08 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $6.68

The company is loss-making with -60% operating margin, -8.8% ROIC, and revenue that fell from $2.6M to $2.4M between FY 2024 and FY 202

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ALOY above $6.68. The company is loss-making with -60% operating margin, -8.8% ROIC, and revenue that fell from $2.6M to $2.4M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (-0.63%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $26.90.