Why APA Stock surged +2.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$52.82 +2.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.19

APA Corporation (APA) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $18.05B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, APA Corporation (NASDAQ: APA) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $52.82 (+2.54% 1D, market cap $18.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, APA ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APA compare to VNOM and OVV in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), APA carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, VNOM (Viper Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $16.82B) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APA?
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Per APA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841666), APA Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $1.43B in net income, and $4.54B in free cash flow against $17.76B in total assets and $4.16B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.19 (+0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 113.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 83/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 72.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510083
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (18)SEC (14)Macro (18)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.2% Base Target
$69 Bull$59 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE APA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (83/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APA SCORES 83/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 6 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$48.01+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$49.90+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
80
Grade A-$50.79+4% Next Q
Current
83
Grade A-$52.82+8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → A- (83)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 83/100 (A-) score, APA faces multiple-compression risk if 12.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.89) or 200D SMA ($37.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.76) toward Bear Floor ($43.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why APA Stock surged +2.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

APA Corporation (APA) surged +2.54% to $52.82, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($21.63 – $52.96). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($21.63 – $52.96) with RSI-14 at 65.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $52.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 0% gross margin and $4.5B annual free cash flow.
Live APA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5h ago
Vitesse Energy (VTS) Q3 Earnings Meet Estimates

Vitesse (VTS) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and -2.52%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (APA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.70%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $51.11H $52.82L $51.11C $52.82VOL 3.85M
RES: $53.28SUP: $45.27SMA50: $45.89SMA200: $37.98
$54.77$47.26$39.75$32.23$24.72RES $53.28SUP $45.27$52.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APA)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (APA vs. VNOM, OVV, EXE, PR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, APA Corporation (APA) ranks #3 by composite RQD confidence (83/100, grade A-) and #51 by equity capitalization ($18.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while APA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. APA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 83/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APA ACTIVE
APA Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 26.6% +2.54% $18.05B Benchmark Subject
VNOM
Viper Energy Inc.
C 65/100 — — -1.7% +1.82% $16.82B /vnom-vs-apa →
OVV
Ovintiv Inc.
B 75/100 16.3x — 5.7% +1.47% $20.23B /ovv-vs-apa →
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation
C 65/100 11.5x — 8.5% +0.12% $20.89B /exe-vs-apa →
PR
Permian Resources Corporation
B 73/100 — — 8.5% +1.76% $21.42B /pr-vs-apa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841666

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), APA Corporation (APA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.43B, operating cash flow of $4.54B, and free cash flow of $4.54B (+25.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, APA closed FY2025 with $17.76B in total assets against $4.16B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.04, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $1.43B $4.54B $4.54B $17.76B $4.16B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $804.0M $3.62B $3.62B $19.39B $4.54B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $2.85B $3.13B $3.13B $9.93B $2.32B

3. APA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, APA Corporation (NASDAQ: APA) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $52.82 (+2.54% 1D, market cap $18.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, APA ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APA compare to VNOM and OVV in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), APA carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, VNOM (Viper Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $16.82B) and OVV (Ovintiv Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $20.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while APA leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APA?

Per APA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841666), APA Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $1.43B in net income, and $4.54B in free cash flow against $17.76B in total assets and $4.16B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APA last traded at $52.82 (+2.54% on volume of 4,429,256 shares), positioning the stock +15.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.89) and +39.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($37.98). Across its 52-week range of $21.63 to $52.96, APA sits at the 99.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($49.65 to $55.99).

APA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is APA stock moving today?

Why APA Stock surged +2.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 83/100 (A-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APA — APA Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APA scores 83 out of 100, graded A-, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 26.6%; FCF yield 22%); Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 19/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 18/20 (Beta 1.04; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.04; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.59).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar scores are insider conviction and institutional flow, which the rating treats as the primary upside drivers. The cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars score lower, suggesting the cash returns and financial strength are solid but less exceptional than the signal pillars. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.6 and forward P/E of 11.7 against a 52-week range that spans from $21.63 to $52.96, so the current price of $51.51 sits near the top of that range. Investors weighing this rating should consider how much of the positive signal is already reflected in the price. The rating is an analytical scoring output and is not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$51.51$18.05B12.611.76.44.091.99%1.04$21.63 - $52.9626.6%

Business

Per the profile, APA Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry, with a market capitalization of $18.0B. Not available in source data for product detail, customer base, or specific revenue-generation mechanics. The market data reports a gross margin of 0% and an operating margin of 61.1%, and the financials table reports revenue as $0.0M for each period, which the source data does not explain.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$3087.0M$1434.0MN/A$4545.0M$516.0M$4156.1M
FY 2024$0.0M$2444.0M$804.0MN/A$3620.0M$625.0M$4537.3M
FY 2023$0.0M$3696.0M$2855.0MN/A$3129.0MN/A$2322.6M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $804.0M in FY 2024 to $1434.0M in FY 2025, and free cash flow rose from $3620.0M to $4545.0M over the same period. Per the market data, the net margin is 28.4% and ROIC is 26.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.04 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. Reported debt declined from $4537.3M in FY 2024 to $4156.1M in FY 2025. FY 2023 cash is listed as N/A in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items are tagged to APA, each carrying a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering APA's market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
  • A Barchart.com earnings preview.
  • A Yahoo Finance report noting the stock trading up.
  • A TradingView report on APA's upcoming Q3 earnings.
  • A 24/7 Wall St. item listing APA among dividend stocks going ex-dividend this week.
  • A Quiver Quantitative report titled "APA Corporation Provides Supplemental Third-Quarter 2026 Financial and Operational Information."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the feed are the upcoming earnings report and the ex-dividend event, but the source data does not describe their content or expected outcome.

Open Questions

  • The financials table reports revenue as $0.0M for every period and EPS as N/A; what is the actual revenue base behind the reported margins?
  • Gross margin is listed as 0% while operating margin is 61.1%; how should this be interpreted given the missing revenue figures?
  • The RQD pillars cite institutional and insider flow, but no holder or analyst records were supplied to verify those signals.
  • FY 2023 cash is N/A; what is the cash position across the full three-year period?
  • What do the upcoming Q3 earnings and the supplemental third-quarter 2026 disclosure report, and how do they compare with the FY 2025 results?

APA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for APA Corporation (APA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $52.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $60.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APA (A- • RQD 83/100) a Buy at $51.51?

Welcome to the APA (APA Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 83/100 (Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.75 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $51.51

Pump the brakes on APA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APA, but look at what you are paying: 12.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless APA Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.24 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $51.51

APA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $51.51 (52-wk range $21.63 - $52.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%