Aptiv PLC (APTV) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$43.93 -1.12% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.76

Aptiv PLC (APTV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $9.23B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $43.93 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $9.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $9.08B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?
β–Ό

Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.76 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$93 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE APTV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APTV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY APTV SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.2% FCF Margin ($1.27B FCF) & 19.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$44.26+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$45.06-3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$43.65+0.6% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$43.93-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APTV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While APTV currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.49) and Max Pain ($46.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $93.38.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APTVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAPTV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

APTV Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (APTV)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on APTV. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APTV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of APTV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APTV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.21%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $44.08H $44.43L $43.93C $43.93VOL 2.45M
RES: $45.19SUP: $39.14SMA50: $44.49SMA200: $59.35
$81.05$70.44$59.82$49.20$38.59RES $45.19SUP $39.14$43.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APTV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APTV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APTV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APTV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APTV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #536 of 1011 βš”οΈ ALSN vs APTV Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APTV vs. ALSN, ALV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aptiv PLC (APTV) ranks #536 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #178 by equity capitalization ($9.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with APTV at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APTV ACTIVE
Aptiv PLC
D 51/100 55.9x 19.1% 6.2% -1.12% $9.23B Benchmark Subject
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 14.6x 48.6% 21.3% -1.75% $9.08B /alsn-vs-aptv β†’
ALV
Autoliv Inc.
C+ 69/100 11.5x 19.2% 23.2% +0.50% $8.42B /alv-vs-aptv β†’
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
D- 37/100 39.2x 18.7% 5.5% -3.13% $10.86B /bwa-vs-aptv β†’
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
D+ 54/100 60.8x 23.0% 17.0% -6.51% $7.38B /mod-vs-aptv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001521332

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aptiv PLC (APTV) reported GAAP revenue of $20.40B (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.71B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.0M, operating cash flow of $2.19B, and free cash flow of $1.27B (-18.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APTV closed FY2025 with $23.41B in total assets against $7.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $20.40B $165.0M $2.19B $1.27B $23.41B $7.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.71B $1.79B $2.45B $1.56B $23.46B $7.84B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.05B $2.94B $1.90B $993.7M $24.06B $5.63B

3. APTV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $43.93 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $9.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #536 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $9.08B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?

Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APTV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APTV last traded at $43.93 (-1.12% on volume of 2,241,603 shares), positioning the stock -1.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.49) and -25.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.35). Across its 52-week range of $41.88 to $88.93, APTV sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.1% ($41.69 to $46.17).

APTV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are APTV insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies APTV leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APTV β€” Aptiv PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APTV scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.2% and an FCF yield of 13.74%. The FCF yield is high relative to the thin reported margins, which suggests cash generation is stronger than accounting profit, but the ROIC figure indicates modest returns on capital.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is weak, and the source data contains no 13F detail to explain it.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, and the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, so it amplifies market swings in both directions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. These are mid-range readings that do not signal acute distress but do not offer a strong safety margin either.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture. Upside drivers are the cash-flow yield and the stock's 52-week decline from $88.93 to a current $44.43. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: per the market data, the P/E (TTM) is 55.9 against EPS (TTM) of 0.79, while EV/EBITDA is 7.7. Those two multiples point in different directions, and the gap largely reflects the thin net margin of 0.8%. The rating's "Distribution Warning" verdict signals that the rating framework sees more risk than reward at present. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$44.43$9.23B55.9527.70.790%1.15$41.88 - $88.936.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$20398.0M$1184.0M$165.0MN/A$1267.1M$1575.0M$7467.0M
FY 2024$19713.0M$1842.0M$1787.0MN/A$1558.9M$1573.0M$7843.0M
FY 2023$20051.0M$1559.0M$2938.0MN/A$993.7MN/A$5630.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods, while net income fell sharply from $2938.0M in FY 2023 to $165.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 19.1%, operating margin is 5.8%, and net margin is 0.8%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 6.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 2, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the SEC financials, debt rose from $5630.3M in FY 2023 to $7467.0M in FY 2025 while cash was $1575.0M at FY 2025 year-end.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news feed, the catalysts are as follows:

  • Green (Catalyst): A Motley-style headline notes a 12-hour-old report that BlackBerry rallied on a QNX backlog while Aptiv "dips," indicating APTV traded lower in that session as a related name.
  • Red (Risk Watch): A Yahoo Finance item reports that APTV wrapped four months of losses and that Goldman Sachs sees further demand risk amid China concerns.
  • Yellow (Market Wire): Four items cover APTV market action and positioning, including a headline that the stock "still looks cheap" after a 69% five-year slide, a note on upcoming Q3 earnings, and a Simply Wall St forecast page.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's primary products, customers, and revenue segments, given that the source data describes only sector and industry?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $2938.0M in FY 2023 to $165.0M in FY 2025, and is the reported EPS "N/A" a data gap or a reporting issue?
  • How much of the increase in debt from $5630.3M to $7467.0M is tied to specific acquisitions, refinancing, or operating needs?
  • What is the actual demand exposure to China, and how large is it relative to total revenue, per the Goldman Sachs reference?
  • What do the upcoming Q3 earnings expectations look like, and what outcome would validate or invalidate the current RQD rating?

APTV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aptiv PLC (APTV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to APTV Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APTV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $43.93?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APTV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APTV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $47.98 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APTV (D β€’ RQD 51/100) a Buy at $44.43?

Welcome to the APTV (Aptiv PLC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 51/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (55.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $44.43

Pump the brakes on APTV β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APTV, but look at what you are paying: 55.9x trailing P/E with 19.1% gross margins. Unless Aptiv PLC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.98 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $44.43

APTV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APTV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $44.43 (52-wk range $41.88 - $88.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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