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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / APTV / options
ALSN (59) ALV (71) BWA (36) MOD (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Aptiv PLC (APTV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$44.23 +0.68% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.20

Aptiv PLC (APTV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $9.12B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APTV Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $44.23 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $9.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #518 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $8.92B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?
β–Ό

Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $44.20 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$93 Bull$43 Base$33 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE APTV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APTV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY APTV SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.2% FCF Margin ($1.27B FCF) & 19.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$43.83+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$44.34-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$44.08+0.3% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$44.23-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APTV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While APTV currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($44.44) and Max Pain ($46.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $93.38.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APTVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAPTV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (APTV)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for APTV.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APTV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of APTV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APTV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.70%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $44.43H $44.43L $43.93C $44.23VOL 2.24M
RES: $45.11SUP: $39.03SMA50: $44.44SMA200: $59.18
$81.05$70.44$59.82$49.20$38.59RES $45.11SUP $39.03$44.232026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APTV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ APTV Butterfly Map β†’ + Track APTV β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
39.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APTV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APTV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APTV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APTV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #518 of 1009 βš”οΈ ALSN vs APTV Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APTV vs. ALSN, ALV, BWA, MOD)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aptiv PLC (APTV) ranks #518 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #178 by equity capitalization ($9.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALV leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while ALV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. ALV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with APTV at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APTV ACTIVE
Aptiv PLC
D 51/100 55.9x 19.1% 6.2% +0.68% $9.12B Benchmark Subject
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.
C- 59/100 14.6x 48.6% 21.3% +4.67% $8.92B /alsn-vs-aptv β†’
ALV
Autoliv Inc.
B- 71/100 11.5x 19.2% 23.2% +4.39% $8.46B /alv-vs-aptv β†’
BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
D- 36/100 39.2x 18.7% 5.5% +0.23% $10.37B /bwa-vs-aptv β†’
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
D+ 54/100 60.8x 23.0% 17.0% -4.95% $6.90B /mod-vs-aptv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001521332 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aptiv PLC (APTV) reported GAAP revenue of $20.40B (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.71B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.0M, operating cash flow of $2.19B, and free cash flow of $1.27B (-18.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APTV closed FY2025 with $23.41B in total assets against $7.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $20.40B $165.0M $2.19B $1.27B $23.41B $7.47B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.71B $1.79B $2.45B $1.56B $23.46B $7.84B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.05B $2.94B $1.90B $993.7M $24.06B $5.63B

3. APTV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APTV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aptiv PLC (NYSE: APTV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $44.23 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $9.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APTV ranks #518 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APTV compare to ALSN and ALV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APTV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.9x, gross margin of 19.1%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ALSN (Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 21.3%, cap $8.92B) and ALV (Autoliv Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 23.2%, cap $8.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALV leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while ALV leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APTV?

Per APTV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001521332), Aptiv PLC generated $20.40B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $165.0M in net income, and $1.27B in free cash flow against $23.41B in total assets and $7.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APTV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APTV last traded at $44.23 (+0.68% on volume of 3,701,115 shares), positioning the stock -0.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($44.44) and -25.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.18). Across its 52-week range of $41.88 to $88.93, APTV sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.0% ($42.02 to $46.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: APTV RQD Cockpit APTV 12M Forecast APTV Earnings & Move APTV Dividends & DRIP APTV Insiders & 13F APTV Whale Options APTV Profit Sankey APTV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

APTV β€” Aptiv PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aptiv PLC (APTV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $44.23 (+0.68% 1D, market capitalization $9.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of 19.1%, operating margin of 5.8%, and free cash flow yield of 13.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.15x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.00, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.81x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Aptiv PLC (APTV) reported $20.40B in annual revenue (up from $19.71B in FY2024, +3.5% YoY) and $165.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($20.05B revenue, $2.94B net income) through FY2025, APTV scaled operating cash flow to $2.19B and free cash flow to $1.27B, backed by $23.41B in total assets against $7.47B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 13.74% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $41.88 – $88.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 55.9x trailing P/E and 7.7x EV/EBITDA against 5.8% operating margins and a 1.15x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck data. The only sector-level context available is the classification (Consumer Discretionary, Auto Parts: O.E.M.) and the Goldman Sachs China demand-risk reference in the news feed. Investors should treat the China demand concern as the one identifiable second-order exposure in the source material.

  • Key Question #1: Can APTV sustain or expand its 5.8% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $20.40B and free cash flow of $1.27B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.47B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is APTV's 52.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.15x)?

APTV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aptiv PLC (APTV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to APTV Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APTV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $44.23?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APTV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APTV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.99 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 6.2% ROIC and 13.74% FCF yield on a stock that has fallen from $88.93 to $44.43 may offer cash-flow value if margins stabilize.

Long APTV at $43.93 targeting $57.99. A 6.2% ROIC and 13.74% FCF yield on a stock that has fallen from $88.93 to $44.43 may offer cash-flow value if margins stabilize.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $41.88 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” APTV's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.78 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $43.93

Net income fell from $2.94B to $165.0M while debt rose to $7.47B, and the RQD rating carries a Distribution Warning.

I respect the product at Aptiv PLC, but the stock at $43.93 is a different story. Net income fell from $2.94B to $165.0M while debt rose to $7.47B, and the RQD rating carries a Distribution Warning.. FCF yield is 13.74% and RQD sits at 51/100 (D) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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